Prediction 2549
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 3 for RS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 11.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 28.00 | 81.0 | 160.25 | 336.20 |
| 2024-10-13 | 11.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 28.00 | 87.1 | 160.10 | 339.00 |
| 2024-10-20 | 11.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 29.00 | 77.0 | 157.00 | 367.43 |
| 2024-10-27 | 12.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 33.25 | 95.0 | 185.20 | 336.02 |
| 2024-11-03 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 39.00 | 101.0 | 218.00 | 467.18 |
| 2024-11-10 | 16.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 43.00 | 125.1 | 246.05 | 495.32 |
| 2024-11-17 | 19.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.75 | 52.00 | 137.2 | 297.50 | 609.05 |
| 2024-11-24 | 22.0 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 58.25 | 183.1 | 364.30 | 853.60 |
| 2024-12-01 | 28.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 72.00 | 215.0 | 447.15 | 889.23 |
| 2024-12-08 | 32.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 12.00 | 84.00 | 251.0 | 513.05 | 1170.78 |
| 2024-12-15 | 35.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 15.00 | 90.00 | 284.2 | 583.00 | 1127.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | 37.5 | 3.00 | 4.95 | 7.9 | 16.00 | 102.00 | 283.2 | 582.35 | 1266.90 |
| 2024-12-29 | 43.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 18.00 | 107.00 | 308.6 | 649.00 | 1334.38 |
| 2025-01-05 | 51.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 10.0 | 22.00 | 126.00 | 354.1 | 730.25 | 1596.20 |
| 2025-01-12 | 59.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 26.00 | 150.00 | 402.1 | 762.45 | 1737.33 |
| 2025-01-19 | 67.5 | 6.00 | 9.95 | 14.0 | 30.00 | 185.25 | 488.7 | 1038.25 | 2268.90 |
| 2025-01-26 | 90.0 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 18.0 | 39.00 | 230.25 | 590.5 | 1243.75 | 2380.57 |
| 2025-02-02 | 116.0 | 11.97 | 17.00 | 24.0 | 49.00 | 308.25 | 936.1 | 2044.80 | 3911.80 |
| 2025-02-09 | 166.5 | 15.00 | 22.00 | 33.0 | 72.00 | 455.50 | 1170.5 | 2618.75 | 5472.15 |
| 2025-02-16 | 232.0 | 22.98 | 31.00 | 47.0 | 98.75 | 599.00 | 1610.5 | 3314.05 | 6520.15 |
| 2025-02-23 | 310.5 | 27.00 | 39.00 | 60.0 | 134.00 | 864.75 | 2553.1 | 5137.35 | 9468.55 |
| 2025-03-02 | 422.5 | 37.98 | 52.95 | 79.0 | 172.00 | 1082.25 | 2765.1 | 5562.25 | 13079.38 |
| 2025-03-09 | 555.0 | 49.98 | 69.00 | 104.0 | 236.00 | 1430.75 | 4219.1 | 7970.75 | 16764.12 |
| 2025-03-16 | 744.5 | 64.97 | 92.00 | 140.9 | 304.00 | 1989.25 | 5605.6 | 12340.00 | 21961.97 |
| 2025-03-23 | 820.0 | 80.97 | 110.95 | 167.9 | 344.75 | 2279.25 | 6228.8 | 14339.80 | 30819.50 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1015.0 | 91.95 | 135.95 | 200.9 | 405.75 | 2881.00 | 7822.6 | 16190.00 | 35449.90 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1085.5 | 98.97 | 141.95 | 220.0 | 451.50 | 3156.50 | 8889.9 | 18089.75 | 39378.05 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1111.0 | 100.00 | 140.00 | 205.9 | 434.00 | 2976.75 | 8338.1 | 16675.90 | 30826.17 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1036.0 | 91.97 | 128.95 | 196.8 | 409.00 | 2913.75 | 8928.8 | 19250.20 | 35700.38 |
| 2025-04-27 | 843.0 | 74.00 | 107.00 | 166.0 | 355.00 | 2298.50 | 6803.4 | 13710.50 | 33063.82 |
| 2025-05-04 | 709.0 | 68.97 | 96.00 | 147.9 | 299.75 | 1937.00 | 5164.9 | 10537.35 | 25106.28 |
| 2025-05-11 | 514.5 | 45.98 | 66.00 | 99.0 | 211.00 | 1374.25 | 3981.0 | 8496.15 | 22392.20 |
| 2025-05-18 | 363.0 | 32.98 | 45.95 | 70.9 | 146.00 | 974.00 | 2807.4 | 6527.60 | 16108.02 |
| 2025-05-25 | 256.0 | 21.00 | 31.00 | 48.9 | 101.00 | 684.25 | 1881.4 | 4180.80 | 9666.23 |
| 2025-06-01 | 174.0 | 15.00 | 21.00 | 34.0 | 74.00 | 490.25 | 1464.4 | 3126.05 | 5991.20 |
| 2025-06-08 | 131.5 | 10.00 | 15.95 | 27.0 | 54.75 | 357.25 | 1021.8 | 2028.55 | 4014.07 |
| 2025-06-15 | 93.0 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 18.0 | 39.00 | 260.25 | 744.1 | 1606.70 | 2980.38 |
| 2025-06-22 | 70.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 28.00 | 210.25 | 616.5 | 1322.20 | 3309.12 |
| 2025-06-29 | 52.5 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 23.00 | 146.25 | 405.0 | 896.05 | 1804.08 |
| 2025-07-06 | 39.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 16.00 | 107.25 | 296.3 | 635.85 | 1306.33 |
| 2025-07-13 | 32.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 13.00 | 89.25 | 245.0 | 548.15 | 1244.90 |
| 2025-07-20 | 25.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 10.00 | 78.00 | 231.2 | 488.05 | 884.15 |
| 2025-07-27 | 22.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 9.00 | 59.00 | 160.1 | 308.30 | 598.20 |
| 2025-08-03 | 19.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 8.00 | 53.00 | 153.1 | 286.00 | 697.02 |
| 2025-08-10 | 16.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 43.00 | 121.1 | 233.35 | 545.08 |
| 2025-08-17 | 15.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 6.00 | 38.00 | 111.0 | 219.15 | 426.45 |
| 2025-08-24 | 14.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 37.00 | 100.1 | 209.05 | 435.18 |
| 2025-08-31 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 34.00 | 94.0 | 203.25 | 473.07 |
| 2025-09-07 | 13.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 32.00 | 91.0 | 160.00 | 361.10 |
| 2025-09-14 | 12.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 33.00 | 93.1 | 170.05 | 401.38 |
| 2025-09-21 | 12.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 31.00 | 80.0 | 178.10 | 298.25 |
| 2025-09-28 | 12.0 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 30.00 | 89.0 | 168.00 | 313.18 |
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