Prediction 2551
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Validation test 3 for SE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 29.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 10.00 | 79.00 | 182.1 | 286.20 | 458.02 |
| 2024-10-13 | 31.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 11.00 | 84.00 | 181.1 | 298.00 | 507.15 |
| 2024-10-20 | 30.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 11.00 | 77.00 | 178.1 | 302.00 | 461.02 |
| 2024-10-27 | 31.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 11.00 | 80.00 | 189.1 | 361.05 | 585.33 |
| 2024-11-03 | 29.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 10.00 | 75.25 | 177.0 | 291.00 | 452.05 |
| 2024-11-10 | 27.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 9.00 | 72.00 | 171.3 | 273.05 | 448.05 |
| 2024-11-17 | 26.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 9.75 | 67.00 | 159.0 | 275.10 | 430.05 |
| 2024-11-24 | 22.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 61.00 | 140.0 | 246.05 | 393.45 |
| 2024-12-01 | 21.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 56.00 | 131.1 | 206.05 | 347.15 |
| 2024-12-08 | 18.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 50.00 | 120.0 | 210.00 | 380.05 |
| 2024-12-15 | 16.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 45.00 | 103.1 | 170.00 | 306.15 |
| 2024-12-22 | 15.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 40.00 | 87.1 | 154.00 | 243.03 |
| 2024-12-29 | 14.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 38.00 | 87.0 | 134.00 | 211.03 |
| 2025-01-05 | 13.0 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 35.00 | 84.0 | 144.00 | 229.00 |
| 2025-01-12 | 13.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 38.00 | 87.1 | 151.05 | 235.07 |
| 2025-01-19 | 14.0 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 37.00 | 87.0 | 159.00 | 232.10 |
| 2025-01-26 | 15.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 40.00 | 101.0 | 166.05 | 261.38 |
| 2025-02-02 | 16.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 43.00 | 103.0 | 171.05 | 256.12 |
| 2025-02-09 | 17.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 45.00 | 113.1 | 183.00 | 274.00 |
| 2025-02-16 | 18.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 48.00 | 117.1 | 179.10 | 315.07 |
| 2025-02-23 | 19.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 48.00 | 116.1 | 181.05 | 280.02 |
| 2025-03-02 | 19.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 51.00 | 121.0 | 206.15 | 328.07 |
| 2025-03-09 | 20.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 54.00 | 131.0 | 224.05 | 368.07 |
| 2025-03-16 | 20.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 59.00 | 142.1 | 247.05 | 375.05 |
| 2025-03-23 | 21.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 8.00 | 59.00 | 140.1 | 229.10 | 329.05 |
| 2025-03-30 | 24.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 8.00 | 63.25 | 153.0 | 244.15 | 395.00 |
| 2025-04-06 | 24.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 9.00 | 67.00 | 146.0 | 269.05 | 436.52 |
| 2025-04-13 | 26.0 | 1.00 | 1.95 | 3.0 | 10.00 | 67.00 | 165.0 | 283.30 | 410.25 |
| 2025-04-20 | 29.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 10.00 | 80.00 | 187.0 | 300.00 | 477.07 |
| 2025-04-27 | 32.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 11.00 | 80.00 | 193.2 | 362.05 | 551.12 |
| 2025-05-04 | 33.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 12.00 | 91.00 | 217.2 | 376.10 | 603.08 |
| 2025-05-11 | 37.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 14.00 | 96.25 | 217.1 | 394.05 | 581.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | 38.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 14.00 | 109.25 | 253.0 | 466.60 | 777.02 |
| 2025-05-25 | 44.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 16.00 | 123.00 | 279.1 | 449.05 | 715.08 |
| 2025-06-01 | 49.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 16.00 | 134.00 | 302.2 | 506.05 | 800.50 |
| 2025-06-08 | 50.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 17.00 | 129.00 | 306.0 | 527.20 | 770.27 |
| 2025-06-15 | 53.0 | 1.98 | 4.00 | 7.0 | 19.75 | 148.00 | 336.1 | 513.00 | 915.02 |
| 2025-06-22 | 55.5 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 19.00 | 149.00 | 357.1 | 613.05 | 1056.17 |
| 2025-06-29 | 61.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 8.0 | 21.00 | 153.00 | 367.1 | 594.00 | 1039.38 |
| 2025-07-06 | 60.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 8.0 | 20.00 | 160.00 | 368.1 | 598.30 | 912.08 |
| 2025-07-13 | 59.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 8.0 | 21.00 | 167.25 | 364.1 | 610.15 | 903.05 |
| 2025-07-20 | 59.0 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 8.0 | 22.00 | 157.00 | 348.2 | 545.30 | 866.52 |
| 2025-07-27 | 55.0 | 1.98 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 20.00 | 147.00 | 365.3 | 606.10 | 1007.20 |
| 2025-08-03 | 51.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 18.00 | 136.00 | 309.1 | 527.40 | 951.02 |
| 2025-08-10 | 47.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 17.00 | 121.00 | 303.2 | 496.35 | 794.05 |
| 2025-08-17 | 44.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.9 | 15.00 | 114.25 | 261.1 | 458.00 | 722.05 |
| 2025-08-24 | 38.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 5.0 | 15.00 | 101.00 | 273.1 | 456.20 | 768.23 |
| 2025-08-31 | 37.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 13.00 | 102.00 | 243.2 | 394.40 | 676.38 |
| 2025-09-07 | 34.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 12.00 | 93.00 | 213.4 | 365.00 | 565.02 |
| 2025-09-14 | 33.0 | 0.97 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 12.00 | 88.00 | 208.1 | 394.00 | 599.17 |
| 2025-09-21 | 29.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.9 | 9.00 | 82.00 | 205.1 | 344.05 | 524.15 |
| 2025-09-28 | 30.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.0 | 10.00 | 84.00 | 197.0 | 348.05 | 516.05 |
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Interval Bounds
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