Prediction 2672
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=PI (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 51.0 | 61.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 52.0 | 61.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 39.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 58.0 | 68.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 65.0 | 76.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 51.0 | 59.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 63.0 | 74.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 41.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 58.0 | 80.0 | 97.0 | 115.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 37.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 53.0 | 74.0 | 91.0 | 109.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 66.0 | 80.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 47.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 66.0 | 91.0 | 109.0 | 130.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 74.0 | 27.0 | 32.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 106.0 | 146.0 | 176.0 | 210.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 59.0 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 85.0 | 117.0 | 143.0 | 172.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 42.0 | 16.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 60.0 | 83.0 | 98.0 | 118.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 91.0 | 33.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 | 64.0 | 128.0 | 176.0 | 208.0 | 249.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 132.0 | 47.0 | 56.0 | 68.0 | 93.0 | 190.0 | 260.0 | 313.0 | 373.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 92.0 | 34.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | 65.0 | 135.0 | 183.0 | 223.0 | 264.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 77.0 | 28.0 | 33.0 | 39.0 | 54.0 | 110.0 | 149.0 | 178.0 | 211.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 166.0 | 59.0 | 69.0 | 83.0 | 116.0 | 235.0 | 323.0 | 387.0 | 459.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 228.0 | 80.0 | 95.0 | 115.0 | 160.0 | 328.0 | 451.0 | 544.0 | 643.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 182.0 | 65.0 | 76.0 | 92.0 | 128.0 | 262.0 | 357.0 | 433.0 | 508.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 185.0 | 67.0 | 79.0 | 94.0 | 130.0 | 264.0 | 359.0 | 436.0 | 508.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 327.0 | 116.0 | 137.0 | 166.0 | 229.0 | 467.0 | 642.0 | 776.0 | 912.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 417.0 | 147.0 | 173.0 | 211.0 | 292.0 | 597.0 | 822.0 | 993.0 | 1171.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 359.0 | 128.0 | 150.0 | 183.0 | 252.0 | 513.0 | 703.0 | 853.0 | 1001.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 360.0 | 130.0 | 152.0 | 184.0 | 254.0 | 514.0 | 704.0 | 858.0 | 1003.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 508.0 | 181.0 | 213.0 | 259.0 | 357.0 | 726.0 | 1002.0 | 1217.0 | 1430.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 585.0 | 207.0 | 243.0 | 297.0 | 410.0 | 834.0 | 1155.0 | 1395.0 | 1647.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 496.0 | 176.0 | 208.0 | 253.0 | 348.0 | 707.0 | 977.0 | 1182.0 | 1392.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 464.0 | 166.0 | 195.0 | 238.0 | 327.0 | 664.0 | 916.0 | 1118.0 | 1310.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 566.0 | 201.0 | 237.0 | 290.0 | 398.0 | 810.0 | 1123.0 | 1368.0 | 1609.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 583.0 | 206.0 | 242.0 | 297.0 | 409.0 | 832.0 | 1159.0 | 1400.0 | 1656.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 468.0 | 165.0 | 195.0 | 238.0 | 328.0 | 668.0 | 929.0 | 1125.0 | 1328.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 408.0 | 146.0 | 171.0 | 209.0 | 287.0 | 587.0 | 814.0 | 998.0 | 1171.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 434.0 | 154.0 | 181.0 | 222.0 | 305.0 | 625.0 | 870.0 | 1064.0 | 1251.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 407.0 | 143.0 | 169.0 | 206.0 | 284.0 | 582.0 | 814.0 | 985.0 | 1167.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 298.0 | 103.0 | 122.0 | 149.0 | 206.0 | 426.0 | 595.0 | 721.0 | 856.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 227.0 | 79.0 | 93.0 | 114.0 | 158.0 | 330.0 | 458.0 | 565.0 | 664.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 223.0 | 78.0 | 92.0 | 113.0 | 156.0 | 324.0 | 451.0 | 555.0 | 652.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 195.0 | 68.0 | 80.0 | 98.0 | 136.0 | 280.0 | 393.0 | 474.0 | 565.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 131.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 | 64.0 | 90.0 | 188.0 | 264.0 | 319.0 | 382.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 93.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 64.0 | 138.0 | 190.0 | 237.0 | 279.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 85.0 | 30.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 60.0 | 126.0 | 174.0 | 215.0 | 253.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 70.0 | 24.0 | 29.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 100.0 | 139.0 | 167.0 | 201.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 46.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 66.0 | 93.0 | 112.0 | 136.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 49.0 | 68.0 | 85.0 | 100.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 27.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 40.0 | 55.0 | 68.0 | 79.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 20.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 28.0 | 40.0 | 48.0 | 58.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 54.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 49.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 32.0 |
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