Prediction 2561
Model | CNNLSTM_DengueForecast_Cases_Climate_Data_Driven_Ensemble |
---|---|
Author | Haridas Kumar Das |
ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Validation test 2 in DF
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 80.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 197.91 | 303.90 | 367.18 | 422.10 |
2023-10-15 | 74.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 192.33 | 298.33 | 361.61 | 416.52 |
2023-10-22 | 85.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 203.05 | 309.04 | 372.32 | 427.23 |
2023-10-29 | 76.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 194.21 | 300.21 | 363.49 | 418.40 |
2023-11-05 | 76.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 193.73 | 299.72 | 363.00 | 417.92 |
2023-11-12 | 84.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 201.84 | 307.84 | 371.12 | 426.03 |
2023-11-19 | 95.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 213.41 | 319.40 | 382.68 | 437.60 |
2023-11-26 | 113.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 230.87 | 336.86 | 400.14 | 455.06 |
2023-12-03 | 111.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 229.08 | 335.07 | 398.35 | 453.27 |
2023-12-10 | 145.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.51 | 262.50 | 368.49 | 431.78 | 486.69 |
2023-12-17 | 146.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.52 | 263.52 | 369.51 | 432.79 | 487.70 |
2023-12-24 | 140.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.14 | 258.14 | 364.13 | 427.41 | 482.33 |
2023-12-31 | 123.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.75 | 240.75 | 346.74 | 410.02 | 464.94 |
2024-01-07 | 303.44 | 0.00 | 16.67 | 79.95 | 185.95 | 420.94 | 526.93 | 590.22 | 645.13 |
2024-01-14 | 308.33 | 0.00 | 21.56 | 84.84 | 190.84 | 425.83 | 531.82 | 595.11 | 650.02 |
2024-01-21 | 391.76 | 50.08 | 104.99 | 168.27 | 274.27 | 509.26 | 615.26 | 678.54 | 733.45 |
2024-01-28 | 438.12 | 96.43 | 151.34 | 214.63 | 320.62 | 555.61 | 661.61 | 724.89 | 779.80 |
2024-02-04 | 510.41 | 168.72 | 223.64 | 286.92 | 392.91 | 627.91 | 733.90 | 797.18 | 852.09 |
2024-02-11 | 631.30 | 289.62 | 344.53 | 407.81 | 513.81 | 748.80 | 854.79 | 918.08 | 972.99 |
2024-02-18 | 636.26 | 294.57 | 349.48 | 412.77 | 518.76 | 753.75 | 859.75 | 923.03 | 977.94 |
2024-02-25 | 694.84 | 353.15 | 408.06 | 471.35 | 577.34 | 812.33 | 918.33 | 981.61 | 1036.52 |
2024-03-03 | 752.64 | 410.95 | 465.86 | 529.15 | 635.14 | 870.13 | 976.13 | 1039.41 | 1094.32 |
2024-03-10 | 847.16 | 505.47 | 560.38 | 623.67 | 729.66 | 964.65 | 1070.65 | 1133.93 | 1188.84 |
2024-03-17 | 902.98 | 561.30 | 616.21 | 679.49 | 785.49 | 1020.48 | 1126.47 | 1189.76 | 1244.67 |
2024-03-24 | 956.97 | 615.28 | 670.20 | 733.48 | 839.47 | 1074.47 | 1180.46 | 1243.74 | 1298.65 |
2024-03-31 | 985.03 | 643.35 | 698.26 | 761.54 | 867.53 | 1102.53 | 1208.52 | 1271.80 | 1326.72 |
2024-04-07 | 982.40 | 640.71 | 695.63 | 758.91 | 864.90 | 1099.90 | 1205.89 | 1269.17 | 1324.09 |
2024-04-14 | 1113.60 | 771.91 | 826.83 | 890.11 | 996.10 | 1231.10 | 1337.09 | 1400.37 | 1455.28 |
2024-04-21 | 1101.10 | 759.42 | 814.33 | 877.61 | 983.61 | 1218.60 | 1324.59 | 1387.88 | 1442.79 |
2024-04-28 | 1097.22 | 755.54 | 810.45 | 873.73 | 979.72 | 1214.72 | 1320.71 | 1383.99 | 1438.91 |
2024-05-05 | 1031.70 | 690.02 | 744.93 | 808.21 | 914.21 | 1149.20 | 1255.19 | 1318.48 | 1373.39 |
2024-05-12 | 986.89 | 645.21 | 700.12 | 763.40 | 869.40 | 1104.39 | 1210.38 | 1273.67 | 1328.58 |
2024-05-19 | 996.80 | 655.12 | 710.03 | 773.31 | 879.31 | 1114.30 | 1220.29 | 1283.58 | 1338.49 |
2024-05-26 | 858.94 | 517.26 | 572.17 | 635.45 | 741.44 | 976.44 | 1082.43 | 1145.71 | 1200.63 |
2024-06-02 | 821.50 | 479.81 | 534.73 | 598.01 | 704.00 | 939.00 | 1044.99 | 1108.27 | 1163.18 |
2024-06-09 | 696.82 | 355.13 | 410.05 | 473.33 | 579.32 | 814.32 | 920.31 | 983.59 | 1038.50 |
2024-06-16 | 535.48 | 193.80 | 248.71 | 311.99 | 417.98 | 652.98 | 758.97 | 822.25 | 877.17 |
2024-06-23 | 380.85 | 39.16 | 94.08 | 157.36 | 263.35 | 498.35 | 604.34 | 667.62 | 722.54 |
2024-06-30 | 290.29 | 0.00 | 3.51 | 66.80 | 172.79 | 407.78 | 513.78 | 577.06 | 631.97 |
2024-07-07 | 244.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.21 | 127.20 | 362.20 | 468.19 | 531.47 | 586.38 |
2024-07-14 | 167.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.94 | 284.94 | 390.93 | 454.21 | 509.12 |
2024-07-21 | 130.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.16 | 248.15 | 354.15 | 417.43 | 472.34 |
2024-07-28 | 107.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 225.15 | 331.14 | 394.42 | 449.34 |
2024-08-04 | 99.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 217.01 | 323.00 | 386.28 | 441.20 |
2024-08-11 | 99.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 217.11 | 323.11 | 386.39 | 441.30 |
2024-08-18 | 95.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 212.64 | 318.63 | 381.91 | 436.82 |
2024-08-25 | 92.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 209.55 | 315.55 | 378.83 | 433.74 |
2024-09-01 | 92.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 209.92 | 315.92 | 379.20 | 434.11 |
2024-09-08 | 89.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 206.54 | 312.54 | 375.82 | 430.73 |
2024-09-15 | 94.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 211.59 | 317.58 | 380.86 | 435.78 |
2024-09-22 | 106.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 224.46 | 330.45 | 393.73 | 448.64 |
2024-09-29 | 108.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 225.68 | 331.68 | 394.96 | 449.87 |