Prediction 2671
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=PE (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 157.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 | 72.0 | 104.0 | 238.0 | 343.0 | 429.0 | 525.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 145.0 | 42.0 | 52.0 | 65.0 | 95.0 | 223.0 | 325.0 | 409.0 | 504.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 138.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 | 61.0 | 90.0 | 215.0 | 318.0 | 402.0 | 498.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 137.0 | 38.0 | 47.0 | 60.0 | 89.0 | 216.0 | 322.0 | 409.0 | 509.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 142.0 | 38.0 | 47.0 | 61.0 | 91.0 | 223.0 | 336.0 | 428.0 | 534.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 148.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | 63.0 | 94.0 | 235.0 | 355.0 | 453.0 | 567.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 154.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 97.0 | 244.0 | 369.0 | 471.0 | 591.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 153.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | 64.0 | 96.0 | 244.0 | 370.0 | 472.0 | 592.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 148.0 | 38.0 | 47.0 | 61.0 | 92.0 | 234.0 | 356.0 | 454.0 | 568.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 137.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 56.0 | 85.0 | 217.0 | 330.0 | 420.0 | 524.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 123.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 76.0 | 195.0 | 297.0 | 377.0 | 468.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 110.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 175.0 | 267.0 | 340.0 | 419.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 105.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 168.0 | 257.0 | 328.0 | 402.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 109.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 175.0 | 266.0 | 342.0 | 419.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 121.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 76.0 | 194.0 | 296.0 | 381.0 | 469.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 141.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 58.0 | 88.0 | 226.0 | 344.0 | 443.0 | 549.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 165.0 | 42.0 | 52.0 | 68.0 | 103.0 | 265.0 | 403.0 | 520.0 | 649.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 190.0 | 48.0 | 60.0 | 78.0 | 119.0 | 305.0 | 464.0 | 598.0 | 750.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 213.0 | 54.0 | 68.0 | 88.0 | 133.0 | 341.0 | 520.0 | 668.0 | 839.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 230.0 | 59.0 | 74.0 | 96.0 | 145.0 | 369.0 | 563.0 | 723.0 | 906.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 245.0 | 63.0 | 79.0 | 103.0 | 154.0 | 393.0 | 599.0 | 771.0 | 961.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 259.0 | 67.0 | 84.0 | 109.0 | 163.0 | 415.0 | 634.0 | 816.0 | 1011.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 276.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 116.0 | 175.0 | 444.0 | 678.0 | 875.0 | 1078.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 303.0 | 80.0 | 99.0 | 127.0 | 192.0 | 487.0 | 743.0 | 960.0 | 1180.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 337.0 | 88.0 | 110.0 | 141.0 | 213.0 | 542.0 | 825.0 | 1066.0 | 1312.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 375.0 | 98.0 | 122.0 | 156.0 | 236.0 | 602.0 | 916.0 | 1183.0 | 1462.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 414.0 | 108.0 | 133.0 | 171.0 | 260.0 | 664.0 | 1009.0 | 1301.0 | 1616.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 450.0 | 116.0 | 144.0 | 185.0 | 282.0 | 720.0 | 1093.0 | 1406.0 | 1756.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 475.0 | 122.0 | 152.0 | 195.0 | 298.0 | 760.0 | 1152.0 | 1480.0 | 1857.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 487.0 | 126.0 | 156.0 | 200.0 | 306.0 | 780.0 | 1182.0 | 1517.0 | 1907.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 482.0 | 124.0 | 154.0 | 198.0 | 303.0 | 773.0 | 1169.0 | 1500.0 | 1886.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 465.0 | 120.0 | 149.0 | 192.0 | 293.0 | 746.0 | 1128.0 | 1448.0 | 1820.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 441.0 | 114.0 | 142.0 | 182.0 | 278.0 | 706.0 | 1067.0 | 1371.0 | 1723.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 413.0 | 107.0 | 133.0 | 171.0 | 261.0 | 662.0 | 999.0 | 1286.0 | 1618.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 390.0 | 100.0 | 125.0 | 161.0 | 246.0 | 624.0 | 940.0 | 1212.0 | 1530.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 370.0 | 95.0 | 119.0 | 152.0 | 233.0 | 591.0 | 889.0 | 1148.0 | 1458.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 353.0 | 90.0 | 112.0 | 144.0 | 221.0 | 564.0 | 846.0 | 1096.0 | 1398.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 339.0 | 86.0 | 107.0 | 138.0 | 212.0 | 540.0 | 811.0 | 1052.0 | 1348.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 324.0 | 82.0 | 102.0 | 131.0 | 202.0 | 518.0 | 778.0 | 1011.0 | 1299.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 310.0 | 78.0 | 98.0 | 126.0 | 194.0 | 497.0 | 748.0 | 973.0 | 1249.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 295.0 | 74.0 | 93.0 | 120.0 | 185.0 | 475.0 | 717.0 | 932.0 | 1194.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 283.0 | 70.0 | 89.0 | 115.0 | 177.0 | 456.0 | 692.0 | 898.0 | 1145.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 278.0 | 68.0 | 86.0 | 113.0 | 174.0 | 448.0 | 686.0 | 887.0 | 1125.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 281.0 | 69.0 | 87.0 | 114.0 | 175.0 | 454.0 | 699.0 | 903.0 | 1138.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 290.0 | 70.0 | 89.0 | 116.0 | 180.0 | 468.0 | 723.0 | 934.0 | 1173.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 300.0 | 72.0 | 91.0 | 119.0 | 185.0 | 485.0 | 751.0 | 972.0 | 1218.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 308.0 | 74.0 | 93.0 | 122.0 | 189.0 | 499.0 | 773.0 | 1005.0 | 1258.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 312.0 | 75.0 | 94.0 | 123.0 | 191.0 | 507.0 | 785.0 | 1024.0 | 1282.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 307.0 | 74.0 | 93.0 | 121.0 | 188.0 | 499.0 | 773.0 | 1013.0 | 1268.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 292.0 | 70.0 | 88.0 | 115.0 | 178.0 | 475.0 | 735.0 | 966.0 | 1208.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 269.0 | 65.0 | 82.0 | 106.0 | 165.0 | 439.0 | 680.0 | 896.0 | 1118.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 247.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 98.0 | 152.0 | 402.0 | 626.0 | 825.0 | 1028.0 |
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