Prediction 2658
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=AM (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 47.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 73.0 | 109.0 | 138.0 | 168.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 50.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 79.0 | 119.0 | 151.0 | 186.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 52.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 33.0 | 82.0 | 124.0 | 158.0 | 195.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 58.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 37.0 | 92.0 | 139.0 | 178.0 | 220.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 65.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 104.0 | 159.0 | 204.0 | 253.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 68.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 109.0 | 167.0 | 214.0 | 266.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 68.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 109.0 | 167.0 | 214.0 | 267.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 73.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 46.0 | 118.0 | 180.0 | 232.0 | 288.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 80.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | 129.0 | 198.0 | 255.0 | 316.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 79.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 126.0 | 194.0 | 250.0 | 310.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 76.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 48.0 | 123.0 | 188.0 | 242.0 | 300.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 85.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 53.0 | 137.0 | 210.0 | 270.0 | 334.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 93.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 151.0 | 232.0 | 298.0 | 369.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 90.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 56.0 | 146.0 | 224.0 | 287.0 | 356.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 91.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 57.0 | 147.0 | 226.0 | 289.0 | 360.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 103.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 166.0 | 256.0 | 328.0 | 409.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 107.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 173.0 | 267.0 | 343.0 | 428.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 101.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 63.0 | 163.0 | 252.0 | 322.0 | 403.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 103.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 167.0 | 259.0 | 332.0 | 415.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 117.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 72.0 | 189.0 | 294.0 | 377.0 | 469.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 120.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 74.0 | 195.0 | 302.0 | 389.0 | 484.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 117.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 73.0 | 190.0 | 295.0 | 380.0 | 471.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 128.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 52.0 | 79.0 | 208.0 | 322.0 | 416.0 | 515.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 145.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 58.0 | 89.0 | 236.0 | 364.0 | 471.0 | 583.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 147.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 59.0 | 91.0 | 238.0 | 367.0 | 476.0 | 589.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 146.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 58.0 | 90.0 | 236.0 | 363.0 | 470.0 | 583.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 155.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 62.0 | 95.0 | 250.0 | 386.0 | 500.0 | 621.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 159.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | 63.0 | 98.0 | 257.0 | 396.0 | 513.0 | 637.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 147.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 59.0 | 91.0 | 238.0 | 366.0 | 474.0 | 589.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 136.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 55.0 | 84.0 | 219.0 | 339.0 | 440.0 | 547.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 132.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 53.0 | 82.0 | 213.0 | 330.0 | 428.0 | 532.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 123.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 76.0 | 198.0 | 306.0 | 398.0 | 494.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 107.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 171.0 | 265.0 | 345.0 | 429.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 98.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 39.0 | 60.0 | 156.0 | 241.0 | 314.0 | 391.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 95.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 58.0 | 152.0 | 234.0 | 304.0 | 380.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 89.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 55.0 | 142.0 | 218.0 | 285.0 | 357.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 82.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 131.0 | 201.0 | 262.0 | 330.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 82.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 131.0 | 201.0 | 261.0 | 330.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 83.0 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 134.0 | 205.0 | 266.0 | 336.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 82.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 132.0 | 202.0 | 262.0 | 332.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 82.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 132.0 | 202.0 | 263.0 | 333.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 83.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 134.0 | 206.0 | 267.0 | 337.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 82.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | 133.0 | 205.0 | 265.0 | 333.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 81.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 132.0 | 203.0 | 262.0 | 331.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 81.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 131.0 | 203.0 | 262.0 | 330.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 78.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 48.0 | 127.0 | 197.0 | 255.0 | 319.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 74.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 120.0 | 186.0 | 242.0 | 304.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 72.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 118.0 | 182.0 | 238.0 | 301.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 71.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 116.0 | 179.0 | 234.0 | 297.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 67.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 41.0 | 109.0 | 169.0 | 222.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 64.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 104.0 | 162.0 | 214.0 | 272.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 66.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 107.0 | 167.0 | 221.0 | 282.0 |
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