Prediction 2667
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=MS (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 49.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 84.0 | 136.0 | 185.0 | 240.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 47.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 82.0 | 136.0 | 185.0 | 240.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 47.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 83.0 | 139.0 | 190.0 | 248.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 50.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 92.0 | 157.0 | 215.0 | 284.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 59.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 110.0 | 190.0 | 261.0 | 350.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 73.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 135.0 | 234.0 | 321.0 | 433.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 87.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 48.0 | 160.0 | 278.0 | 382.0 | 516.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 98.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 54.0 | 180.0 | 315.0 | 434.0 | 588.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 107.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 58.0 | 197.0 | 343.0 | 475.0 | 644.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 115.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 62.0 | 211.0 | 368.0 | 511.0 | 693.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 129.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 69.0 | 238.0 | 414.0 | 575.0 | 781.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 157.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 84.0 | 290.0 | 504.0 | 697.0 | 949.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 199.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 62.0 | 107.0 | 368.0 | 640.0 | 884.0 | 1201.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 246.0 | 43.0 | 56.0 | 76.0 | 132.0 | 455.0 | 792.0 | 1095.0 | 1478.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 294.0 | 51.0 | 66.0 | 90.0 | 157.0 | 542.0 | 942.0 | 1309.0 | 1754.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 343.0 | 60.0 | 77.0 | 105.0 | 183.0 | 629.0 | 1090.0 | 1519.0 | 2032.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 389.0 | 69.0 | 88.0 | 120.0 | 209.0 | 712.0 | 1230.0 | 1716.0 | 2299.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 433.0 | 77.0 | 99.0 | 134.0 | 233.0 | 791.0 | 1360.0 | 1891.0 | 2535.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 480.0 | 86.0 | 110.0 | 149.0 | 258.0 | 876.0 | 1500.0 | 2071.0 | 2779.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 537.0 | 94.0 | 122.0 | 167.0 | 289.0 | 982.0 | 1671.0 | 2296.0 | 3085.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 606.0 | 103.0 | 137.0 | 188.0 | 327.0 | 1109.0 | 1879.0 | 2580.0 | 3468.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 675.0 | 112.0 | 152.0 | 209.0 | 363.0 | 1238.0 | 2090.0 | 2876.0 | 3856.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 733.0 | 121.0 | 165.0 | 227.0 | 394.0 | 1347.0 | 2271.0 | 3137.0 | 4182.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 783.0 | 131.0 | 178.0 | 245.0 | 420.0 | 1438.0 | 2429.0 | 3366.0 | 4460.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 821.0 | 141.0 | 189.0 | 260.0 | 442.0 | 1510.0 | 2560.0 | 3552.0 | 4677.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 849.0 | 149.0 | 198.0 | 271.0 | 458.0 | 1562.0 | 2661.0 | 3687.0 | 4822.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 880.0 | 157.0 | 206.0 | 283.0 | 476.0 | 1620.0 | 2772.0 | 3830.0 | 4978.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 916.0 | 164.0 | 214.0 | 295.0 | 495.0 | 1685.0 | 2888.0 | 3979.0 | 5166.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 946.0 | 169.0 | 220.0 | 303.0 | 511.0 | 1736.0 | 2975.0 | 4095.0 | 5329.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 936.0 | 166.0 | 216.0 | 299.0 | 506.0 | 1713.0 | 2936.0 | 4041.0 | 5275.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 879.0 | 155.0 | 202.0 | 280.0 | 475.0 | 1603.0 | 2748.0 | 3785.0 | 4946.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 789.0 | 139.0 | 181.0 | 251.0 | 427.0 | 1434.0 | 2460.0 | 3390.0 | 4439.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 690.0 | 122.0 | 159.0 | 220.0 | 374.0 | 1250.0 | 2146.0 | 2957.0 | 3886.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 596.0 | 104.0 | 137.0 | 189.0 | 323.0 | 1075.0 | 1848.0 | 2547.0 | 3356.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 521.0 | 90.0 | 119.0 | 164.0 | 282.0 | 939.0 | 1614.0 | 2226.0 | 2936.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 466.0 | 77.0 | 104.0 | 144.0 | 251.0 | 841.0 | 1443.0 | 1995.0 | 2639.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 421.0 | 68.0 | 93.0 | 129.0 | 227.0 | 763.0 | 1305.0 | 1807.0 | 2405.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 366.0 | 59.0 | 81.0 | 112.0 | 198.0 | 667.0 | 1142.0 | 1580.0 | 2110.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 296.0 | 49.0 | 66.0 | 92.0 | 161.0 | 542.0 | 932.0 | 1286.0 | 1716.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 225.0 | 39.0 | 51.0 | 71.0 | 123.0 | 414.0 | 717.0 | 986.0 | 1311.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 169.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 93.0 | 312.0 | 544.0 | 748.0 | 994.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 135.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 43.0 | 73.0 | 249.0 | 436.0 | 601.0 | 800.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 119.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 63.0 | 219.0 | 383.0 | 531.0 | 706.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 111.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 59.0 | 205.0 | 359.0 | 498.0 | 664.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 103.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 54.0 | 190.0 | 334.0 | 462.0 | 620.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 88.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 47.0 | 164.0 | 290.0 | 400.0 | 539.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 69.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 128.0 | 228.0 | 314.0 | 423.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 51.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 96.0 | 172.0 | 236.0 | 318.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 42.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 79.0 | 141.0 | 196.0 | 264.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 40.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 76.0 | 134.0 | 189.0 | 257.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 43.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 22.0 | 81.0 | 141.0 | 200.0 | 271.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 45.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 86.0 | 150.0 | 211.0 | 285.0 |
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