Prediction 2662
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=DF (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 112.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 68.0 | 184.0 | 288.0 | 372.0 | 471.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 111.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 66.0 | 185.0 | 294.0 | 384.0 | 491.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 113.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 66.0 | 191.0 | 307.0 | 406.0 | 524.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 118.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 68.0 | 201.0 | 327.0 | 437.0 | 568.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 125.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 71.0 | 215.0 | 353.0 | 477.0 | 623.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 135.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 76.0 | 235.0 | 389.0 | 531.0 | 696.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 148.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 83.0 | 258.0 | 432.0 | 594.0 | 782.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 163.0 | 30.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 91.0 | 285.0 | 482.0 | 665.0 | 882.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 180.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 316.0 | 538.0 | 744.0 | 992.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 200.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 66.0 | 112.0 | 355.0 | 605.0 | 838.0 | 1120.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 228.0 | 40.0 | 53.0 | 75.0 | 128.0 | 406.0 | 695.0 | 965.0 | 1288.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 263.0 | 46.0 | 61.0 | 85.0 | 147.0 | 471.0 | 807.0 | 1121.0 | 1492.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 303.0 | 53.0 | 70.0 | 97.0 | 169.0 | 545.0 | 935.0 | 1300.0 | 1722.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 347.0 | 61.0 | 80.0 | 111.0 | 194.0 | 627.0 | 1073.0 | 1497.0 | 1969.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 395.0 | 70.0 | 91.0 | 126.0 | 220.0 | 715.0 | 1223.0 | 1708.0 | 2236.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 447.0 | 79.0 | 103.0 | 142.0 | 248.0 | 809.0 | 1380.0 | 1928.0 | 2516.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 505.0 | 89.0 | 117.0 | 162.0 | 279.0 | 914.0 | 1556.0 | 2168.0 | 2828.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 568.0 | 100.0 | 132.0 | 183.0 | 312.0 | 1027.0 | 1748.0 | 2422.0 | 3165.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 638.0 | 112.0 | 149.0 | 206.0 | 350.0 | 1153.0 | 1963.0 | 2705.0 | 3547.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 713.0 | 124.0 | 168.0 | 232.0 | 392.0 | 1290.0 | 2197.0 | 3010.0 | 3966.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 790.0 | 138.0 | 186.0 | 258.0 | 435.0 | 1433.0 | 2438.0 | 3324.0 | 4396.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 870.0 | 151.0 | 204.0 | 284.0 | 481.0 | 1580.0 | 2687.0 | 3654.0 | 4829.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 939.0 | 163.0 | 220.0 | 306.0 | 520.0 | 1711.0 | 2905.0 | 3941.0 | 5206.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 996.0 | 172.0 | 231.0 | 324.0 | 552.0 | 1819.0 | 3086.0 | 4185.0 | 5516.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 1033.0 | 178.0 | 239.0 | 334.0 | 573.0 | 1890.0 | 3204.0 | 4351.0 | 5718.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 1040.0 | 179.0 | 239.0 | 335.0 | 576.0 | 1902.0 | 3225.0 | 4387.0 | 5758.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 1017.0 | 174.0 | 232.0 | 326.0 | 562.0 | 1858.0 | 3154.0 | 4292.0 | 5629.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 960.0 | 165.0 | 219.0 | 306.0 | 529.0 | 1752.0 | 2977.0 | 4056.0 | 5321.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 887.0 | 152.0 | 202.0 | 282.0 | 487.0 | 1615.0 | 2747.0 | 3741.0 | 4921.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 801.0 | 138.0 | 183.0 | 255.0 | 438.0 | 1457.0 | 2482.0 | 3384.0 | 4472.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 714.0 | 123.0 | 163.0 | 227.0 | 389.0 | 1297.0 | 2212.0 | 3019.0 | 4021.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 626.0 | 108.0 | 144.0 | 199.0 | 340.0 | 1138.0 | 1941.0 | 2656.0 | 3560.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 540.0 | 93.0 | 124.0 | 171.0 | 293.0 | 985.0 | 1681.0 | 2308.0 | 3103.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 462.0 | 80.0 | 106.0 | 147.0 | 251.0 | 847.0 | 1443.0 | 1991.0 | 2679.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 392.0 | 68.0 | 90.0 | 125.0 | 213.0 | 722.0 | 1230.0 | 1705.0 | 2294.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 329.0 | 57.0 | 75.0 | 105.0 | 178.0 | 608.0 | 1038.0 | 1444.0 | 1939.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 273.0 | 47.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 148.0 | 506.0 | 868.0 | 1212.0 | 1621.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 226.0 | 39.0 | 51.0 | 72.0 | 123.0 | 418.0 | 723.0 | 1012.0 | 1344.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 186.0 | 32.0 | 42.0 | 59.0 | 101.0 | 343.0 | 599.0 | 838.0 | 1107.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 154.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 83.0 | 284.0 | 499.0 | 697.0 | 917.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 129.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 70.0 | 239.0 | 420.0 | 587.0 | 771.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 110.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 60.0 | 205.0 | 361.0 | 502.0 | 662.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 97.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 52.0 | 181.0 | 319.0 | 444.0 | 588.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 87.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 47.0 | 164.0 | 287.0 | 400.0 | 533.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 79.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 150.0 | 261.0 | 366.0 | 489.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 72.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | 137.0 | 239.0 | 336.0 | 448.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 65.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 125.0 | 219.0 | 310.0 | 412.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 60.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 116.0 | 204.0 | 290.0 | 384.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 56.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 29.0 | 109.0 | 193.0 | 274.0 | 364.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 53.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 103.0 | 185.0 | 264.0 | 350.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 51.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 100.0 | 181.0 | 257.0 | 341.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 50.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 98.0 | 180.0 | 255.0 | 339.0 |
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