Prediction 2668
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=MT (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 58.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 86.0 | 122.0 | 152.0 | 183.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 62.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | 94.0 | 134.0 | 168.0 | 202.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 70.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 46.0 | 107.0 | 154.0 | 192.0 | 232.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 80.0 | 24.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 123.0 | 180.0 | 224.0 | 271.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 92.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 142.0 | 209.0 | 260.0 | 314.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 104.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 67.0 | 163.0 | 240.0 | 298.0 | 360.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 115.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 181.0 | 268.0 | 334.0 | 404.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 123.0 | 35.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 79.0 | 194.0 | 287.0 | 362.0 | 438.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 128.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 82.0 | 201.0 | 298.0 | 378.0 | 460.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 129.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 56.0 | 83.0 | 203.0 | 302.0 | 385.0 | 471.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 132.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 | 84.0 | 207.0 | 309.0 | 395.0 | 486.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 143.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | 61.0 | 91.0 | 223.0 | 333.0 | 427.0 | 525.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 163.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 70.0 | 105.0 | 255.0 | 381.0 | 488.0 | 601.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 190.0 | 53.0 | 64.0 | 81.0 | 122.0 | 296.0 | 443.0 | 566.0 | 696.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 219.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 94.0 | 141.0 | 343.0 | 513.0 | 652.0 | 802.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 249.0 | 68.0 | 83.0 | 107.0 | 161.0 | 389.0 | 582.0 | 738.0 | 908.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 280.0 | 76.0 | 94.0 | 120.0 | 180.0 | 436.0 | 651.0 | 825.0 | 1016.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 310.0 | 85.0 | 104.0 | 133.0 | 200.0 | 483.0 | 719.0 | 912.0 | 1126.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 341.0 | 93.0 | 114.0 | 147.0 | 220.0 | 529.0 | 786.0 | 1000.0 | 1237.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 373.0 | 102.0 | 125.0 | 160.0 | 240.0 | 577.0 | 853.0 | 1090.0 | 1350.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 410.0 | 112.0 | 138.0 | 176.0 | 265.0 | 634.0 | 935.0 | 1198.0 | 1486.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 449.0 | 124.0 | 151.0 | 192.0 | 290.0 | 693.0 | 1022.0 | 1311.0 | 1627.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 483.0 | 133.0 | 163.0 | 207.0 | 312.0 | 745.0 | 1101.0 | 1410.0 | 1748.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 513.0 | 142.0 | 173.0 | 219.0 | 331.0 | 790.0 | 1171.0 | 1496.0 | 1851.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 537.0 | 149.0 | 181.0 | 230.0 | 346.0 | 828.0 | 1229.0 | 1568.0 | 1934.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 543.0 | 152.0 | 184.0 | 233.0 | 351.0 | 839.0 | 1247.0 | 1591.0 | 1956.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 531.0 | 148.0 | 180.0 | 228.0 | 343.0 | 821.0 | 1221.0 | 1557.0 | 1912.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 503.0 | 140.0 | 170.0 | 216.0 | 324.0 | 777.0 | 1156.0 | 1472.0 | 1809.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 462.0 | 128.0 | 156.0 | 198.0 | 297.0 | 714.0 | 1060.0 | 1350.0 | 1660.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 413.0 | 115.0 | 140.0 | 177.0 | 266.0 | 639.0 | 949.0 | 1210.0 | 1488.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 363.0 | 101.0 | 123.0 | 155.0 | 233.0 | 562.0 | 834.0 | 1064.0 | 1309.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 314.0 | 87.0 | 106.0 | 134.0 | 202.0 | 486.0 | 722.0 | 921.0 | 1134.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 268.0 | 75.0 | 91.0 | 115.0 | 173.0 | 416.0 | 619.0 | 789.0 | 971.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 225.0 | 63.0 | 76.0 | 96.0 | 145.0 | 349.0 | 521.0 | 663.0 | 815.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 187.0 | 52.0 | 64.0 | 80.0 | 121.0 | 291.0 | 435.0 | 552.0 | 677.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 157.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 | 68.0 | 102.0 | 245.0 | 366.0 | 463.0 | 567.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 134.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 58.0 | 87.0 | 209.0 | 312.0 | 394.0 | 483.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 115.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 181.0 | 269.0 | 340.0 | 416.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 100.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 65.0 | 157.0 | 233.0 | 296.0 | 363.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 88.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 138.0 | 204.0 | 259.0 | 319.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 78.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 123.0 | 182.0 | 231.0 | 285.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 72.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 112.0 | 166.0 | 212.0 | 262.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 68.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 105.0 | 156.0 | 200.0 | 246.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 64.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 41.0 | 99.0 | 147.0 | 189.0 | 232.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 60.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 94.0 | 139.0 | 179.0 | 219.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 57.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 89.0 | 132.0 | 169.0 | 207.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 55.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 85.0 | 127.0 | 161.0 | 197.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 53.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 83.0 | 124.0 | 157.0 | 192.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 53.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 83.0 | 124.0 | 157.0 | 191.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 53.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 83.0 | 125.0 | 158.0 | 193.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 53.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 84.0 | 127.0 | 160.0 | 195.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 54.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 85.0 | 129.0 | 163.0 | 200.0 |
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