Prediction 2586
| Model | CNNLSTM_DengueForecast_Cases_Climate_Data_Driven_Ensemble |
|---|---|
| Author | Haridas Kumar Das |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 3 in SP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 285.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1381.49 | 2370.60 | 2961.13 | 3473.58 |
| 2024-10-13 | 299.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1395.83 | 2384.94 | 2975.47 | 3487.92 |
| 2024-10-20 | 302.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1398.62 | 2387.72 | 2978.25 | 3490.70 |
| 2024-10-27 | 308.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1404.87 | 2393.98 | 2984.51 | 3496.96 |
| 2024-11-03 | 376.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1473.03 | 2462.14 | 3052.67 | 3565.12 |
| 2024-11-10 | 440.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1536.77 | 2525.87 | 3116.41 | 3628.85 |
| 2024-11-17 | 492.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1588.75 | 2577.85 | 3168.39 | 3680.84 |
| 2024-11-24 | 619.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1716.10 | 2705.20 | 3295.74 | 3808.18 |
| 2024-12-01 | 753.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1850.38 | 2839.49 | 3430.02 | 3942.47 |
| 2024-12-08 | 972.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2068.53 | 3057.64 | 3648.17 | 4160.62 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1097.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.97 | 2193.92 | 3183.02 | 3773.56 | 4286.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | 1017.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2113.74 | 3102.85 | 3693.38 | 4205.83 |
| 2024-12-29 | 1154.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 57.79 | 2250.74 | 3239.85 | 3830.38 | 4342.83 |
| 2025-01-05 | 2302.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 216.93 | 1206.04 | 3398.99 | 4388.09 | 4978.63 | 5491.07 |
| 2025-01-12 | 3114.54 | 0.00 | 438.43 | 1028.96 | 2018.07 | 4211.02 | 5200.12 | 5790.66 | 6303.10 |
| 2025-01-19 | 3998.15 | 809.59 | 1322.04 | 1912.57 | 2901.68 | 5094.63 | 6083.73 | 6674.27 | 7186.71 |
| 2025-01-26 | 5456.44 | 2267.87 | 2780.32 | 3370.86 | 4359.96 | 6552.91 | 7542.01 | 8132.55 | 8645.00 |
| 2025-02-02 | 6547.71 | 3359.14 | 3871.59 | 4462.13 | 5451.23 | 7644.18 | 8633.29 | 9223.82 | 9736.27 |
| 2025-02-09 | 8267.65 | 5079.09 | 5591.54 | 6182.07 | 7171.18 | 9364.13 | 10353.23 | 10943.77 | 11456.21 |
| 2025-02-16 | 8367.49 | 5178.92 | 5691.37 | 6281.91 | 7271.01 | 9463.96 | 10453.07 | 11043.60 | 11556.05 |
| 2025-02-23 | 9153.68 | 5965.12 | 6477.56 | 7068.10 | 8057.20 | 10250.15 | 11239.26 | 11829.79 | 12342.24 |
| 2025-03-02 | 11177.35 | 7988.79 | 8501.23 | 9091.77 | 10080.87 | 12273.82 | 13262.93 | 13853.46 | 14365.91 |
| 2025-03-09 | 13172.21 | 9983.65 | 10496.10 | 11086.63 | 12075.74 | 14268.69 | 15257.79 | 15848.32 | 16360.77 |
| 2025-03-16 | 14840.26 | 11651.69 | 12164.14 | 12754.68 | 13743.78 | 15936.73 | 16925.84 | 17516.37 | 18028.82 |
| 2025-03-23 | 14757.41 | 11568.85 | 12081.29 | 12671.83 | 13660.93 | 15853.88 | 16842.99 | 17433.52 | 17945.97 |
| 2025-03-30 | 13857.88 | 10669.32 | 11181.76 | 11772.30 | 12761.40 | 14954.35 | 15943.46 | 16533.99 | 17046.44 |
| 2025-04-06 | 15412.74 | 12224.18 | 12736.63 | 13327.16 | 14316.27 | 16509.22 | 17498.32 | 18088.85 | 18601.30 |
| 2025-04-13 | 17356.30 | 14167.73 | 14680.18 | 15270.72 | 16259.82 | 18452.77 | 19441.88 | 20032.41 | 20544.86 |
| 2025-04-20 | 14733.06 | 11544.50 | 12056.95 | 12647.48 | 13636.59 | 15829.54 | 16818.64 | 17409.18 | 17921.62 |
| 2025-04-27 | 13898.11 | 10709.55 | 11222.00 | 11812.53 | 12801.64 | 14994.59 | 15983.69 | 16574.23 | 17086.67 |
| 2025-05-04 | 12106.31 | 8917.75 | 9430.20 | 10020.73 | 11009.84 | 13202.79 | 14191.89 | 14782.43 | 15294.87 |
| 2025-05-11 | 9307.98 | 6119.42 | 6631.86 | 7222.40 | 8211.50 | 10404.45 | 11393.56 | 11984.09 | 12496.54 |
| 2025-05-18 | 6929.48 | 3740.91 | 4253.36 | 4843.90 | 5833.00 | 8025.95 | 9015.06 | 9605.59 | 10118.04 |
| 2025-05-25 | 3582.10 | 393.54 | 905.98 | 1496.52 | 2485.62 | 4678.57 | 5667.68 | 6258.21 | 6770.66 |
| 2025-06-01 | 2970.28 | 0.00 | 294.17 | 884.70 | 1873.81 | 4066.76 | 5055.86 | 5646.40 | 6158.84 |
| 2025-06-08 | 2238.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 153.20 | 1142.31 | 3335.26 | 4324.36 | 4914.90 | 5427.34 |
| 2025-06-15 | 1776.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 679.91 | 2872.86 | 3861.97 | 4452.50 | 4964.95 |
| 2025-06-22 | 1580.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 483.77 | 2676.72 | 3665.82 | 4256.36 | 4768.81 |
| 2025-06-29 | 1046.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2142.59 | 3131.69 | 3722.23 | 4234.68 |
| 2025-07-06 | 614.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1710.82 | 2699.92 | 3290.46 | 3802.90 |
| 2025-07-13 | 585.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1681.48 | 2670.58 | 3261.12 | 3773.56 |
| 2025-07-20 | 517.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1614.04 | 2603.15 | 3193.68 | 3706.13 |
| 2025-07-27 | 535.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1632.00 | 2621.11 | 3211.64 | 3724.09 |
| 2025-08-03 | 372.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1468.72 | 2457.83 | 3048.36 | 3560.81 |
| 2025-08-10 | 293.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1390.08 | 2379.19 | 2969.72 | 3482.17 |
| 2025-08-17 | 304.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1400.87 | 2389.98 | 2980.51 | 3492.96 |
| 2025-08-24 | 285.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1382.18 | 2371.29 | 2961.82 | 3474.27 |
| 2025-08-31 | 249.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1345.66 | 2334.76 | 2925.30 | 3437.74 |
| 2025-09-07 | 241.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1338.37 | 2327.47 | 2918.01 | 3430.45 |
| 2025-09-14 | 316.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1412.48 | 2401.59 | 2992.12 | 3504.57 |
| 2025-09-21 | 307.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1404.42 | 2393.52 | 2984.06 | 3496.50 |
| 2025-09-28 | 305.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1402.41 | 2391.51 | 2982.05 | 3494.49 |
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