Prediction 2660
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=BA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 136.0 | 54.0 | 63.0 | 74.0 | 99.0 | 187.0 | 250.0 | 297.0 | 345.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 145.0 | 56.0 | 66.0 | 78.0 | 105.0 | 200.0 | 268.0 | 320.0 | 372.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 162.0 | 63.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 | 117.0 | 225.0 | 303.0 | 362.0 | 420.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 186.0 | 71.0 | 83.0 | 99.0 | 134.0 | 259.0 | 348.0 | 417.0 | 484.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 212.0 | 80.0 | 94.0 | 112.0 | 152.0 | 295.0 | 397.0 | 476.0 | 553.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 236.0 | 89.0 | 104.0 | 125.0 | 169.0 | 330.0 | 444.0 | 531.0 | 619.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 258.0 | 98.0 | 114.0 | 137.0 | 185.0 | 362.0 | 487.0 | 583.0 | 683.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 281.0 | 106.0 | 124.0 | 148.0 | 201.0 | 394.0 | 531.0 | 636.0 | 748.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 308.0 | 116.0 | 135.0 | 162.0 | 219.0 | 431.0 | 582.0 | 698.0 | 826.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 344.0 | 130.0 | 151.0 | 180.0 | 245.0 | 483.0 | 654.0 | 785.0 | 931.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 393.0 | 149.0 | 173.0 | 206.0 | 281.0 | 552.0 | 750.0 | 902.0 | 1071.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 462.0 | 176.0 | 204.0 | 243.0 | 331.0 | 650.0 | 884.0 | 1067.0 | 1265.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 557.0 | 213.0 | 247.0 | 294.0 | 400.0 | 786.0 | 1068.0 | 1291.0 | 1528.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 662.0 | 253.0 | 295.0 | 352.0 | 477.0 | 937.0 | 1272.0 | 1540.0 | 1821.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 789.0 | 301.0 | 352.0 | 420.0 | 568.0 | 1117.0 | 1515.0 | 1834.0 | 2170.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 948.0 | 361.0 | 423.0 | 506.0 | 681.0 | 1341.0 | 1819.0 | 2199.0 | 2606.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 1145.0 | 435.0 | 510.0 | 611.0 | 820.0 | 1617.0 | 2197.0 | 2650.0 | 3147.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 1377.0 | 523.0 | 612.0 | 734.0 | 984.0 | 1940.0 | 2643.0 | 3184.0 | 3789.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 1647.0 | 626.0 | 730.0 | 877.0 | 1176.0 | 2316.0 | 3168.0 | 3811.0 | 4540.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 1942.0 | 740.0 | 860.0 | 1033.0 | 1385.0 | 2728.0 | 3746.0 | 4503.0 | 5357.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 2247.0 | 858.0 | 996.0 | 1195.0 | 1603.0 | 3159.0 | 4348.0 | 5226.0 | 6195.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 2525.0 | 966.0 | 1122.0 | 1346.0 | 1805.0 | 3558.0 | 4901.0 | 5892.0 | 6955.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 2728.0 | 1045.0 | 1215.0 | 1457.0 | 1954.0 | 3858.0 | 5306.0 | 6386.0 | 7499.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 2847.0 | 1091.0 | 1270.0 | 1522.0 | 2041.0 | 4040.0 | 5544.0 | 6672.0 | 7796.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 2871.0 | 1098.0 | 1282.0 | 1535.0 | 2059.0 | 4085.0 | 5584.0 | 6715.0 | 7821.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 2816.0 | 1073.0 | 1256.0 | 1502.0 | 2018.0 | 4013.0 | 5462.0 | 6562.0 | 7623.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 2713.0 | 1029.0 | 1205.0 | 1440.0 | 1941.0 | 3866.0 | 5244.0 | 6290.0 | 7301.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 2594.0 | 978.0 | 1145.0 | 1367.0 | 1850.0 | 3689.0 | 4993.0 | 5975.0 | 6948.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 2459.0 | 923.0 | 1078.0 | 1288.0 | 1750.0 | 3489.0 | 4720.0 | 5636.0 | 6578.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 2315.0 | 865.0 | 1007.0 | 1205.0 | 1643.0 | 3277.0 | 4434.0 | 5291.0 | 6202.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 2166.0 | 807.0 | 937.0 | 1123.0 | 1533.0 | 3061.0 | 4145.0 | 4950.0 | 5823.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1993.0 | 742.0 | 859.0 | 1031.0 | 1408.0 | 2816.0 | 3817.0 | 4570.0 | 5383.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1784.0 | 663.0 | 767.0 | 922.0 | 1259.0 | 2522.0 | 3422.0 | 4112.0 | 4838.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1551.0 | 576.0 | 665.0 | 801.0 | 1093.0 | 2194.0 | 2982.0 | 3593.0 | 4213.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1301.0 | 481.0 | 557.0 | 670.0 | 916.0 | 1842.0 | 2509.0 | 3027.0 | 3537.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1050.0 | 386.0 | 449.0 | 539.0 | 739.0 | 1491.0 | 2035.0 | 2456.0 | 2858.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 830.0 | 302.0 | 353.0 | 424.0 | 583.0 | 1181.0 | 1616.0 | 1947.0 | 2262.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 659.0 | 237.0 | 278.0 | 334.0 | 462.0 | 940.0 | 1292.0 | 1552.0 | 1805.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 542.0 | 192.0 | 227.0 | 273.0 | 381.0 | 778.0 | 1073.0 | 1286.0 | 1505.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 471.0 | 164.0 | 195.0 | 235.0 | 330.0 | 679.0 | 939.0 | 1127.0 | 1329.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 428.0 | 148.0 | 175.0 | 213.0 | 299.0 | 620.0 | 860.0 | 1036.0 | 1232.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 401.0 | 138.0 | 163.0 | 199.0 | 280.0 | 583.0 | 812.0 | 984.0 | 1175.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 381.0 | 130.0 | 153.0 | 188.0 | 264.0 | 554.0 | 775.0 | 943.0 | 1129.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 362.0 | 122.0 | 145.0 | 178.0 | 249.0 | 526.0 | 739.0 | 903.0 | 1080.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 339.0 | 113.0 | 135.0 | 166.0 | 233.0 | 493.0 | 697.0 | 853.0 | 1021.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 314.0 | 104.0 | 124.0 | 153.0 | 214.0 | 458.0 | 649.0 | 796.0 | 956.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 288.0 | 95.0 | 114.0 | 139.0 | 196.0 | 421.0 | 600.0 | 736.0 | 889.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 262.0 | 86.0 | 103.0 | 126.0 | 179.0 | 385.0 | 549.0 | 675.0 | 820.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 239.0 | 78.0 | 94.0 | 115.0 | 163.0 | 352.0 | 502.0 | 618.0 | 756.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 218.0 | 72.0 | 86.0 | 105.0 | 149.0 | 323.0 | 460.0 | 569.0 | 698.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 202.0 | 66.0 | 79.0 | 97.0 | 137.0 | 299.0 | 425.0 | 528.0 | 649.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 191.0 | 63.0 | 75.0 | 92.0 | 130.0 | 284.0 | 403.0 | 502.0 | 616.0 |
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