Prediction 2666
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=MG (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 317.0 | 95.0 | 114.0 | 143.0 | 208.0 | 482.0 | 706.0 | 886.0 | 1078.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 354.0 | 103.0 | 125.0 | 157.0 | 230.0 | 546.0 | 808.0 | 1023.0 | 1246.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 396.0 | 113.0 | 137.0 | 173.0 | 255.0 | 616.0 | 918.0 | 1168.0 | 1426.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 435.0 | 122.0 | 149.0 | 189.0 | 279.0 | 683.0 | 1022.0 | 1297.0 | 1590.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 471.0 | 131.0 | 161.0 | 205.0 | 303.0 | 745.0 | 1118.0 | 1414.0 | 1735.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 507.0 | 139.0 | 173.0 | 220.0 | 326.0 | 805.0 | 1213.0 | 1537.0 | 1881.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 561.0 | 152.0 | 190.0 | 241.0 | 361.0 | 892.0 | 1345.0 | 1717.0 | 2092.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 642.0 | 173.0 | 216.0 | 274.0 | 413.0 | 1020.0 | 1538.0 | 1978.0 | 2410.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 749.0 | 199.0 | 248.0 | 317.0 | 480.0 | 1186.0 | 1788.0 | 2302.0 | 2827.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 877.0 | 231.0 | 288.0 | 367.0 | 558.0 | 1384.0 | 2089.0 | 2682.0 | 3332.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 1031.0 | 270.0 | 334.0 | 427.0 | 651.0 | 1620.0 | 2452.0 | 3133.0 | 3929.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 1210.0 | 316.0 | 390.0 | 498.0 | 760.0 | 1900.0 | 2874.0 | 3658.0 | 4618.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1430.0 | 375.0 | 460.0 | 587.0 | 895.0 | 2246.0 | 3392.0 | 4310.0 | 5445.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1603.0 | 422.0 | 516.0 | 656.0 | 1002.0 | 2519.0 | 3800.0 | 4828.0 | 6073.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 1735.0 | 458.0 | 558.0 | 710.0 | 1082.0 | 2731.0 | 4118.0 | 5236.0 | 6532.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 1876.0 | 496.0 | 604.0 | 767.0 | 1170.0 | 2964.0 | 4463.0 | 5685.0 | 7040.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 2046.0 | 538.0 | 657.0 | 836.0 | 1277.0 | 3250.0 | 4888.0 | 6237.0 | 7701.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 2315.0 | 604.0 | 741.0 | 945.0 | 1443.0 | 3697.0 | 5558.0 | 7101.0 | 8790.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 2732.0 | 705.0 | 869.0 | 1111.0 | 1700.0 | 4377.0 | 6587.0 | 8428.0 | 10504.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 3252.0 | 830.0 | 1028.0 | 1318.0 | 2020.0 | 5221.0 | 7872.0 | 10077.0 | 12694.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 3886.0 | 982.0 | 1221.0 | 1567.0 | 2409.0 | 6246.0 | 9442.0 | 12104.0 | 15374.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 4533.0 | 1135.0 | 1416.0 | 1819.0 | 2805.0 | 7289.0 | 11056.0 | 14192.0 | 18100.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 5085.0 | 1266.0 | 1581.0 | 2030.0 | 3140.0 | 8176.0 | 12449.0 | 16004.0 | 20401.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 5523.0 | 1368.0 | 1709.0 | 2196.0 | 3405.0 | 8881.0 | 13556.0 | 17466.0 | 22173.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 5849.0 | 1443.0 | 1801.0 | 2318.0 | 3604.0 | 9409.0 | 14376.0 | 18555.0 | 23411.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 6025.0 | 1483.0 | 1850.0 | 2384.0 | 3715.0 | 9704.0 | 14820.0 | 19142.0 | 23982.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 5970.0 | 1466.0 | 1830.0 | 2361.0 | 3684.0 | 9631.0 | 14692.0 | 18957.0 | 23622.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 5683.0 | 1392.0 | 1739.0 | 2248.0 | 3507.0 | 9184.0 | 14002.0 | 18014.0 | 22342.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 5252.0 | 1285.0 | 1608.0 | 2081.0 | 3244.0 | 8504.0 | 12955.0 | 16608.0 | 20511.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 4695.0 | 1150.0 | 1440.0 | 1865.0 | 2905.0 | 7616.0 | 11596.0 | 14824.0 | 18220.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 4011.0 | 986.0 | 1235.0 | 1598.0 | 2486.0 | 6511.0 | 9907.0 | 12652.0 | 15505.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 3286.0 | 812.0 | 1016.0 | 1313.0 | 2038.0 | 5325.0 | 8108.0 | 10364.0 | 12680.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 2610.0 | 649.0 | 812.0 | 1047.0 | 1620.0 | 4214.0 | 6435.0 | 8243.0 | 10079.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 2032.0 | 508.0 | 636.0 | 819.0 | 1262.0 | 3264.0 | 5004.0 | 6426.0 | 7870.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1576.0 | 396.0 | 497.0 | 638.0 | 980.0 | 2517.0 | 3877.0 | 4989.0 | 6134.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1235.0 | 311.0 | 392.0 | 501.0 | 768.0 | 1961.0 | 3035.0 | 3910.0 | 4838.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 993.0 | 250.0 | 315.0 | 404.0 | 616.0 | 1571.0 | 2438.0 | 3141.0 | 3910.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 817.0 | 205.0 | 258.0 | 333.0 | 507.0 | 1296.0 | 2008.0 | 2586.0 | 3234.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 681.0 | 170.0 | 214.0 | 278.0 | 424.0 | 1088.0 | 1678.0 | 2157.0 | 2707.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 564.0 | 140.0 | 177.0 | 230.0 | 352.0 | 908.0 | 1394.0 | 1793.0 | 2244.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 455.0 | 112.0 | 142.0 | 185.0 | 285.0 | 740.0 | 1133.0 | 1459.0 | 1817.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 364.0 | 90.0 | 113.0 | 148.0 | 228.0 | 596.0 | 911.0 | 1177.0 | 1461.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 302.0 | 74.0 | 93.0 | 122.0 | 189.0 | 496.0 | 757.0 | 985.0 | 1221.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 263.0 | 63.0 | 81.0 | 105.0 | 164.0 | 433.0 | 663.0 | 867.0 | 1080.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 239.0 | 57.0 | 72.0 | 94.0 | 147.0 | 394.0 | 606.0 | 792.0 | 1001.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 227.0 | 53.0 | 68.0 | 88.0 | 138.0 | 373.0 | 578.0 | 754.0 | 968.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 226.0 | 52.0 | 67.0 | 87.0 | 137.0 | 372.0 | 577.0 | 753.0 | 974.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 232.0 | 53.0 | 69.0 | 89.0 | 140.0 | 382.0 | 594.0 | 782.0 | 1006.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 234.0 | 54.0 | 69.0 | 90.0 | 142.0 | 386.0 | 601.0 | 800.0 | 1020.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 229.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 | 88.0 | 139.0 | 379.0 | 591.0 | 792.0 | 1007.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 224.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 | 86.0 | 136.0 | 372.0 | 582.0 | 783.0 | 995.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 225.0 | 53.0 | 66.0 | 87.0 | 136.0 | 374.0 | 588.0 | 789.0 | 1003.0 |
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