Prediction 2673
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=PR (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 74.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 149.0 | 270.0 | 386.0 | 543.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 78.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 37.0 | 161.0 | 298.0 | 432.0 | 612.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 84.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 40.0 | 177.0 | 334.0 | 486.0 | 687.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 90.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 44.0 | 189.0 | 362.0 | 530.0 | 747.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 95.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 46.0 | 196.0 | 378.0 | 556.0 | 782.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 95.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 46.0 | 199.0 | 390.0 | 578.0 | 814.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 102.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 48.0 | 215.0 | 426.0 | 636.0 | 890.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 118.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 56.0 | 251.0 | 499.0 | 750.0 | 1041.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 139.0 | 16.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 66.0 | 302.0 | 597.0 | 897.0 | 1245.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 168.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 40.0 | 79.0 | 367.0 | 722.0 | 1077.0 | 1512.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 200.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 94.0 | 442.0 | 864.0 | 1281.0 | 1817.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 238.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 56.0 | 111.0 | 527.0 | 1031.0 | 1527.0 | 2165.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 287.0 | 32.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 133.0 | 633.0 | 1244.0 | 1847.0 | 2602.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 352.0 | 38.0 | 55.0 | 83.0 | 162.0 | 770.0 | 1528.0 | 2276.0 | 3175.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 439.0 | 47.0 | 68.0 | 103.0 | 201.0 | 951.0 | 1907.0 | 2846.0 | 3954.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 551.0 | 58.0 | 84.0 | 128.0 | 252.0 | 1184.0 | 2389.0 | 3567.0 | 4982.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 692.0 | 72.0 | 104.0 | 160.0 | 317.0 | 1478.0 | 2986.0 | 4455.0 | 6277.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 872.0 | 91.0 | 131.0 | 200.0 | 402.0 | 1859.0 | 3747.0 | 5579.0 | 7942.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 1111.0 | 117.0 | 167.0 | 254.0 | 515.0 | 2373.0 | 4754.0 | 7060.0 | 10111.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 1433.0 | 152.0 | 217.0 | 327.0 | 668.0 | 3066.0 | 6099.0 | 9049.0 | 12952.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 1836.0 | 198.0 | 281.0 | 420.0 | 860.0 | 3939.0 | 7792.0 | 11558.0 | 16479.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 2300.0 | 250.0 | 354.0 | 526.0 | 1078.0 | 4943.0 | 9756.0 | 14465.0 | 20509.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 2798.0 | 304.0 | 431.0 | 641.0 | 1308.0 | 6013.0 | 11858.0 | 17607.0 | 24817.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 3303.0 | 358.0 | 509.0 | 757.0 | 1537.0 | 7099.0 | 14007.0 | 20827.0 | 29209.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 3791.0 | 407.0 | 583.0 | 870.0 | 1755.0 | 8141.0 | 16083.0 | 23949.0 | 33460.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 4211.0 | 448.0 | 647.0 | 968.0 | 1941.0 | 9033.0 | 17869.0 | 26654.0 | 37139.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 4472.0 | 471.0 | 686.0 | 1029.0 | 2054.0 | 9594.0 | 18976.0 | 28337.0 | 39521.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 4486.0 | 468.0 | 686.0 | 1032.0 | 2056.0 | 9629.0 | 19018.0 | 28390.0 | 39764.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 4244.0 | 440.0 | 648.0 | 977.0 | 1941.0 | 9116.0 | 17953.0 | 26758.0 | 37764.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 3747.0 | 387.0 | 571.0 | 862.0 | 1714.0 | 8068.0 | 15830.0 | 23557.0 | 33491.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 3081.0 | 319.0 | 469.0 | 708.0 | 1412.0 | 6654.0 | 12982.0 | 19316.0 | 27609.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 2355.0 | 245.0 | 358.0 | 540.0 | 1084.0 | 5105.0 | 9889.0 | 14711.0 | 21129.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1661.0 | 175.0 | 253.0 | 379.0 | 769.0 | 3612.0 | 6946.0 | 10347.0 | 14898.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1070.0 | 115.0 | 163.0 | 243.0 | 499.0 | 2336.0 | 4453.0 | 6664.0 | 9598.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 627.0 | 68.0 | 94.0 | 140.0 | 294.0 | 1371.0 | 2598.0 | 3920.0 | 5621.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 341.0 | 37.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 160.0 | 742.0 | 1409.0 | 2158.0 | 3058.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 188.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 86.0 | 403.0 | 787.0 | 1226.0 | 1702.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 129.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 56.0 | 270.0 | 554.0 | 868.0 | 1185.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 118.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 50.0 | 246.0 | 519.0 | 799.0 | 1099.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 118.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 25.0 | 51.0 | 250.0 | 523.0 | 788.0 | 1108.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 108.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 48.0 | 233.0 | 479.0 | 711.0 | 1026.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 85.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 38.0 | 188.0 | 379.0 | 558.0 | 824.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 57.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 26.0 | 130.0 | 260.0 | 383.0 | 576.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 35.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 83.0 | 167.0 | 253.0 | 377.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 23.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 56.0 | 120.0 | 192.0 | 274.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 19.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 47.0 | 109.0 | 180.0 | 257.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 51.0 | 121.0 | 199.0 | 293.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 28.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 65.0 | 154.0 | 246.0 | 374.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 33.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 79.0 | 185.0 | 295.0 | 447.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 39.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 94.0 | 215.0 | 342.0 | 512.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 44.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 18.0 | 106.0 | 239.0 | 381.0 | 567.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 46.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 112.0 | 252.0 | 403.0 | 596.0 |
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