Prediction 26
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2507507 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2507507 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 67.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 339.36 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 78.94 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 325.00 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 77.47 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 324.50 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 66.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 290.87 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 64.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 332.41 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 56.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 308.24 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 76.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 307.58 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 73.11 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 303.56 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 58.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 226.36 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 66.94 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 222.87 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 67.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 173.81 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 90.95 | - | 19.65 | - | - | - | - | 162.25 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 145.57 | - | 77.23 | - | - | - | - | 213.91 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 178.98 | - | 115.57 | - | - | - | - | 242.39 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 227.81 | - | 155.29 | - | - | - | - | 300.33 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 235.40 | - | 160.25 | - | - | - | - | 310.55 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 189.97 | - | 24.12 | - | - | - | - | 355.82 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 200.68 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 428.91 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 123.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 360.56 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 239.67 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 479.71 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 265.28 | - | 75.32 | - | - | - | - | 455.24 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 269.72 | - | 132.13 | - | - | - | - | 407.31 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 429.95 | - | 248.01 | - | - | - | - | 611.89 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 355.46 | - | 82.40 | - | - | - | - | 628.52 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 442.97 | - | 100.55 | - | - | - | - | 785.39 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 334.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 697.98 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 426.18 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 946.51 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 400.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1025.96 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 423.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1055.66 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 427.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1070.17 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 408.11 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 997.10 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 397.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 942.09 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 382.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 911.06 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 390.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 893.48 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 391.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 838.15 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 436.25 | - | 52.20 | - | - | - | - | 820.30 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 432.00 | - | 97.93 | - | - | - | - | 766.07 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 426.02 | - | 101.88 | - | - | - | - | 750.16 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 89.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 436.68 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 274.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 610.03 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 227.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 521.50 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 79.46 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 323.81 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 70.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 209.50 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 72.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 184.80 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 68.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 165.34 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 93.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 197.06 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 53.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 169.69 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 63.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 170.64 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 65.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 184.61 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 61.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 159.48 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 60.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 171.03 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 42.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 145.28 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 43.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 120.31 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 53.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 141.25 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 30.33 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 116.75 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 24.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 119.57 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 39.05 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 126.13 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 134.87 | - | 32.42 | - | - | - | - | 237.32 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 116.91 | - | 11.59 | - | - | - | - | 222.23 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 114.03 | - | 57.66 | - | - | - | - | 170.40 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 147.09 | - | 89.22 | - | - | - | - | 204.96 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 72.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 147.25 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 69.33 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 159.21 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 65.48 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 165.39 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 82.71 | - | 3.79 | - | - | - | - | 161.63 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 78.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 189.31 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 116.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 239.77 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 118.68 | - | 5.69 | - | - | - | - | 231.67 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 224.17 | - | 100.96 | - | - | - | - | 347.38 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 242.39 | - | 113.52 | - | - | - | - | 371.26 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 180.78 | - | 17.44 | - | - | - | - | 344.12 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 239.22 | - | 104.26 | - | - | - | - | 374.18 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 110.48 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 273.04 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 97.03 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 321.20 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 93.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 335.81 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 100.94 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 273.69 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 81.24 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 238.11 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 84.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 239.79 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 78.82 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 241.42 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
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ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
