Prediction 2656
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=AC (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 43.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 73.0 | 117.0 | 155.0 | 197.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 52.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 30.0 | 90.0 | 147.0 | 196.0 | 249.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 69.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 123.0 | 202.0 | 270.0 | 348.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 86.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 49.0 | 153.0 | 254.0 | 342.0 | 447.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 93.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 165.0 | 275.0 | 373.0 | 490.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 92.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 51.0 | 163.0 | 273.0 | 373.0 | 489.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 93.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 165.0 | 280.0 | 383.0 | 502.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 108.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 60.0 | 194.0 | 331.0 | 453.0 | 595.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 132.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 73.0 | 240.0 | 411.0 | 564.0 | 746.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 149.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 82.0 | 272.0 | 466.0 | 644.0 | 858.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 146.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 80.0 | 266.0 | 457.0 | 637.0 | 849.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 130.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | 237.0 | 407.0 | 572.0 | 763.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 126.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | 69.0 | 231.0 | 399.0 | 559.0 | 749.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 144.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 45.0 | 79.0 | 267.0 | 463.0 | 646.0 | 870.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 173.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 94.0 | 320.0 | 555.0 | 775.0 | 1046.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 183.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 57.0 | 100.0 | 340.0 | 588.0 | 826.0 | 1112.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 168.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 91.0 | 313.0 | 539.0 | 762.0 | 1022.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 143.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 78.0 | 266.0 | 459.0 | 652.0 | 876.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 134.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 73.0 | 250.0 | 434.0 | 614.0 | 830.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 147.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 45.0 | 80.0 | 274.0 | 477.0 | 672.0 | 910.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 163.0 | 27.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 88.0 | 302.0 | 527.0 | 741.0 | 997.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 156.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 84.0 | 291.0 | 506.0 | 712.0 | 950.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 129.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 70.0 | 242.0 | 420.0 | 591.0 | 786.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 105.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 57.0 | 196.0 | 343.0 | 479.0 | 642.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 100.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 186.0 | 327.0 | 454.0 | 616.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 109.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 59.0 | 202.0 | 357.0 | 495.0 | 669.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 113.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 60.0 | 209.0 | 367.0 | 512.0 | 684.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 99.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 53.0 | 184.0 | 323.0 | 451.0 | 596.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 76.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 41.0 | 142.0 | 248.0 | 345.0 | 456.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 61.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 115.0 | 202.0 | 279.0 | 374.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 63.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 34.0 | 119.0 | 209.0 | 289.0 | 392.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 72.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 134.0 | 236.0 | 329.0 | 443.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 72.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 136.0 | 237.0 | 332.0 | 442.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 61.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 33.0 | 115.0 | 202.0 | 283.0 | 375.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 48.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 90.0 | 158.0 | 221.0 | 294.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 78.0 | 137.0 | 192.0 | 259.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 45.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 83.0 | 146.0 | 205.0 | 277.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 49.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 92.0 | 161.0 | 228.0 | 306.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 49.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 92.0 | 162.0 | 228.0 | 305.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 44.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 83.0 | 145.0 | 204.0 | 273.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 39.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 72.0 | 126.0 | 177.0 | 237.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 37.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 68.0 | 119.0 | 168.0 | 225.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 39.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 71.0 | 125.0 | 176.0 | 238.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 76.0 | 134.0 | 188.0 | 254.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 79.0 | 138.0 | 194.0 | 263.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 78.0 | 136.0 | 192.0 | 259.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 75.0 | 131.0 | 186.0 | 249.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 40.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 74.0 | 129.0 | 182.0 | 243.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 40.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 75.0 | 131.0 | 184.0 | 249.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 43.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 80.0 | 141.0 | 198.0 | 270.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 48.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 89.0 | 156.0 | 220.0 | 299.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 52.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 | 97.0 | 171.0 | 241.0 | 326.0 |
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