Prediction 2669
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=PA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 44.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 61.0 | 82.0 | 98.0 | 114.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 45.0 | 18.0 | 21.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 63.0 | 85.0 | 101.0 | 118.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | 36.0 | 70.0 | 93.0 | 112.0 | 129.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 61.0 | 24.0 | 28.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 85.0 | 113.0 | 135.0 | 157.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 79.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 | 43.0 | 57.0 | 109.0 | 146.0 | 174.0 | 202.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 101.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 | 54.0 | 72.0 | 139.0 | 187.0 | 224.0 | 259.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 119.0 | 46.0 | 54.0 | 64.0 | 86.0 | 165.0 | 222.0 | 266.0 | 308.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 129.0 | 49.0 | 58.0 | 68.0 | 92.0 | 178.0 | 240.0 | 288.0 | 335.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 127.0 | 49.0 | 57.0 | 67.0 | 91.0 | 176.0 | 237.0 | 285.0 | 332.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 119.0 | 45.0 | 53.0 | 63.0 | 85.0 | 165.0 | 223.0 | 268.0 | 313.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 113.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 81.0 | 157.0 | 212.0 | 255.0 | 298.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 118.0 | 44.0 | 52.0 | 62.0 | 84.0 | 164.0 | 222.0 | 267.0 | 313.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 138.0 | 52.0 | 60.0 | 72.0 | 98.0 | 192.0 | 260.0 | 314.0 | 366.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 167.0 | 63.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 | 119.0 | 234.0 | 317.0 | 382.0 | 444.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 194.0 | 73.0 | 84.0 | 101.0 | 138.0 | 273.0 | 369.0 | 445.0 | 516.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 213.0 | 80.0 | 93.0 | 111.0 | 151.0 | 299.0 | 405.0 | 488.0 | 563.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 220.0 | 82.0 | 96.0 | 115.0 | 157.0 | 310.0 | 419.0 | 503.0 | 580.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 219.0 | 81.0 | 95.0 | 115.0 | 155.0 | 307.0 | 416.0 | 498.0 | 574.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 213.0 | 78.0 | 93.0 | 112.0 | 151.0 | 299.0 | 405.0 | 484.0 | 560.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 209.0 | 77.0 | 91.0 | 109.0 | 148.0 | 293.0 | 398.0 | 475.0 | 551.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 207.0 | 76.0 | 90.0 | 107.0 | 147.0 | 290.0 | 394.0 | 472.0 | 550.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 201.0 | 75.0 | 87.0 | 104.0 | 143.0 | 283.0 | 386.0 | 463.0 | 541.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 188.0 | 70.0 | 81.0 | 97.0 | 133.0 | 264.0 | 360.0 | 432.0 | 506.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 166.0 | 62.0 | 71.0 | 86.0 | 118.0 | 234.0 | 318.0 | 382.0 | 447.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 145.0 | 53.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 103.0 | 204.0 | 277.0 | 332.0 | 389.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 133.0 | 48.0 | 57.0 | 69.0 | 94.0 | 186.0 | 252.0 | 301.0 | 352.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 132.0 | 48.0 | 57.0 | 69.0 | 94.0 | 186.0 | 251.0 | 300.0 | 350.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 143.0 | 52.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 102.0 | 201.0 | 272.0 | 326.0 | 379.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 157.0 | 58.0 | 68.0 | 82.0 | 112.0 | 221.0 | 299.0 | 360.0 | 418.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 168.0 | 62.0 | 72.0 | 87.0 | 119.0 | 235.0 | 318.0 | 383.0 | 445.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 167.0 | 62.0 | 72.0 | 87.0 | 119.0 | 234.0 | 317.0 | 382.0 | 444.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 157.0 | 58.0 | 68.0 | 82.0 | 112.0 | 219.0 | 296.0 | 356.0 | 414.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 141.0 | 52.0 | 61.0 | 73.0 | 100.0 | 196.0 | 265.0 | 318.0 | 369.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 124.0 | 46.0 | 54.0 | 65.0 | 88.0 | 174.0 | 235.0 | 281.0 | 327.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 109.0 | 41.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 | 77.0 | 153.0 | 208.0 | 248.0 | 289.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 96.0 | 36.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 | 68.0 | 136.0 | 185.0 | 221.0 | 258.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 84.0 | 31.0 | 36.0 | 43.0 | 59.0 | 118.0 | 161.0 | 194.0 | 227.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 70.0 | 26.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 99.0 | 135.0 | 163.0 | 191.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 56.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | 79.0 | 108.0 | 130.0 | 154.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 45.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 64.0 | 88.0 | 105.0 | 124.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 40.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 57.0 | 78.0 | 94.0 | 112.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 41.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 59.0 | 81.0 | 98.0 | 116.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 45.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 64.0 | 89.0 | 109.0 | 129.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 48.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 69.0 | 96.0 | 118.0 | 140.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 49.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 71.0 | 99.0 | 121.0 | 143.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 47.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 68.0 | 95.0 | 116.0 | 137.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 44.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 63.0 | 88.0 | 107.0 | 126.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 41.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 60.0 | 83.0 | 101.0 | 119.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 42.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 | 85.0 | 103.0 | 122.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 45.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 65.0 | 91.0 | 112.0 | 133.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 48.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 71.0 | 99.0 | 122.0 | 146.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 51.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 75.0 | 105.0 | 130.0 | 156.0 |
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