Prediction 2545
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 3 for RJ
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 92.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 11.0 | 33.00 | 272.00 | 743.4 | 1388.50 | 2194.62 |
| 2024-10-13 | 104.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 11.9 | 34.75 | 279.25 | 783.2 | 1342.05 | 2488.32 |
| 2024-10-20 | 103.0 | 3.98 | 7.00 | 11.9 | 36.00 | 312.00 | 732.2 | 1385.20 | 2454.12 |
| 2024-10-27 | 107.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 37.00 | 302.00 | 811.9 | 1500.05 | 2404.78 |
| 2024-11-03 | 114.5 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 14.0 | 40.00 | 341.00 | 957.1 | 1818.30 | 3386.88 |
| 2024-11-10 | 135.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 16.0 | 42.00 | 353.25 | 967.2 | 1808.55 | 3559.78 |
| 2024-11-17 | 139.0 | 5.00 | 8.95 | 17.0 | 47.00 | 405.75 | 1076.9 | 2015.05 | 3382.62 |
| 2024-11-24 | 153.0 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 18.0 | 55.00 | 423.25 | 1113.3 | 2027.95 | 3997.60 |
| 2024-12-01 | 176.0 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 22.0 | 61.00 | 504.00 | 1337.3 | 2499.20 | 3888.75 |
| 2024-12-08 | 187.5 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 22.0 | 67.00 | 544.75 | 1444.8 | 2627.25 | 4923.57 |
| 2024-12-15 | 213.0 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 28.0 | 74.75 | 595.50 | 1658.2 | 3109.35 | 5473.32 |
| 2024-12-22 | 238.0 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 30.0 | 81.00 | 685.00 | 1861.8 | 3361.40 | 5474.75 |
| 2024-12-29 | 266.5 | 10.97 | 19.00 | 36.9 | 92.00 | 771.75 | 2163.5 | 3638.20 | 7204.20 |
| 2025-01-05 | 323.0 | 12.00 | 22.00 | 41.9 | 108.00 | 879.50 | 2407.4 | 4379.60 | 8174.90 |
| 2025-01-12 | 360.0 | 13.00 | 23.95 | 46.0 | 120.00 | 980.25 | 2668.6 | 5030.60 | 8991.05 |
| 2025-01-19 | 410.0 | 15.00 | 26.00 | 50.9 | 134.75 | 1180.25 | 3172.9 | 5892.95 | 9974.35 |
| 2025-01-26 | 443.0 | 18.00 | 31.00 | 57.0 | 157.75 | 1292.50 | 3833.4 | 6852.35 | 10776.02 |
| 2025-02-02 | 480.0 | 21.00 | 32.00 | 61.0 | 173.00 | 1376.75 | 3677.9 | 7180.70 | 12736.05 |
| 2025-02-09 | 534.0 | 18.00 | 34.95 | 69.9 | 184.75 | 1533.25 | 4304.3 | 7701.75 | 13154.45 |
| 2025-02-16 | 586.5 | 23.00 | 40.00 | 71.9 | 202.75 | 1625.50 | 4232.3 | 8664.85 | 13937.40 |
| 2025-02-23 | 632.5 | 17.98 | 37.95 | 71.0 | 221.00 | 1826.00 | 4885.1 | 8841.15 | 16615.40 |
| 2025-03-02 | 715.0 | 24.00 | 43.00 | 85.0 | 241.75 | 1926.75 | 5080.2 | 9951.30 | 16659.92 |
| 2025-03-09 | 723.0 | 30.98 | 50.00 | 93.0 | 244.75 | 1975.50 | 5663.1 | 10103.00 | 17896.08 |
| 2025-03-16 | 734.0 | 35.00 | 54.95 | 93.9 | 251.50 | 2093.00 | 5710.9 | 9716.10 | 16618.32 |
| 2025-03-23 | 729.0 | 29.00 | 52.00 | 93.9 | 263.00 | 2062.75 | 5880.6 | 10327.90 | 19168.95 |
| 2025-03-30 | 796.0 | 28.00 | 58.95 | 104.0 | 270.75 | 2252.25 | 5879.7 | 10605.90 | 18624.90 |
| 2025-04-06 | 761.0 | 26.00 | 47.95 | 99.0 | 266.00 | 2154.50 | 5590.2 | 9369.70 | 18513.25 |
| 2025-04-13 | 773.5 | 26.98 | 49.95 | 95.9 | 263.75 | 2212.50 | 6107.7 | 11300.10 | 19215.88 |
| 2025-04-20 | 717.0 | 26.00 | 47.00 | 95.0 | 259.75 | 2116.00 | 5743.3 | 9855.15 | 18401.87 |
| 2025-04-27 | 689.5 | 26.98 | 48.00 | 91.9 | 248.00 | 2025.25 | 5317.3 | 9774.55 | 16578.33 |
| 2025-05-04 | 654.5 | 24.00 | 45.00 | 83.0 | 236.00 | 1832.50 | 4936.4 | 9767.70 | 15393.83 |
| 2025-05-11 | 599.5 | 19.00 | 37.00 | 72.9 | 218.75 | 1786.25 | 4819.7 | 8725.75 | 14949.65 |
| 2025-05-18 | 542.0 | 18.00 | 36.95 | 69.0 | 190.00 | 1507.50 | 4311.4 | 7061.65 | 11167.35 |
| 2025-05-25 | 475.0 | 19.00 | 31.00 | 58.0 | 169.00 | 1396.00 | 3874.3 | 7189.80 | 12554.02 |
| 2025-06-01 | 413.0 | 14.97 | 27.95 | 50.9 | 141.75 | 1168.00 | 3315.7 | 6366.50 | 10789.45 |
| 2025-06-08 | 370.0 | 13.00 | 25.95 | 48.0 | 135.75 | 1027.25 | 2929.4 | 5281.35 | 9124.73 |
| 2025-06-15 | 313.5 | 11.00 | 21.00 | 45.0 | 112.00 | 994.00 | 2456.7 | 5248.80 | 8245.70 |
| 2025-06-22 | 275.0 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 35.0 | 96.00 | 790.75 | 2076.7 | 4012.65 | 7431.35 |
| 2025-06-29 | 245.5 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 31.0 | 89.00 | 680.25 | 1798.2 | 3101.30 | 6265.38 |
| 2025-07-06 | 217.0 | 8.00 | 13.95 | 26.9 | 76.00 | 599.50 | 1724.0 | 3052.60 | 5108.95 |
| 2025-07-13 | 191.0 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 24.0 | 72.00 | 551.00 | 1407.6 | 2616.20 | 4629.75 |
| 2025-07-20 | 170.5 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 23.9 | 61.75 | 477.50 | 1326.1 | 2524.70 | 3914.80 |
| 2025-07-27 | 153.0 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 19.0 | 51.00 | 428.00 | 1169.9 | 2023.70 | 3555.20 |
| 2025-08-03 | 141.5 | 5.00 | 8.95 | 17.0 | 49.00 | 407.50 | 1030.7 | 1938.40 | 3326.65 |
| 2025-08-10 | 131.5 | 5.00 | 9.00 | 16.0 | 44.00 | 355.00 | 965.2 | 1947.60 | 3268.70 |
| 2025-08-17 | 117.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 14.0 | 42.00 | 340.25 | 844.1 | 1671.10 | 2962.18 |
| 2025-08-24 | 101.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 14.0 | 36.00 | 285.00 | 799.2 | 1424.60 | 2451.68 |
| 2025-08-31 | 103.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 34.00 | 283.00 | 797.4 | 1418.55 | 2363.10 |
| 2025-09-07 | 96.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 34.00 | 267.25 | 712.1 | 1309.60 | 2491.15 |
| 2025-09-14 | 92.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 11.0 | 33.00 | 277.25 | 728.2 | 1346.25 | 2198.05 |
| 2025-09-21 | 93.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 13.0 | 32.00 | 272.00 | 759.4 | 1361.15 | 2414.97 |
| 2025-09-28 | 96.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 13.0 | 33.00 | 266.00 | 724.2 | 1356.10 | 2394.65 |
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