Prediction 2623
| Model | CNNLSTM_DengueForecast_Cases_Climate_Data_Driven_Ensemble |
|---|---|
| Author | Haridas Kumar Das |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 2 in MG
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 172.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1176.78 | 2082.94 | 2623.95 | 3093.42 |
| 2023-10-15 | 154.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1158.91 | 2065.06 | 2606.07 | 3075.54 |
| 2023-10-22 | 217.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1221.83 | 2127.98 | 2668.99 | 3138.46 |
| 2023-10-29 | 203.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1208.49 | 2114.65 | 2655.65 | 3125.13 |
| 2023-11-05 | 232.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1237.32 | 2143.47 | 2684.48 | 3153.95 |
| 2023-11-12 | 284.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1288.72 | 2194.87 | 2735.88 | 3205.35 |
| 2023-11-19 | 299.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1303.55 | 2209.70 | 2750.71 | 3220.18 |
| 2023-11-26 | 437.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1442.19 | 2348.35 | 2889.36 | 3358.83 |
| 2023-12-03 | 485.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1489.62 | 2395.77 | 2936.78 | 3406.25 |
| 2023-12-10 | 722.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1726.59 | 2632.75 | 3173.75 | 3643.23 |
| 2023-12-17 | 797.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1801.96 | 2708.11 | 3249.12 | 3718.59 |
| 2023-12-24 | 796.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1801.16 | 2707.32 | 3248.33 | 3717.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1317.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 313.15 | 2322.19 | 3228.34 | 3769.35 | 4238.82 |
| 2024-01-07 | 2557.63 | 0.00 | 105.95 | 646.96 | 1553.11 | 3562.15 | 4468.30 | 5009.31 | 5478.78 |
| 2024-01-14 | 3021.92 | 100.76 | 570.23 | 1111.24 | 2017.40 | 4026.43 | 4932.59 | 5473.60 | 5943.07 |
| 2024-01-21 | 3322.10 | 400.95 | 870.42 | 1411.43 | 2317.58 | 4326.62 | 5232.77 | 5773.78 | 6243.25 |
| 2024-01-28 | 3880.46 | 959.31 | 1428.78 | 1969.79 | 2875.94 | 4884.98 | 5791.13 | 6332.14 | 6801.61 |
| 2024-02-04 | 4753.07 | 1831.92 | 2301.39 | 2842.40 | 3748.55 | 5757.59 | 6663.74 | 7204.75 | 7674.22 |
| 2024-02-11 | 5654.92 | 2733.77 | 3203.24 | 3744.25 | 4650.40 | 6659.44 | 7565.59 | 8106.60 | 8576.07 |
| 2024-02-18 | 7502.86 | 4581.71 | 5051.18 | 5592.19 | 6498.34 | 8507.38 | 9413.53 | 9954.54 | 10424.01 |
| 2024-02-25 | 8084.14 | 5162.99 | 5632.46 | 6173.47 | 7079.62 | 9088.66 | 9994.81 | 10535.82 | 11005.29 |
| 2024-03-03 | 8503.59 | 5582.44 | 6051.91 | 6592.92 | 7499.07 | 9508.11 | 10414.26 | 10955.27 | 11424.74 |
| 2024-03-10 | 9208.44 | 6287.29 | 6756.76 | 7297.77 | 8203.93 | 10212.96 | 11119.12 | 11660.13 | 12129.60 |
| 2024-03-17 | 10820.77 | 7899.62 | 8369.09 | 8910.10 | 9816.25 | 11825.29 | 12731.44 | 13272.45 | 13741.92 |
| 2024-03-24 | 10679.66 | 7758.51 | 8227.98 | 8768.99 | 9675.15 | 11684.18 | 12590.34 | 13131.35 | 13600.82 |
| 2024-03-31 | 10484.86 | 7563.71 | 8033.18 | 8574.19 | 9480.34 | 11489.38 | 12395.53 | 12936.54 | 13406.01 |
| 2024-04-07 | 12559.15 | 9638.00 | 10107.47 | 10648.48 | 11554.63 | 13563.67 | 14469.82 | 15010.83 | 15480.30 |
| 2024-04-14 | 12352.15 | 9431.00 | 9900.47 | 10441.48 | 11347.64 | 13356.67 | 14262.83 | 14803.83 | 15273.31 |
| 2024-04-21 | 9950.97 | 7029.82 | 7499.29 | 8040.30 | 8946.45 | 10955.49 | 11861.64 | 12402.65 | 12872.12 |
| 2024-04-28 | 9927.61 | 7006.46 | 7475.93 | 8016.94 | 8923.09 | 10932.13 | 11838.28 | 12379.29 | 12848.76 |
| 2024-05-05 | 8157.61 | 5236.46 | 5705.93 | 6246.94 | 7153.09 | 9162.13 | 10068.28 | 10609.29 | 11078.76 |
| 2024-05-12 | 7202.82 | 4281.67 | 4751.14 | 5292.15 | 6198.30 | 8207.34 | 9113.49 | 9654.50 | 10123.97 |
| 2024-05-19 | 5381.67 | 2460.52 | 2929.99 | 3471.00 | 4377.16 | 6386.19 | 7292.35 | 7833.35 | 8302.83 |
| 2024-05-26 | 3565.96 | 644.81 | 1114.28 | 1655.29 | 2561.44 | 4570.48 | 5476.64 | 6017.64 | 6487.12 |
| 2024-06-02 | 2540.00 | 0.00 | 88.32 | 629.33 | 1535.48 | 3544.52 | 4450.67 | 4991.68 | 5461.15 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1843.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 839.06 | 2848.10 | 3754.25 | 4295.26 | 4764.73 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1392.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 387.73 | 2396.77 | 3302.92 | 3843.93 | 4313.40 |
| 2024-06-23 | 910.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1915.20 | 2821.35 | 3362.36 | 3831.83 |
| 2024-06-30 | 739.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1744.32 | 2650.47 | 3191.48 | 3660.95 |
| 2024-07-07 | 540.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1544.75 | 2450.91 | 2991.92 | 3461.39 |
| 2024-07-14 | 408.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1413.48 | 2319.63 | 2860.64 | 3330.11 |
| 2024-07-21 | 327.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1332.05 | 2238.20 | 2779.21 | 3248.68 |
| 2024-07-28 | 279.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1284.03 | 2190.18 | 2731.19 | 3200.66 |
| 2024-08-04 | 252.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1257.18 | 2163.33 | 2704.34 | 3173.81 |
| 2024-08-11 | 193.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1198.23 | 2104.38 | 2645.39 | 3114.86 |
| 2024-08-18 | 209.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1213.83 | 2119.98 | 2660.99 | 3130.46 |
| 2024-08-25 | 194.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1198.66 | 2104.82 | 2645.83 | 3115.30 |
| 2024-09-01 | 166.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1171.34 | 2077.49 | 2618.50 | 3087.97 |
| 2024-09-08 | 165.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1170.40 | 2076.55 | 2617.56 | 3087.03 |
| 2024-09-15 | 219.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1223.52 | 2129.68 | 2670.69 | 3140.16 |
| 2024-09-22 | 230.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1235.38 | 2141.54 | 2682.55 | 3152.02 |
| 2024-09-29 | 208.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1212.70 | 2118.86 | 2659.86 | 3129.34 |
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