Prediction 2674
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RJ (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 44.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 68.0 | 103.0 | 128.0 | 155.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 48.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 75.0 | 112.0 | 143.0 | 173.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 38.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 61.0 | 95.0 | 120.0 | 147.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 49.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | 114.0 | 146.0 | 177.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 42.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 67.0 | 105.0 | 136.0 | 168.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 45.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 29.0 | 71.0 | 109.0 | 137.0 | 170.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 52.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 84.0 | 129.0 | 171.0 | 209.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 46.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 75.0 | 118.0 | 149.0 | 193.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 60.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 97.0 | 146.0 | 195.0 | 239.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 68.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 113.0 | 180.0 | 234.0 | 306.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 67.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 108.0 | 166.0 | 219.0 | 274.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 112.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 68.0 | 184.0 | 291.0 | 388.0 | 500.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 95.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 58.0 | 155.0 | 248.0 | 323.0 | 420.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 168.0 | 34.0 | 49.0 | 65.0 | 102.0 | 276.0 | 436.0 | 583.0 | 740.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 170.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 64.0 | 102.0 | 282.0 | 457.0 | 597.0 | 781.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 217.0 | 45.0 | 62.0 | 83.0 | 131.0 | 355.0 | 566.0 | 756.0 | 953.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 287.0 | 60.0 | 82.0 | 108.0 | 172.0 | 478.0 | 772.0 | 1016.0 | 1318.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 278.0 | 65.0 | 79.0 | 105.0 | 167.0 | 460.0 | 741.0 | 982.0 | 1244.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 415.0 | 88.0 | 118.0 | 155.0 | 249.0 | 693.0 | 1112.0 | 1474.0 | 1895.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 368.0 | 88.0 | 104.0 | 137.0 | 219.0 | 614.0 | 991.0 | 1309.0 | 1674.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 500.0 | 110.0 | 142.0 | 186.0 | 299.0 | 839.0 | 1342.0 | 1788.0 | 2287.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 499.0 | 117.0 | 141.0 | 185.0 | 297.0 | 841.0 | 1350.0 | 1783.0 | 2302.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 536.0 | 125.0 | 151.0 | 198.0 | 318.0 | 904.0 | 1444.0 | 1928.0 | 2461.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 619.0 | 137.0 | 174.0 | 228.0 | 369.0 | 1049.0 | 1672.0 | 2220.0 | 2880.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 551.0 | 130.0 | 155.0 | 203.0 | 327.0 | 936.0 | 1494.0 | 1998.0 | 2557.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 686.0 | 148.0 | 193.0 | 253.0 | 409.0 | 1171.0 | 1865.0 | 2490.0 | 3242.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 584.0 | 133.0 | 163.0 | 215.0 | 346.0 | 995.0 | 1592.0 | 2128.0 | 2745.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 668.0 | 141.0 | 187.0 | 245.0 | 396.0 | 1146.0 | 1836.0 | 2464.0 | 3207.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 622.0 | 133.0 | 173.0 | 229.0 | 368.0 | 1064.0 | 1710.0 | 2287.0 | 2975.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 606.0 | 131.0 | 168.0 | 222.0 | 357.0 | 1045.0 | 1696.0 | 2283.0 | 2961.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 638.0 | 133.0 | 177.0 | 235.0 | 378.0 | 1100.0 | 1788.0 | 2395.0 | 3138.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 542.0 | 119.0 | 149.0 | 198.0 | 318.0 | 935.0 | 1541.0 | 2081.0 | 2689.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 599.0 | 124.0 | 164.0 | 218.0 | 352.0 | 1039.0 | 1715.0 | 2310.0 | 3033.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 490.0 | 107.0 | 133.0 | 178.0 | 286.0 | 847.0 | 1412.0 | 1914.0 | 2475.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 510.0 | 107.0 | 138.0 | 183.0 | 297.0 | 892.0 | 1495.0 | 2032.0 | 2667.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 433.0 | 91.0 | 116.0 | 156.0 | 252.0 | 754.0 | 1266.0 | 1727.0 | 2252.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 399.0 | 83.0 | 106.0 | 141.0 | 229.0 | 701.0 | 1191.0 | 1635.0 | 2139.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 366.0 | 73.0 | 97.0 | 130.0 | 212.0 | 646.0 | 1093.0 | 1500.0 | 1985.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 292.0 | 58.0 | 75.0 | 102.0 | 165.0 | 517.0 | 885.0 | 1228.0 | 1607.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 286.0 | 52.0 | 74.0 | 99.0 | 163.0 | 512.0 | 874.0 | 1209.0 | 1621.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 209.0 | 38.0 | 52.0 | 71.0 | 117.0 | 374.0 | 643.0 | 900.0 | 1188.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 210.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 70.0 | 117.0 | 382.0 | 659.0 | 918.0 | 1237.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 158.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 53.0 | 88.0 | 289.0 | 500.0 | 702.0 | 941.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 151.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 48.0 | 82.0 | 277.0 | 484.0 | 678.0 | 910.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 130.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 71.0 | 240.0 | 421.0 | 589.0 | 799.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 110.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 34.0 | 58.0 | 205.0 | 364.0 | 510.0 | 680.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 113.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 61.0 | 210.0 | 373.0 | 519.0 | 703.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 86.0 | 16.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 45.0 | 162.0 | 291.0 | 407.0 | 540.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 99.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 53.0 | 186.0 | 332.0 | 459.0 | 617.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 79.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 148.0 | 265.0 | 369.0 | 491.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 84.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 44.0 | 158.0 | 284.0 | 392.0 | 521.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 77.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 145.0 | 258.0 | 359.0 | 480.0 |
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