Prediction 2584
| Model | CNNLSTM_DengueForecast_Cases_Climate_Data_Driven_Ensemble |
|---|---|
| Author | Haridas Kumar Das |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 1 in SP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 240.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1332.49 | 2318.00 | 2906.39 | 3416.97 |
| 2022-10-16 | 246.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1339.06 | 2324.57 | 2912.96 | 3423.54 |
| 2022-10-23 | 249.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1341.84 | 2327.35 | 2915.73 | 3426.32 |
| 2022-10-30 | 255.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1347.50 | 2333.01 | 2921.40 | 3431.98 |
| 2022-11-06 | 321.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1413.49 | 2399.00 | 2987.39 | 3497.97 |
| 2022-11-13 | 407.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1499.62 | 2485.13 | 3073.52 | 3584.10 |
| 2022-11-20 | 449.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1541.85 | 2527.36 | 3115.75 | 3626.33 |
| 2022-11-27 | 555.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1648.15 | 2633.66 | 3222.05 | 3732.64 |
| 2022-12-04 | 711.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1804.29 | 2789.80 | 3378.19 | 3888.77 |
| 2022-12-11 | 935.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2027.55 | 3013.06 | 3601.44 | 4112.03 |
| 2022-12-18 | 1091.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2184.29 | 3169.80 | 3758.19 | 4268.77 |
| 2022-12-25 | 1027.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2120.18 | 3105.68 | 3694.07 | 4204.66 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1210.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.24 | 2303.22 | 3288.73 | 3877.12 | 4387.70 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1968.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 876.26 | 3061.23 | 4046.74 | 4635.13 | 5145.72 |
| 2023-01-15 | 2939.79 | 0.00 | 273.40 | 861.79 | 1847.30 | 4032.27 | 5017.78 | 5606.17 | 6116.76 |
| 2023-01-22 | 4002.65 | 825.68 | 1336.27 | 1924.66 | 2910.16 | 5095.14 | 6080.65 | 6669.04 | 7179.62 |
| 2023-01-29 | 5295.02 | 2118.05 | 2628.63 | 3217.02 | 4202.53 | 6387.50 | 7373.01 | 7961.40 | 8471.99 |
| 2023-02-05 | 6572.61 | 3395.64 | 3906.23 | 4494.61 | 5480.12 | 7665.10 | 8650.61 | 9239.00 | 9749.58 |
| 2023-02-12 | 8342.69 | 5165.72 | 5676.31 | 6264.69 | 7250.20 | 9435.18 | 10420.69 | 11009.08 | 11519.66 |
| 2023-02-19 | 8244.63 | 5067.66 | 5578.25 | 6166.63 | 7152.14 | 9337.12 | 10322.63 | 10911.02 | 11421.60 |
| 2023-02-26 | 8912.89 | 5735.92 | 6246.51 | 6834.90 | 7820.41 | 10005.38 | 10990.89 | 11579.28 | 12089.87 |
| 2023-03-05 | 10892.42 | 7715.45 | 8226.04 | 8814.43 | 9799.94 | 11984.91 | 12970.42 | 13558.81 | 14069.39 |
| 2023-03-12 | 12819.22 | 9642.25 | 10152.83 | 10741.22 | 11726.73 | 13911.71 | 14897.22 | 15485.60 | 15996.19 |
| 2023-03-19 | 14184.67 | 11007.70 | 11518.28 | 12106.67 | 13092.18 | 15277.16 | 16262.67 | 16851.05 | 17361.64 |
| 2023-03-26 | 14294.94 | 11117.97 | 11628.55 | 12216.94 | 13202.45 | 15387.43 | 16372.93 | 16961.32 | 17471.91 |
| 2023-04-02 | 12857.04 | 9680.07 | 10190.65 | 10779.04 | 11764.55 | 13949.53 | 14935.04 | 15523.42 | 16034.01 |
| 2023-04-09 | 14717.75 | 11540.78 | 12051.37 | 12639.75 | 13625.26 | 15810.24 | 16795.75 | 17384.14 | 17894.72 |
| 2023-04-16 | 16375.25 | 13198.28 | 13708.86 | 14297.25 | 15282.76 | 17467.73 | 18453.24 | 19041.63 | 19552.22 |
| 2023-04-23 | 14012.24 | 10835.27 | 11345.86 | 11934.24 | 12919.75 | 15104.73 | 16090.24 | 16678.63 | 17189.21 |
| 2023-04-30 | 13242.36 | 10065.39 | 10575.98 | 11164.37 | 12149.87 | 14334.85 | 15320.36 | 15908.75 | 16419.33 |
| 2023-05-07 | 11508.08 | 8331.10 | 8841.69 | 9430.08 | 10415.59 | 12600.56 | 13586.07 | 14174.46 | 14685.05 |
| 2023-05-14 | 8023.67 | 4846.70 | 5357.29 | 5945.67 | 6931.18 | 9116.16 | 10101.67 | 10690.06 | 11200.64 |
| 2023-05-21 | 5824.17 | 2647.20 | 3157.78 | 3746.17 | 4731.68 | 6916.66 | 7902.17 | 8490.55 | 9001.14 |
| 2023-05-28 | 3079.33 | 0.00 | 412.95 | 1001.34 | 1986.85 | 4171.82 | 5157.33 | 5745.72 | 6256.31 |
| 2023-06-04 | 2546.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 468.58 | 1454.09 | 3639.06 | 4624.57 | 5212.96 | 5723.55 |
| 2023-06-11 | 2050.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 957.89 | 3142.87 | 4128.38 | 4716.77 | 5227.35 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1626.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 534.09 | 2719.07 | 3704.58 | 4292.97 | 4803.55 |
| 2023-06-25 | 1420.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 327.92 | 2512.90 | 3498.41 | 4086.80 | 4597.38 |
| 2023-07-02 | 1020.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2112.69 | 3098.19 | 3686.58 | 4197.17 |
| 2023-07-09 | 532.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1625.01 | 2610.52 | 3198.91 | 3709.49 |
| 2023-07-16 | 560.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1653.27 | 2638.78 | 3227.17 | 3737.76 |
| 2023-07-23 | 523.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1615.81 | 2601.32 | 3189.71 | 3700.29 |
| 2023-07-30 | 525.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1618.04 | 2603.55 | 3191.94 | 3702.53 |
| 2023-08-06 | 402.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1495.47 | 2480.98 | 3069.37 | 3579.95 |
| 2023-08-13 | 299.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1391.88 | 2377.39 | 2965.77 | 3476.36 |
| 2023-08-20 | 294.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1386.88 | 2372.39 | 2960.78 | 3471.36 |
| 2023-08-27 | 279.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1372.11 | 2357.62 | 2946.01 | 3456.60 |
| 2023-09-03 | 251.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1343.97 | 2329.48 | 2917.86 | 3428.45 |
| 2023-09-10 | 233.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1325.83 | 2311.34 | 2899.73 | 3410.31 |
| 2023-09-17 | 282.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1375.19 | 2360.70 | 2949.08 | 3459.67 |
| 2023-09-24 | 279.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1371.96 | 2357.47 | 2945.86 | 3456.44 |
| 2023-10-01 | 284.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1377.38 | 2362.89 | 2951.28 | 3461.86 |
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