Prediction 2665
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=MA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 86.0 | 28.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 58.0 | 128.0 | 182.0 | 225.0 | 268.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 71.0 | 22.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 47.0 | 105.0 | 151.0 | 189.0 | 227.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 60.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 40.0 | 90.0 | 129.0 | 161.0 | 197.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 66.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 44.0 | 100.0 | 143.0 | 179.0 | 218.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 73.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 | 111.0 | 161.0 | 201.0 | 243.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 65.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 99.0 | 145.0 | 183.0 | 224.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 54.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 82.0 | 120.0 | 152.0 | 191.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 59.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 90.0 | 132.0 | 165.0 | 209.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 74.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 48.0 | 114.0 | 168.0 | 211.0 | 260.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 77.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 119.0 | 176.0 | 223.0 | 271.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 67.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 104.0 | 154.0 | 197.0 | 242.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 72.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 112.0 | 166.0 | 210.0 | 262.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 100.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 64.0 | 156.0 | 230.0 | 292.0 | 356.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 123.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 53.0 | 79.0 | 192.0 | 283.0 | 363.0 | 436.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 125.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 195.0 | 288.0 | 370.0 | 453.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 134.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 | 86.0 | 208.0 | 309.0 | 394.0 | 496.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 173.0 | 47.0 | 58.0 | 74.0 | 110.0 | 268.0 | 397.0 | 504.0 | 630.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 212.0 | 57.0 | 71.0 | 91.0 | 136.0 | 328.0 | 486.0 | 622.0 | 763.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 222.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 94.0 | 142.0 | 341.0 | 506.0 | 650.0 | 803.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 225.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 95.0 | 144.0 | 345.0 | 515.0 | 657.0 | 828.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 260.0 | 70.0 | 86.0 | 110.0 | 167.0 | 400.0 | 593.0 | 755.0 | 942.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 303.0 | 81.0 | 102.0 | 130.0 | 194.0 | 467.0 | 690.0 | 882.0 | 1076.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 311.0 | 83.0 | 104.0 | 133.0 | 199.0 | 477.0 | 706.0 | 903.0 | 1100.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 299.0 | 80.0 | 99.0 | 127.0 | 192.0 | 458.0 | 679.0 | 863.0 | 1068.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 320.0 | 86.0 | 106.0 | 136.0 | 205.0 | 493.0 | 727.0 | 918.0 | 1133.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 357.0 | 96.0 | 120.0 | 153.0 | 229.0 | 553.0 | 813.0 | 1027.0 | 1246.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 359.0 | 96.0 | 120.0 | 153.0 | 230.0 | 553.0 | 816.0 | 1032.0 | 1250.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 330.0 | 88.0 | 110.0 | 140.0 | 212.0 | 508.0 | 752.0 | 945.0 | 1167.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 330.0 | 88.0 | 109.0 | 140.0 | 211.0 | 510.0 | 752.0 | 939.0 | 1166.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 354.0 | 96.0 | 118.0 | 151.0 | 226.0 | 550.0 | 810.0 | 1013.0 | 1240.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 345.0 | 93.0 | 115.0 | 147.0 | 221.0 | 537.0 | 791.0 | 993.0 | 1211.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 297.0 | 80.0 | 99.0 | 126.0 | 190.0 | 461.0 | 682.0 | 855.0 | 1059.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 268.0 | 73.0 | 89.0 | 114.0 | 172.0 | 417.0 | 617.0 | 772.0 | 961.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 274.0 | 75.0 | 92.0 | 117.0 | 175.0 | 428.0 | 632.0 | 793.0 | 970.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 262.0 | 72.0 | 89.0 | 113.0 | 168.0 | 412.0 | 608.0 | 768.0 | 931.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 215.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 | 93.0 | 138.0 | 337.0 | 500.0 | 635.0 | 777.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 179.0 | 49.0 | 60.0 | 77.0 | 114.0 | 279.0 | 416.0 | 529.0 | 652.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 178.0 | 49.0 | 60.0 | 77.0 | 114.0 | 279.0 | 415.0 | 530.0 | 643.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 177.0 | 49.0 | 60.0 | 77.0 | 113.0 | 279.0 | 417.0 | 532.0 | 644.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 149.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 95.0 | 235.0 | 354.0 | 453.0 | 558.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 122.0 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 191.0 | 289.0 | 372.0 | 465.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 121.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 51.0 | 76.0 | 189.0 | 287.0 | 368.0 | 457.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 127.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 80.0 | 200.0 | 305.0 | 389.0 | 482.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 114.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 182.0 | 278.0 | 355.0 | 447.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 94.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 59.0 | 149.0 | 229.0 | 296.0 | 374.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 87.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 54.0 | 137.0 | 211.0 | 273.0 | 340.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 90.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 57.0 | 144.0 | 220.0 | 283.0 | 350.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 86.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 139.0 | 213.0 | 274.0 | 339.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 72.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 116.0 | 178.0 | 233.0 | 289.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 62.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 100.0 | 153.0 | 201.0 | 247.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 62.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 100.0 | 154.0 | 199.0 | 245.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 63.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 102.0 | 157.0 | 203.0 | 252.0 |
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