Prediction 2552
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 3 for SP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 972.0 | 306.90 | 362.00 | 450.8 | 641.00 | 1615.50 | 2972.1 | 4652.85 | 7164.25 |
| 2024-10-13 | 1049.5 | 323.98 | 381.00 | 464.0 | 669.00 | 1705.25 | 3179.1 | 4700.10 | 6972.62 |
| 2024-10-20 | 1062.0 | 334.00 | 393.00 | 498.0 | 704.75 | 1825.00 | 3372.1 | 4994.60 | 9532.45 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1160.5 | 375.98 | 418.95 | 513.0 | 738.00 | 1957.25 | 3724.0 | 5818.70 | 8363.70 |
| 2024-11-03 | 1246.0 | 376.00 | 463.00 | 563.9 | 815.75 | 2206.75 | 4053.1 | 6537.20 | 10050.12 |
| 2024-11-10 | 1294.5 | 404.00 | 478.95 | 586.9 | 851.50 | 2200.00 | 4031.3 | 6882.40 | 10653.75 |
| 2024-11-17 | 1448.5 | 435.95 | 533.90 | 671.7 | 947.25 | 2419.50 | 4337.7 | 7119.10 | 11004.52 |
| 2024-11-24 | 1583.5 | 518.95 | 621.00 | 734.0 | 1024.00 | 2720.25 | 4926.7 | 8331.25 | 12529.10 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1761.5 | 512.98 | 636.90 | 790.9 | 1129.25 | 2922.00 | 5449.7 | 8079.45 | 13085.85 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1975.5 | 598.88 | 705.95 | 881.9 | 1281.50 | 3356.25 | 6353.6 | 10441.70 | 15246.10 |
| 2024-12-15 | 2218.5 | 684.92 | 796.65 | 978.0 | 1416.75 | 3773.00 | 7036.9 | 11047.90 | 18075.50 |
| 2024-12-22 | 2490.0 | 750.98 | 893.80 | 1092.9 | 1596.25 | 4255.75 | 8116.9 | 12120.65 | 18060.95 |
| 2024-12-29 | 3037.5 | 912.60 | 1083.75 | 1341.8 | 1905.75 | 5201.50 | 10015.3 | 15183.40 | 25539.12 |
| 2025-01-05 | 3726.0 | 1156.83 | 1372.95 | 1681.6 | 2327.25 | 6490.50 | 12125.3 | 19486.75 | 32575.62 |
| 2025-01-12 | 4495.0 | 1361.97 | 1633.90 | 2055.8 | 2930.25 | 7661.25 | 15004.2 | 23919.00 | 34098.85 |
| 2025-01-19 | 5536.5 | 1668.92 | 2077.70 | 2476.7 | 3573.00 | 9237.75 | 17194.2 | 27844.65 | 47334.82 |
| 2025-01-26 | 6623.0 | 2007.85 | 2411.95 | 2983.7 | 4240.50 | 11454.75 | 21231.3 | 33052.20 | 48982.20 |
| 2025-02-02 | 7856.0 | 2407.95 | 2856.70 | 3485.7 | 4989.25 | 13345.50 | 23753.9 | 39025.20 | 68379.43 |
| 2025-02-09 | 8897.0 | 2648.82 | 3155.90 | 3987.0 | 5640.25 | 15099.50 | 27931.8 | 44221.00 | 73071.17 |
| 2025-02-16 | 10088.0 | 2994.75 | 3630.60 | 4475.3 | 6374.75 | 16846.50 | 32629.8 | 53743.35 | 85739.25 |
| 2025-02-23 | 11336.5 | 3343.72 | 3945.70 | 5090.4 | 7171.75 | 18756.25 | 35511.4 | 54458.50 | 82637.72 |
| 2025-03-02 | 12183.0 | 3587.65 | 4547.55 | 5722.4 | 8073.75 | 20492.50 | 39489.9 | 60073.90 | 95254.60 |
| 2025-03-09 | 13419.5 | 4359.02 | 5191.70 | 6292.8 | 8939.00 | 23256.50 | 41508.8 | 69784.00 | 111382.72 |
| 2025-03-16 | 14419.0 | 4301.75 | 5442.40 | 6540.1 | 9337.00 | 25009.00 | 47524.0 | 74278.25 | 116636.12 |
| 2025-03-23 | 15801.5 | 5239.38 | 6162.55 | 7320.6 | 10357.75 | 26439.50 | 49462.7 | 82050.70 | 123466.37 |
| 2025-03-30 | 16684.5 | 4924.95 | 6186.25 | 7468.4 | 10821.75 | 28594.00 | 50038.7 | 80730.95 | 133462.70 |
| 2025-04-06 | 17676.0 | 5505.73 | 6436.10 | 7895.1 | 11341.75 | 29823.50 | 53593.7 | 85326.20 | 152486.45 |
| 2025-04-13 | 17940.5 | 5547.25 | 6513.75 | 8036.6 | 11533.00 | 30038.25 | 52275.7 | 80892.60 | 123026.75 |
| 2025-04-20 | 17013.0 | 5402.90 | 6478.45 | 7742.7 | 10974.25 | 28013.50 | 50865.0 | 83132.05 | 123058.25 |
| 2025-04-27 | 15544.0 | 4816.20 | 5826.20 | 7361.1 | 10362.75 | 26093.00 | 46306.3 | 76577.40 | 128540.22 |
| 2025-05-04 | 13676.5 | 4399.88 | 5292.90 | 6276.0 | 8972.25 | 22877.50 | 41889.2 | 64763.20 | 101741.32 |
| 2025-05-11 | 11568.0 | 3842.50 | 4576.90 | 5496.0 | 7625.75 | 19573.50 | 34028.4 | 52658.30 | 86155.60 |
| 2025-05-18 | 9447.0 | 2876.40 | 3399.45 | 4145.0 | 5961.75 | 15761.25 | 28788.7 | 50958.20 | 73711.90 |
| 2025-05-25 | 7578.5 | 2247.65 | 2692.50 | 3297.3 | 4740.50 | 12444.75 | 22311.6 | 35247.55 | 55964.75 |
| 2025-06-01 | 5666.5 | 1808.78 | 2121.45 | 2671.9 | 3829.75 | 9484.25 | 16467.4 | 25726.70 | 40856.50 |
| 2025-06-08 | 4271.5 | 1354.00 | 1649.95 | 1980.4 | 2839.75 | 7195.25 | 13457.5 | 21762.30 | 32928.22 |
| 2025-06-15 | 3372.0 | 1028.92 | 1229.55 | 1505.9 | 2195.25 | 5607.50 | 10284.9 | 16363.60 | 26692.40 |
| 2025-06-22 | 2541.0 | 826.85 | 957.75 | 1177.9 | 1719.75 | 4225.00 | 7716.8 | 12896.10 | 19490.88 |
| 2025-06-29 | 2004.5 | 617.80 | 752.80 | 942.0 | 1358.75 | 3358.00 | 6030.6 | 9856.90 | 14595.45 |
| 2025-07-06 | 1613.0 | 499.98 | 580.90 | 728.9 | 1033.00 | 2666.25 | 4980.0 | 7865.60 | 13292.35 |
| 2025-07-13 | 1319.5 | 400.93 | 493.90 | 610.0 | 888.75 | 2172.25 | 3940.5 | 6085.30 | 9082.62 |
| 2025-07-20 | 1143.5 | 345.98 | 413.00 | 514.9 | 736.00 | 1907.00 | 3537.6 | 5204.40 | 8922.30 |
| 2025-07-27 | 997.0 | 306.00 | 365.95 | 448.9 | 638.00 | 1636.00 | 2976.6 | 4969.25 | 8609.55 |
| 2025-08-03 | 901.0 | 282.95 | 332.95 | 407.9 | 590.00 | 1509.00 | 2784.5 | 4942.95 | 6976.45 |
| 2025-08-10 | 863.5 | 257.98 | 308.95 | 378.9 | 553.50 | 1437.75 | 2467.4 | 4073.25 | 6566.10 |
| 2025-08-17 | 812.0 | 251.00 | 282.00 | 365.9 | 529.00 | 1299.00 | 2321.2 | 3841.25 | 6911.12 |
| 2025-08-24 | 799.0 | 243.00 | 295.00 | 362.0 | 521.50 | 1338.00 | 2451.7 | 3973.60 | 6082.82 |
| 2025-08-31 | 808.5 | 250.93 | 294.95 | 366.9 | 519.50 | 1283.50 | 2525.5 | 3737.10 | 5416.70 |
| 2025-09-07 | 845.0 | 257.95 | 314.95 | 383.0 | 545.75 | 1404.25 | 2568.3 | 3830.95 | 5561.57 |
| 2025-09-14 | 876.5 | 277.95 | 335.90 | 391.0 | 587.00 | 1412.00 | 2677.6 | 3971.70 | 6715.25 |
| 2025-09-21 | 904.0 | 281.93 | 333.90 | 410.9 | 580.75 | 1501.00 | 2858.0 | 4266.30 | 6732.80 |
| 2025-09-28 | 955.0 | 294.93 | 351.95 | 441.0 | 626.00 | 1612.00 | 2895.1 | 4813.90 | 8509.50 |
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