Prediction 2661
Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | CearĂ¡ |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=CE (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 237.0 | 79.0 | 95.0 | 116.0 | 163.0 | 350.0 | 495.0 | 613.0 | 741.0 |
2022-10-16 | 207.0 | 68.0 | 81.0 | 100.0 | 142.0 | 306.0 | 434.0 | 550.0 | 654.0 |
2022-10-23 | 181.0 | 58.0 | 70.0 | 85.0 | 123.0 | 267.0 | 382.0 | 485.0 | 570.0 |
2022-10-30 | 162.0 | 51.0 | 61.0 | 76.0 | 108.0 | 243.0 | 350.0 | 432.0 | 519.0 |
2022-11-06 | 153.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 | 71.0 | 101.0 | 234.0 | 339.0 | 406.0 | 500.0 |
2022-11-13 | 149.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 69.0 | 98.0 | 230.0 | 332.0 | 401.0 | 486.0 |
2022-11-20 | 146.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 | 96.0 | 224.0 | 322.0 | 398.0 | 468.0 |
2022-11-27 | 141.0 | 42.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 93.0 | 216.0 | 312.0 | 385.0 | 453.0 |
2022-12-04 | 134.0 | 39.0 | 47.0 | 60.0 | 88.0 | 207.0 | 302.0 | 363.0 | 439.0 |
2022-12-11 | 122.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 54.0 | 79.0 | 189.0 | 276.0 | 333.0 | 406.0 |
2022-12-18 | 109.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 | 71.0 | 169.0 | 245.0 | 308.0 | 364.0 |
2022-12-25 | 102.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 157.0 | 227.0 | 295.0 | 344.0 |
2023-01-01 | 104.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 162.0 | 236.0 | 301.0 | 363.0 |
2023-01-08 | 111.0 | 31.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 173.0 | 257.0 | 322.0 | 397.0 |
2023-01-15 | 126.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 54.0 | 81.0 | 194.0 | 288.0 | 370.0 | 447.0 |
2023-01-22 | 152.0 | 42.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 | 98.0 | 233.0 | 344.0 | 452.0 | 535.0 |
2023-01-29 | 187.0 | 52.0 | 65.0 | 81.0 | 121.0 | 291.0 | 429.0 | 551.0 | 665.0 |
2023-02-05 | 222.0 | 61.0 | 76.0 | 97.0 | 143.0 | 347.0 | 515.0 | 637.0 | 791.0 |
2023-02-12 | 252.0 | 70.0 | 86.0 | 110.0 | 162.0 | 394.0 | 587.0 | 719.0 | 891.0 |
2023-02-19 | 282.0 | 78.0 | 96.0 | 122.0 | 181.0 | 438.0 | 655.0 | 816.0 | 988.0 |
2023-02-26 | 323.0 | 89.0 | 110.0 | 140.0 | 208.0 | 501.0 | 748.0 | 948.0 | 1137.0 |
2023-03-05 | 361.0 | 99.0 | 122.0 | 156.0 | 233.0 | 562.0 | 839.0 | 1063.0 | 1290.0 |
2023-03-12 | 389.0 | 107.0 | 132.0 | 169.0 | 251.0 | 608.0 | 907.0 | 1144.0 | 1399.0 |
2023-03-19 | 421.0 | 116.0 | 143.0 | 182.0 | 271.0 | 657.0 | 983.0 | 1240.0 | 1512.0 |
2023-03-26 | 488.0 | 135.0 | 166.0 | 211.0 | 314.0 | 761.0 | 1139.0 | 1451.0 | 1757.0 |
2023-04-02 | 592.0 | 164.0 | 201.0 | 256.0 | 381.0 | 925.0 | 1385.0 | 1775.0 | 2149.0 |
2023-04-09 | 697.0 | 193.0 | 237.0 | 301.0 | 448.0 | 1091.0 | 1631.0 | 2092.0 | 2534.0 |
2023-04-16 | 795.0 | 222.0 | 273.0 | 345.0 | 511.0 | 1247.0 | 1861.0 | 2370.0 | 2871.0 |
2023-04-23 | 901.0 | 253.0 | 311.0 | 392.0 | 579.0 | 1416.0 | 2114.0 | 2661.0 | 3236.0 |
2023-04-30 | 1036.0 | 291.0 | 358.0 | 451.0 | 664.0 | 1629.0 | 2436.0 | 3043.0 | 3716.0 |
2023-05-07 | 1178.0 | 329.0 | 405.0 | 511.0 | 755.0 | 1849.0 | 2767.0 | 3461.0 | 4217.0 |
2023-05-14 | 1288.0 | 358.0 | 442.0 | 558.0 | 826.0 | 2017.0 | 3013.0 | 3792.0 | 4588.0 |
2023-05-21 | 1346.0 | 373.0 | 461.0 | 583.0 | 864.0 | 2107.0 | 3142.0 | 3960.0 | 4782.0 |
2023-05-28 | 1376.0 | 379.0 | 471.0 | 596.0 | 882.0 | 2161.0 | 3217.0 | 4034.0 | 4901.0 |
2023-06-04 | 1397.0 | 383.0 | 477.0 | 605.0 | 895.0 | 2199.0 | 3272.0 | 4088.0 | 4988.0 |
2023-06-11 | 1405.0 | 385.0 | 478.0 | 607.0 | 900.0 | 2210.0 | 3286.0 | 4134.0 | 5015.0 |
2023-06-18 | 1393.0 | 381.0 | 470.0 | 598.0 | 892.0 | 2183.0 | 3245.0 | 4133.0 | 4978.0 |
2023-06-25 | 1356.0 | 370.0 | 455.0 | 578.0 | 868.0 | 2123.0 | 3160.0 | 4051.0 | 4893.0 |
2023-07-02 | 1290.0 | 349.0 | 431.0 | 547.0 | 823.0 | 2024.0 | 3022.0 | 3867.0 | 4712.0 |
2023-07-09 | 1193.0 | 322.0 | 397.0 | 505.0 | 761.0 | 1880.0 | 2820.0 | 3595.0 | 4397.0 |
2023-07-16 | 1096.0 | 295.0 | 363.0 | 462.0 | 699.0 | 1732.0 | 2608.0 | 3335.0 | 4061.0 |
2023-07-23 | 1013.0 | 271.0 | 332.0 | 424.0 | 646.0 | 1602.0 | 2425.0 | 3121.0 | 3796.0 |
2023-07-30 | 944.0 | 251.0 | 307.0 | 391.0 | 599.0 | 1493.0 | 2270.0 | 2932.0 | 3595.0 |
2023-08-06 | 853.0 | 225.0 | 275.0 | 352.0 | 540.0 | 1355.0 | 2065.0 | 2663.0 | 3298.0 |
2023-08-13 | 744.0 | 196.0 | 240.0 | 308.0 | 470.0 | 1190.0 | 1810.0 | 2330.0 | 2897.0 |
2023-08-20 | 641.0 | 168.0 | 207.0 | 265.0 | 404.0 | 1032.0 | 1568.0 | 2016.0 | 2510.0 |
2023-08-27 | 560.0 | 146.0 | 180.0 | 231.0 | 353.0 | 906.0 | 1377.0 | 1776.0 | 2222.0 |
2023-09-03 | 495.0 | 127.0 | 157.0 | 203.0 | 312.0 | 804.0 | 1223.0 | 1588.0 | 1996.0 |
2023-09-10 | 430.0 | 109.0 | 135.0 | 175.0 | 269.0 | 696.0 | 1059.0 | 1384.0 | 1740.0 |
2023-09-17 | 359.0 | 91.0 | 113.0 | 147.0 | 224.0 | 579.0 | 882.0 | 1148.0 | 1448.0 |
2023-09-24 | 294.0 | 75.0 | 93.0 | 121.0 | 183.0 | 476.0 | 728.0 | 932.0 | 1196.0 |
2023-10-01 | 247.0 | 62.0 | 78.0 | 102.0 | 154.0 | 403.0 | 618.0 | 787.0 | 1024.0 |