Prediction 2657
Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=AL (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 440.0 | 128.0 | 156.0 | 198.0 | 287.0 | 664.0 | 974.0 | 1226.0 | 1473.0 |
2022-10-16 | 408.0 | 115.0 | 142.0 | 180.0 | 264.0 | 620.0 | 916.0 | 1162.0 | 1391.0 |
2022-10-23 | 318.0 | 85.0 | 106.0 | 136.0 | 203.0 | 495.0 | 746.0 | 950.0 | 1157.0 |
2022-10-30 | 234.0 | 61.0 | 76.0 | 98.0 | 149.0 | 371.0 | 571.0 | 731.0 | 913.0 |
2022-11-06 | 194.0 | 50.0 | 62.0 | 81.0 | 122.0 | 309.0 | 476.0 | 616.0 | 781.0 |
2022-11-13 | 179.0 | 45.0 | 56.0 | 73.0 | 111.0 | 287.0 | 441.0 | 578.0 | 736.0 |
2022-11-20 | 165.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 66.0 | 101.0 | 267.0 | 413.0 | 545.0 | 696.0 |
2022-11-27 | 141.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 55.0 | 86.0 | 231.0 | 361.0 | 477.0 | 611.0 |
2022-12-04 | 114.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 70.0 | 189.0 | 297.0 | 392.0 | 506.0 |
2022-12-11 | 90.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 | 54.0 | 149.0 | 234.0 | 310.0 | 400.0 |
2022-12-18 | 75.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 45.0 | 126.0 | 197.0 | 262.0 | 340.0 |
2022-12-25 | 68.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 114.0 | 179.0 | 240.0 | 311.0 |
2023-01-01 | 62.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 104.0 | 165.0 | 221.0 | 286.0 |
2023-01-08 | 54.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 91.0 | 147.0 | 196.0 | 253.0 |
2023-01-15 | 48.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 82.0 | 132.0 | 176.0 | 229.0 |
2023-01-22 | 45.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 76.0 | 122.0 | 163.0 | 213.0 |
2023-01-29 | 42.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 72.0 | 117.0 | 157.0 | 206.0 |
2023-02-05 | 40.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 68.0 | 112.0 | 151.0 | 198.0 |
2023-02-12 | 39.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 67.0 | 112.0 | 150.0 | 195.0 |
2023-02-19 | 42.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 72.0 | 120.0 | 160.0 | 208.0 |
2023-02-26 | 46.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 79.0 | 131.0 | 176.0 | 229.0 |
2023-03-05 | 48.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 81.0 | 135.0 | 182.0 | 239.0 |
2023-03-12 | 49.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 83.0 | 137.0 | 187.0 | 244.0 |
2023-03-19 | 55.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 93.0 | 153.0 | 209.0 | 271.0 |
2023-03-26 | 65.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 38.0 | 111.0 | 183.0 | 250.0 | 323.0 |
2023-04-02 | 76.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 45.0 | 131.0 | 215.0 | 294.0 | 382.0 |
2023-04-09 | 85.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 145.0 | 237.0 | 324.0 | 423.0 |
2023-04-16 | 92.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 54.0 | 157.0 | 256.0 | 349.0 | 455.0 |
2023-04-23 | 105.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 61.0 | 178.0 | 290.0 | 395.0 | 510.0 |
2023-04-30 | 128.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 75.0 | 217.0 | 354.0 | 482.0 | 615.0 |
2023-05-07 | 152.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 55.0 | 89.0 | 260.0 | 423.0 | 573.0 | 730.0 |
2023-05-14 | 170.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 61.0 | 99.0 | 292.0 | 475.0 | 642.0 | 818.0 |
2023-05-21 | 185.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 | 66.0 | 107.0 | 318.0 | 517.0 | 698.0 | 886.0 |
2023-05-28 | 205.0 | 41.0 | 54.0 | 73.0 | 118.0 | 352.0 | 573.0 | 773.0 | 975.0 |
2023-06-04 | 234.0 | 47.0 | 62.0 | 83.0 | 135.0 | 402.0 | 655.0 | 882.0 | 1110.0 |
2023-06-11 | 264.0 | 52.0 | 69.0 | 93.0 | 152.0 | 456.0 | 746.0 | 1000.0 | 1266.0 |
2023-06-18 | 292.0 | 57.0 | 75.0 | 102.0 | 167.0 | 506.0 | 828.0 | 1108.0 | 1409.0 |
2023-06-25 | 315.0 | 61.0 | 81.0 | 109.0 | 180.0 | 548.0 | 897.0 | 1198.0 | 1526.0 |
2023-07-02 | 331.0 | 64.0 | 85.0 | 115.0 | 189.0 | 574.0 | 938.0 | 1257.0 | 1605.0 |
2023-07-09 | 335.0 | 65.0 | 86.0 | 116.0 | 191.0 | 582.0 | 953.0 | 1278.0 | 1643.0 |
2023-07-16 | 350.0 | 67.0 | 89.0 | 121.0 | 199.0 | 610.0 | 1001.0 | 1341.0 | 1733.0 |
2023-07-23 | 371.0 | 72.0 | 94.0 | 128.0 | 211.0 | 648.0 | 1062.0 | 1420.0 | 1842.0 |
2023-07-30 | 375.0 | 72.0 | 94.0 | 129.0 | 213.0 | 655.0 | 1070.0 | 1432.0 | 1862.0 |
2023-08-06 | 352.0 | 67.0 | 88.0 | 121.0 | 200.0 | 616.0 | 1004.0 | 1346.0 | 1755.0 |
2023-08-13 | 326.0 | 62.0 | 82.0 | 112.0 | 185.0 | 569.0 | 926.0 | 1246.0 | 1630.0 |
2023-08-20 | 311.0 | 59.0 | 78.0 | 107.0 | 177.0 | 543.0 | 885.0 | 1193.0 | 1562.0 |
2023-08-27 | 303.0 | 58.0 | 76.0 | 104.0 | 172.0 | 529.0 | 864.0 | 1165.0 | 1525.0 |
2023-09-03 | 288.0 | 55.0 | 72.0 | 99.0 | 164.0 | 502.0 | 821.0 | 1107.0 | 1447.0 |
2023-09-10 | 259.0 | 49.0 | 65.0 | 89.0 | 148.0 | 449.0 | 732.0 | 989.0 | 1290.0 |
2023-09-17 | 225.0 | 43.0 | 57.0 | 78.0 | 129.0 | 389.0 | 633.0 | 857.0 | 1116.0 |
2023-09-24 | 201.0 | 39.0 | 51.0 | 70.0 | 115.0 | 345.0 | 562.0 | 763.0 | 995.0 |
2023-10-01 | 185.0 | 35.0 | 47.0 | 64.0 | 106.0 | 318.0 | 519.0 | 707.0 | 923.0 |