Prediction 2546
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation test 3 for RN
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 123.0 | 16.00 | 23.00 | 35.0 | 63.00 | 240.00 | 451.1 | 639.10 | 902.25 |
| 2024-10-13 | 112.0 | 13.00 | 19.95 | 30.0 | 58.00 | 214.00 | 407.0 | 600.15 | 885.25 |
| 2024-10-20 | 100.0 | 13.00 | 19.00 | 30.0 | 53.00 | 198.25 | 380.2 | 589.20 | 777.05 |
| 2024-10-27 | 94.0 | 12.00 | 18.00 | 27.0 | 52.00 | 177.00 | 352.0 | 555.10 | 765.30 |
| 2024-11-03 | 87.0 | 12.97 | 17.00 | 24.9 | 44.00 | 172.25 | 326.1 | 496.10 | 673.27 |
| 2024-11-10 | 83.0 | 10.97 | 16.00 | 24.0 | 43.00 | 166.00 | 316.0 | 448.10 | 601.02 |
| 2024-11-17 | 82.0 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 22.9 | 41.00 | 156.00 | 290.1 | 430.05 | 610.50 |
| 2024-11-24 | 78.0 | 9.00 | 13.95 | 21.0 | 40.00 | 155.25 | 283.1 | 435.00 | 614.27 |
| 2024-12-01 | 79.0 | 10.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 40.00 | 152.00 | 287.1 | 429.10 | 651.08 |
| 2024-12-08 | 78.5 | 10.00 | 14.00 | 21.0 | 42.00 | 150.00 | 280.0 | 425.20 | 626.30 |
| 2024-12-15 | 82.0 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 22.0 | 40.00 | 163.25 | 304.1 | 445.15 | 662.27 |
| 2024-12-22 | 87.0 | 10.97 | 17.00 | 23.0 | 43.00 | 177.00 | 326.2 | 495.15 | 758.02 |
| 2024-12-29 | 104.0 | 12.00 | 17.00 | 27.0 | 51.00 | 200.25 | 387.1 | 576.20 | 792.10 |
| 2025-01-05 | 116.0 | 14.00 | 20.95 | 30.0 | 57.00 | 234.25 | 458.0 | 650.05 | 1019.25 |
| 2025-01-12 | 140.5 | 16.98 | 25.00 | 37.9 | 69.00 | 274.00 | 526.1 | 774.00 | 1100.62 |
| 2025-01-19 | 165.0 | 18.98 | 28.00 | 43.9 | 82.00 | 323.00 | 630.1 | 1028.10 | 1445.15 |
| 2025-01-26 | 204.0 | 27.98 | 40.00 | 58.0 | 105.00 | 389.25 | 722.4 | 1078.25 | 1463.17 |
| 2025-02-02 | 237.0 | 32.00 | 42.95 | 60.0 | 118.00 | 460.00 | 887.1 | 1337.00 | 1978.08 |
| 2025-02-09 | 289.0 | 38.00 | 51.95 | 79.0 | 144.00 | 563.00 | 1014.1 | 1565.05 | 2281.82 |
| 2025-02-16 | 322.5 | 45.00 | 64.00 | 88.0 | 168.75 | 638.25 | 1275.2 | 1877.55 | 2512.80 |
| 2025-02-23 | 365.0 | 47.00 | 66.00 | 93.0 | 187.75 | 744.00 | 1455.2 | 2036.45 | 2849.45 |
| 2025-03-02 | 401.5 | 52.98 | 72.00 | 115.0 | 206.00 | 777.75 | 1496.2 | 2263.00 | 3199.40 |
| 2025-03-09 | 419.5 | 55.98 | 80.00 | 122.9 | 211.00 | 854.00 | 1556.8 | 2259.35 | 3192.22 |
| 2025-03-16 | 440.0 | 62.98 | 86.95 | 119.0 | 226.00 | 847.25 | 1691.3 | 2523.15 | 3461.22 |
| 2025-03-23 | 454.5 | 69.95 | 92.00 | 128.0 | 236.00 | 871.00 | 1550.1 | 2416.35 | 3562.50 |
| 2025-03-30 | 468.5 | 66.00 | 93.00 | 135.0 | 241.00 | 892.00 | 1721.1 | 2623.75 | 3635.07 |
| 2025-04-06 | 477.0 | 59.98 | 89.00 | 136.0 | 257.00 | 926.00 | 1759.1 | 2503.15 | 3696.85 |
| 2025-04-13 | 493.5 | 72.00 | 92.00 | 141.0 | 263.00 | 936.25 | 1790.9 | 2616.60 | 3841.78 |
| 2025-04-20 | 542.0 | 78.95 | 103.95 | 142.0 | 273.00 | 1043.00 | 1875.7 | 2850.95 | 4247.52 |
| 2025-04-27 | 504.0 | 69.95 | 98.95 | 146.9 | 256.75 | 993.50 | 1872.1 | 2758.10 | 4338.68 |
| 2025-05-04 | 514.0 | 71.97 | 96.00 | 135.9 | 269.00 | 984.25 | 1937.3 | 2779.70 | 3810.65 |
| 2025-05-11 | 493.5 | 72.00 | 100.00 | 141.9 | 265.75 | 923.00 | 1797.8 | 2632.80 | 3529.43 |
| 2025-05-18 | 482.5 | 73.00 | 96.00 | 139.9 | 251.00 | 933.75 | 1877.8 | 2662.00 | 3968.55 |
| 2025-05-25 | 461.5 | 55.95 | 84.00 | 129.9 | 246.00 | 893.25 | 1643.4 | 2521.60 | 3533.62 |
| 2025-06-01 | 442.0 | 66.00 | 92.00 | 129.8 | 236.00 | 861.50 | 1574.3 | 2335.55 | 3360.55 |
| 2025-06-08 | 434.5 | 64.00 | 84.95 | 128.0 | 224.75 | 810.50 | 1432.1 | 2204.10 | 3183.47 |
| 2025-06-15 | 419.0 | 55.98 | 77.95 | 112.0 | 215.00 | 776.25 | 1526.0 | 2185.90 | 3617.15 |
| 2025-06-22 | 398.0 | 57.00 | 76.00 | 110.0 | 205.00 | 772.50 | 1355.6 | 1914.05 | 2908.25 |
| 2025-06-29 | 375.0 | 51.98 | 73.00 | 106.0 | 196.00 | 727.50 | 1228.2 | 1846.30 | 2732.85 |
| 2025-07-06 | 341.5 | 47.98 | 67.00 | 99.0 | 177.00 | 658.25 | 1227.3 | 1679.15 | 2442.78 |
| 2025-07-13 | 334.5 | 46.00 | 63.95 | 95.0 | 172.00 | 627.00 | 1131.2 | 1721.95 | 2582.10 |
| 2025-07-20 | 314.0 | 48.98 | 64.00 | 90.0 | 164.00 | 574.25 | 1055.2 | 1584.10 | 2262.50 |
| 2025-07-27 | 287.0 | 42.98 | 63.00 | 86.0 | 156.00 | 551.75 | 973.1 | 1416.30 | 2102.30 |
| 2025-08-03 | 261.5 | 38.98 | 53.00 | 75.0 | 135.00 | 496.25 | 930.0 | 1258.80 | 1861.20 |
| 2025-08-10 | 256.0 | 37.00 | 49.00 | 71.9 | 129.00 | 475.00 | 821.2 | 1231.20 | 1837.50 |
| 2025-08-17 | 233.0 | 33.00 | 44.00 | 63.0 | 118.00 | 431.00 | 731.1 | 1131.15 | 1568.10 |
| 2025-08-24 | 200.0 | 31.00 | 41.00 | 59.0 | 105.00 | 396.00 | 735.1 | 1060.60 | 1401.30 |
| 2025-08-31 | 182.0 | 27.98 | 37.95 | 53.0 | 94.00 | 351.50 | 659.0 | 979.10 | 1461.00 |
| 2025-09-07 | 171.0 | 25.00 | 35.00 | 48.0 | 86.00 | 317.00 | 564.4 | 893.10 | 1272.10 |
| 2025-09-14 | 151.0 | 23.00 | 31.00 | 46.9 | 81.00 | 292.00 | 538.1 | 746.00 | 1051.05 |
| 2025-09-21 | 144.5 | 20.00 | 27.00 | 39.0 | 73.00 | 274.25 | 493.0 | 698.05 | 1012.25 |
| 2025-09-28 | 131.0 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 38.0 | 68.00 | 247.25 | 462.0 | 701.65 | 993.05 |
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