Prediction 2670
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=PB (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 99.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 65.0 | 156.0 | 232.0 | 298.0 | 373.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 88.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 139.0 | 208.0 | 268.0 | 338.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 78.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 124.0 | 187.0 | 242.0 | 304.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 70.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 112.0 | 171.0 | 221.0 | 278.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 65.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 103.0 | 158.0 | 204.0 | 257.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 60.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 95.0 | 145.0 | 187.0 | 235.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 54.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 85.0 | 130.0 | 167.0 | 209.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 49.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 77.0 | 118.0 | 151.0 | 187.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 45.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 72.0 | 110.0 | 141.0 | 173.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 42.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 68.0 | 103.0 | 132.0 | 163.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 39.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 63.0 | 96.0 | 122.0 | 152.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 59.0 | 91.0 | 117.0 | 146.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 59.0 | 90.0 | 116.0 | 145.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 59.0 | 91.0 | 117.0 | 147.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 59.0 | 91.0 | 117.0 | 147.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 37.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 60.0 | 92.0 | 118.0 | 149.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 38.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 62.0 | 95.0 | 123.0 | 154.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 40.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 65.0 | 101.0 | 130.0 | 164.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 43.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 27.0 | 69.0 | 108.0 | 140.0 | 176.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 46.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 75.0 | 117.0 | 152.0 | 192.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 51.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 82.0 | 129.0 | 169.0 | 215.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 57.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 91.0 | 144.0 | 189.0 | 242.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 63.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 103.0 | 162.0 | 213.0 | 271.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 71.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 115.0 | 180.0 | 236.0 | 300.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 79.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 129.0 | 201.0 | 262.0 | 332.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 88.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 145.0 | 224.0 | 290.0 | 368.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 98.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 162.0 | 250.0 | 321.0 | 407.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 111.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 184.0 | 283.0 | 363.0 | 458.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 127.0 | 30.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 77.0 | 210.0 | 324.0 | 413.0 | 520.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 145.0 | 35.0 | 44.0 | 57.0 | 88.0 | 241.0 | 371.0 | 474.0 | 595.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 163.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 63.0 | 98.0 | 270.0 | 417.0 | 532.0 | 669.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 175.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 | 68.0 | 105.0 | 289.0 | 449.0 | 574.0 | 723.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 183.0 | 42.0 | 53.0 | 70.0 | 109.0 | 303.0 | 470.0 | 604.0 | 761.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 192.0 | 44.0 | 56.0 | 73.0 | 114.0 | 316.0 | 491.0 | 635.0 | 798.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 199.0 | 46.0 | 58.0 | 76.0 | 119.0 | 327.0 | 509.0 | 660.0 | 828.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 202.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 | 78.0 | 121.0 | 330.0 | 514.0 | 668.0 | 840.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 198.0 | 46.0 | 58.0 | 76.0 | 118.0 | 324.0 | 502.0 | 655.0 | 827.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 192.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 | 74.0 | 115.0 | 315.0 | 487.0 | 634.0 | 805.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 188.0 | 45.0 | 56.0 | 74.0 | 114.0 | 308.0 | 475.0 | 619.0 | 787.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 182.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 72.0 | 111.0 | 299.0 | 460.0 | 600.0 | 764.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 174.0 | 42.0 | 53.0 | 68.0 | 105.0 | 284.0 | 439.0 | 571.0 | 728.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 164.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | 64.0 | 99.0 | 269.0 | 415.0 | 541.0 | 688.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 157.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 61.0 | 95.0 | 257.0 | 397.0 | 518.0 | 655.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 151.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 59.0 | 91.0 | 247.0 | 383.0 | 498.0 | 628.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 142.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 55.0 | 86.0 | 232.0 | 362.0 | 469.0 | 590.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 129.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 50.0 | 78.0 | 212.0 | 331.0 | 429.0 | 538.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 117.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 71.0 | 192.0 | 300.0 | 388.0 | 485.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 106.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 65.0 | 173.0 | 271.0 | 350.0 | 434.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 94.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 58.0 | 154.0 | 242.0 | 312.0 | 387.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 83.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 52.0 | 136.0 | 213.0 | 273.0 | 339.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 72.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 118.0 | 185.0 | 237.0 | 294.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 64.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 105.0 | 163.0 | 210.0 | 260.0 |
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