Prediction 2550
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Validation test 3 for SC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 26.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 10.00 | 79.25 | 270.1 | 582.80 | 1665.42 |
| 2024-10-13 | 25.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 10.00 | 80.00 | 272.1 | 524.05 | 1264.20 |
| 2024-10-20 | 29.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 10.00 | 89.00 | 278.2 | 583.45 | 1547.62 |
| 2024-10-27 | 28.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 90.00 | 282.0 | 615.45 | 1541.50 |
| 2024-11-03 | 34.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 12.00 | 107.00 | 329.1 | 726.30 | 1359.75 |
| 2024-11-10 | 38.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.0 | 14.00 | 116.00 | 384.0 | 830.15 | 2263.50 |
| 2024-11-17 | 45.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 17.00 | 146.00 | 474.5 | 1108.15 | 2341.05 |
| 2024-11-24 | 53.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 21.00 | 162.00 | 524.3 | 1147.65 | 3216.62 |
| 2024-12-01 | 62.0 | 4.97 | 7.00 | 11.0 | 25.00 | 205.25 | 640.9 | 1395.10 | 3383.07 |
| 2024-12-08 | 72.0 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 29.00 | 241.25 | 770.0 | 1633.15 | 4221.80 |
| 2024-12-15 | 83.0 | 5.97 | 9.00 | 14.0 | 31.00 | 271.00 | 922.3 | 1803.85 | 4420.22 |
| 2024-12-22 | 90.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 15.0 | 33.00 | 293.00 | 988.2 | 2275.80 | 5166.80 |
| 2024-12-29 | 100.0 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 16.9 | 36.00 | 323.75 | 1134.8 | 2844.00 | 5261.60 |
| 2025-01-05 | 109.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 19.0 | 41.00 | 382.00 | 1278.1 | 3104.50 | 6768.07 |
| 2025-01-12 | 125.0 | 9.00 | 14.00 | 22.0 | 46.00 | 407.50 | 1552.5 | 3452.50 | 6457.05 |
| 2025-01-19 | 153.0 | 11.00 | 17.00 | 26.0 | 59.00 | 486.50 | 1818.2 | 4009.10 | 9170.40 |
| 2025-01-26 | 187.0 | 13.00 | 20.00 | 31.0 | 71.00 | 585.25 | 1861.5 | 4267.80 | 9853.17 |
| 2025-02-02 | 231.0 | 16.00 | 22.00 | 35.0 | 86.75 | 738.50 | 2495.2 | 6105.10 | 15177.92 |
| 2025-02-09 | 283.0 | 21.00 | 32.00 | 47.0 | 102.00 | 915.50 | 3192.8 | 7581.80 | 20086.92 |
| 2025-02-16 | 373.0 | 28.00 | 42.00 | 60.0 | 131.75 | 1204.50 | 4470.1 | 10154.00 | 23921.70 |
| 2025-02-23 | 462.0 | 35.98 | 50.00 | 79.0 | 174.00 | 1533.25 | 5566.6 | 12335.65 | 27790.02 |
| 2025-03-02 | 636.5 | 46.98 | 64.00 | 99.9 | 222.75 | 1992.75 | 7011.9 | 17207.80 | 39297.22 |
| 2025-03-09 | 799.5 | 55.00 | 84.00 | 124.9 | 296.75 | 2422.00 | 9229.4 | 20440.00 | 51115.67 |
| 2025-03-16 | 977.5 | 73.00 | 108.95 | 170.0 | 351.50 | 3204.00 | 12242.1 | 27862.05 | 68490.40 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1276.5 | 87.97 | 128.90 | 195.0 | 409.00 | 4008.25 | 14029.9 | 35106.50 | 107648.50 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1370.5 | 99.97 | 146.95 | 246.0 | 503.00 | 4410.00 | 16607.5 | 42778.70 | 135332.85 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1599.0 | 112.00 | 163.00 | 263.0 | 587.50 | 5330.25 | 21086.6 | 53558.25 | 131335.47 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1760.0 | 114.95 | 178.90 | 287.0 | 602.50 | 5988.75 | 21931.9 | 58122.25 | 150438.32 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1727.0 | 117.95 | 173.90 | 292.9 | 614.25 | 5888.75 | 23250.9 | 62072.30 | 146570.70 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1562.0 | 107.95 | 158.00 | 260.0 | 552.75 | 5636.25 | 22084.4 | 57787.70 | 137491.75 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1482.5 | 110.00 | 151.95 | 233.0 | 511.00 | 5048.25 | 19847.6 | 54274.15 | 135051.57 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1154.5 | 85.00 | 113.00 | 184.9 | 417.50 | 4121.25 | 17050.5 | 40927.90 | 121979.92 |
| 2025-05-18 | 934.0 | 69.97 | 100.00 | 157.9 | 321.00 | 3333.50 | 14620.9 | 34481.30 | 96927.57 |
| 2025-05-25 | 717.5 | 43.00 | 65.00 | 103.9 | 259.00 | 2659.75 | 10229.1 | 29902.40 | 91025.10 |
| 2025-06-01 | 574.5 | 33.98 | 55.95 | 81.9 | 188.00 | 2039.25 | 7236.2 | 22389.85 | 56606.62 |
| 2025-06-08 | 427.5 | 24.98 | 37.95 | 59.0 | 143.00 | 1561.50 | 6383.8 | 19812.20 | 43313.95 |
| 2025-06-15 | 319.0 | 19.98 | 30.00 | 45.0 | 104.75 | 1096.75 | 4691.0 | 11689.15 | 27771.17 |
| 2025-06-22 | 235.0 | 14.00 | 23.00 | 37.0 | 78.75 | 869.50 | 3548.0 | 8404.95 | 20194.90 |
| 2025-06-29 | 177.5 | 12.00 | 17.00 | 26.0 | 61.00 | 669.00 | 2288.5 | 6520.60 | 15083.85 |
| 2025-07-06 | 137.0 | 9.00 | 13.00 | 20.0 | 49.00 | 477.00 | 1810.8 | 4880.90 | 14073.85 |
| 2025-07-13 | 105.0 | 6.00 | 9.95 | 15.0 | 38.00 | 347.75 | 1291.1 | 3648.95 | 9220.42 |
| 2025-07-20 | 81.5 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 28.00 | 284.00 | 1152.1 | 2474.40 | 5445.90 |
| 2025-07-27 | 63.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 9.0 | 23.00 | 230.25 | 851.5 | 2244.45 | 5906.02 |
| 2025-08-03 | 53.5 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 19.00 | 182.00 | 677.2 | 1783.60 | 4353.48 |
| 2025-08-10 | 49.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 17.00 | 162.50 | 622.9 | 1689.90 | 4467.12 |
| 2025-08-17 | 46.0 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 16.00 | 152.00 | 571.6 | 1262.30 | 2888.00 |
| 2025-08-24 | 40.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 14.00 | 139.00 | 492.0 | 1025.95 | 2566.47 |
| 2025-08-31 | 35.5 | 2.00 | 3.95 | 6.0 | 14.00 | 130.00 | 488.5 | 1116.15 | 2660.38 |
| 2025-09-07 | 35.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 13.00 | 117.00 | 413.0 | 979.15 | 2265.68 |
| 2025-09-14 | 31.5 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 12.00 | 107.00 | 373.1 | 903.30 | 2153.43 |
| 2025-09-21 | 30.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 11.00 | 90.25 | 346.0 | 818.10 | 2069.55 |
| 2025-09-28 | 27.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.0 | 10.75 | 89.25 | 314.4 | 651.30 | 1539.05 |
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