Prediction 2663
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=ES (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 15.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 54.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 17.0 | 31.0 | 45.0 | 61.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 47.0 | 65.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 22.0 | 42.0 | 61.0 | 83.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 21.0 | 39.0 | 56.0 | 77.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 26.0 | 49.0 | 71.0 | 99.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 82.0 | 115.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 29.0 | 56.0 | 83.0 | 115.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 14.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 30.0 | 57.0 | 84.0 | 116.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 35.0 | 69.0 | 101.0 | 139.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 40.0 | 78.0 | 116.0 | 162.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 42.0 | 82.0 | 124.0 | 173.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 20.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 44.0 | 85.0 | 127.0 | 179.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 25.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 54.0 | 106.0 | 160.0 | 222.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 26.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 55.0 | 110.0 | 166.0 | 229.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 45.0 | 90.0 | 136.0 | 188.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 38.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | 83.0 | 169.0 | 257.0 | 363.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 33.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 72.0 | 144.0 | 224.0 | 315.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 78.0 | 157.0 | 243.0 | 345.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 37.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 81.0 | 165.0 | 251.0 | 354.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 42.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 94.0 | 196.0 | 300.0 | 416.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 51.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 23.0 | 113.0 | 233.0 | 364.0 | 523.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 54.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 120.0 | 246.0 | 391.0 | 561.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 50.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 113.0 | 235.0 | 365.0 | 533.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 68.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 31.0 | 155.0 | 325.0 | 506.0 | 726.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 68.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 30.0 | 153.0 | 323.0 | 507.0 | 722.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 51.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 22.0 | 116.0 | 243.0 | 386.0 | 560.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 109.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 47.0 | 250.0 | 530.0 | 836.0 | 1228.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 80.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 35.0 | 186.0 | 391.0 | 629.0 | 923.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 93.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 213.0 | 455.0 | 725.0 | 1076.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 99.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 42.0 | 227.0 | 485.0 | 762.0 | 1130.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 106.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 46.0 | 247.0 | 539.0 | 851.0 | 1237.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 127.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 54.0 | 299.0 | 639.0 | 1024.0 | 1537.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 140.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 58.0 | 328.0 | 701.0 | 1124.0 | 1694.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 122.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 51.0 | 288.0 | 625.0 | 1005.0 | 1520.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 167.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 71.0 | 395.0 | 860.0 | 1357.0 | 2044.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 172.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 72.0 | 405.0 | 893.0 | 1417.0 | 2129.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 123.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 50.0 | 294.0 | 641.0 | 1029.0 | 1595.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 263.0 | 20.0 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 108.0 | 630.0 | 1383.0 | 2232.0 | 3390.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 189.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 78.0 | 456.0 | 1008.0 | 1618.0 | 2490.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 226.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 92.0 | 544.0 | 1210.0 | 1936.0 | 2966.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 238.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 44.0 | 97.0 | 574.0 | 1270.0 | 2014.0 | 3114.0 |
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