Prediction 2553
| Model | Beat it |
|---|---|
| Author | Leo Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation test 3 for TO
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 28.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 16.00 | 50.00 | 87.0 | 117.00 | 163.07 |
| 2024-10-13 | 31.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 18.00 | 55.00 | 93.0 | 138.05 | 195.00 |
| 2024-10-20 | 36.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 21.00 | 65.00 | 110.0 | 168.00 | 244.05 |
| 2024-10-27 | 43.0 | 7.97 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 25.00 | 76.00 | 130.1 | 191.30 | 271.10 |
| 2024-11-03 | 53.0 | 10.00 | 13.00 | 19.0 | 31.00 | 93.00 | 163.0 | 218.00 | 298.10 |
| 2024-11-10 | 60.0 | 12.00 | 16.00 | 22.0 | 35.00 | 106.00 | 192.0 | 270.00 | 369.07 |
| 2024-11-17 | 74.0 | 15.00 | 19.00 | 27.0 | 43.00 | 130.00 | 234.0 | 318.05 | 441.02 |
| 2024-11-24 | 83.5 | 17.00 | 22.00 | 31.0 | 50.00 | 151.00 | 269.0 | 391.00 | 565.08 |
| 2024-12-01 | 96.0 | 18.00 | 23.00 | 31.0 | 54.00 | 170.00 | 302.0 | 470.15 | 692.05 |
| 2024-12-08 | 101.0 | 19.00 | 25.00 | 34.0 | 57.00 | 182.00 | 329.0 | 453.05 | 658.48 |
| 2024-12-15 | 109.0 | 20.00 | 28.00 | 40.0 | 63.00 | 197.25 | 351.1 | 532.00 | 718.05 |
| 2024-12-22 | 116.0 | 21.00 | 28.00 | 38.0 | 67.00 | 204.25 | 382.0 | 539.00 | 784.40 |
| 2024-12-29 | 126.0 | 26.00 | 34.95 | 44.0 | 73.00 | 224.50 | 383.0 | 558.00 | 838.17 |
| 2025-01-05 | 142.0 | 29.98 | 38.00 | 50.0 | 84.00 | 259.00 | 429.1 | 616.05 | 1034.53 |
| 2025-01-12 | 162.0 | 30.98 | 40.00 | 55.0 | 94.00 | 291.50 | 483.0 | 684.00 | 1026.25 |
| 2025-01-19 | 168.0 | 34.00 | 43.95 | 60.0 | 101.00 | 294.00 | 527.1 | 763.00 | 1060.05 |
| 2025-01-26 | 190.5 | 38.00 | 50.00 | 66.0 | 109.00 | 330.00 | 558.1 | 807.00 | 1190.25 |
| 2025-02-02 | 201.0 | 43.98 | 54.00 | 71.0 | 118.00 | 345.25 | 599.3 | 854.20 | 1147.03 |
| 2025-02-09 | 199.0 | 42.98 | 55.95 | 73.0 | 120.00 | 354.25 | 615.4 | 881.55 | 1242.35 |
| 2025-02-16 | 207.0 | 42.00 | 55.00 | 73.9 | 122.00 | 364.25 | 623.3 | 933.10 | 1368.35 |
| 2025-02-23 | 214.0 | 45.00 | 59.00 | 78.0 | 126.00 | 357.25 | 632.2 | 964.20 | 1408.10 |
| 2025-03-02 | 219.0 | 40.98 | 57.00 | 76.0 | 127.00 | 382.00 | 618.0 | 874.25 | 1252.38 |
| 2025-03-09 | 216.0 | 42.98 | 59.00 | 80.9 | 129.75 | 382.00 | 669.1 | 938.05 | 1178.15 |
| 2025-03-16 | 217.0 | 46.00 | 61.95 | 83.0 | 129.75 | 391.50 | 650.0 | 910.05 | 1341.05 |
| 2025-03-23 | 213.0 | 46.00 | 59.95 | 76.0 | 126.00 | 361.00 | 677.3 | 949.50 | 1252.22 |
| 2025-03-30 | 219.0 | 42.98 | 56.95 | 80.0 | 128.75 | 377.00 | 620.2 | 862.35 | 1243.50 |
| 2025-04-06 | 220.0 | 47.98 | 64.00 | 79.0 | 130.00 | 386.00 | 626.1 | 942.10 | 1282.12 |
| 2025-04-13 | 215.0 | 45.00 | 57.95 | 79.0 | 127.00 | 363.25 | 613.0 | 865.05 | 1262.05 |
| 2025-04-20 | 205.0 | 43.98 | 54.00 | 75.0 | 120.00 | 354.00 | 609.3 | 906.10 | 1370.08 |
| 2025-04-27 | 194.5 | 40.00 | 51.95 | 68.9 | 113.00 | 342.00 | 568.1 | 821.30 | 1154.25 |
| 2025-05-04 | 177.0 | 35.98 | 46.00 | 64.9 | 103.00 | 303.00 | 514.0 | 742.15 | 1101.03 |
| 2025-05-11 | 158.0 | 31.98 | 41.00 | 56.0 | 90.00 | 276.00 | 460.0 | 663.10 | 974.15 |
| 2025-05-18 | 137.0 | 27.00 | 36.00 | 49.0 | 79.00 | 240.00 | 425.1 | 624.10 | 794.15 |
| 2025-05-25 | 118.5 | 23.00 | 30.95 | 41.9 | 67.00 | 206.00 | 355.0 | 507.15 | 715.35 |
| 2025-06-01 | 102.0 | 19.00 | 25.95 | 35.0 | 59.00 | 172.00 | 300.1 | 431.05 | 614.12 |
| 2025-06-08 | 83.0 | 16.00 | 21.00 | 29.0 | 48.00 | 147.00 | 254.1 | 364.10 | 550.05 |
| 2025-06-15 | 69.0 | 14.00 | 18.00 | 24.0 | 40.00 | 117.00 | 194.0 | 293.10 | 380.43 |
| 2025-06-22 | 59.5 | 11.00 | 15.00 | 21.0 | 35.00 | 104.00 | 180.0 | 257.00 | 360.02 |
| 2025-06-29 | 51.0 | 9.97 | 13.00 | 17.0 | 31.00 | 88.00 | 151.1 | 221.00 | 335.05 |
| 2025-07-06 | 44.0 | 7.97 | 11.00 | 15.0 | 25.00 | 80.00 | 135.0 | 189.00 | 277.02 |
| 2025-07-13 | 41.0 | 7.00 | 10.00 | 14.0 | 23.00 | 72.00 | 124.0 | 176.00 | 268.07 |
| 2025-07-20 | 37.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 13.0 | 21.00 | 66.00 | 116.0 | 166.00 | 231.00 |
| 2025-07-27 | 34.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 12.0 | 19.00 | 61.00 | 101.0 | 146.00 | 214.00 |
| 2025-08-03 | 32.0 | 6.00 | 8.00 | 11.0 | 18.00 | 55.25 | 95.1 | 135.00 | 202.03 |
| 2025-08-10 | 29.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 16.00 | 50.00 | 89.0 | 125.00 | 185.00 |
| 2025-08-17 | 26.0 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 10.0 | 16.00 | 46.00 | 81.0 | 118.00 | 168.03 |
| 2025-08-24 | 25.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.9 | 15.00 | 45.00 | 76.0 | 115.00 | 169.03 |
| 2025-08-31 | 25.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 42.25 | 76.1 | 108.00 | 144.03 |
| 2025-09-07 | 24.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 7.0 | 13.00 | 41.00 | 75.1 | 113.10 | 152.00 |
| 2025-09-14 | 24.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 43.00 | 74.0 | 107.05 | 150.05 |
| 2025-09-21 | 25.0 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 8.0 | 14.00 | 43.00 | 75.0 | 110.00 | 153.00 |
| 2025-09-28 | 26.0 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 8.0 | 15.00 | 44.25 | 79.0 | 112.05 | 162.03 |
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Interval Bounds
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