Prediction 2675
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RN (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 400.0 | 120.0 | 147.0 | 183.0 | 265.0 | 602.0 | 871.0 | 1075.0 | 1308.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 341.0 | 101.0 | 123.0 | 153.0 | 224.0 | 519.0 | 755.0 | 939.0 | 1150.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 288.0 | 90.0 | 107.0 | 131.0 | 189.0 | 441.0 | 645.0 | 807.0 | 993.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 259.0 | 80.0 | 95.0 | 116.0 | 168.0 | 398.0 | 587.0 | 734.0 | 904.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 242.0 | 68.0 | 84.0 | 105.0 | 155.0 | 375.0 | 555.0 | 694.0 | 853.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 222.0 | 63.0 | 77.0 | 96.0 | 143.0 | 344.0 | 507.0 | 636.0 | 779.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 194.0 | 58.0 | 70.0 | 86.0 | 127.0 | 300.0 | 441.0 | 555.0 | 678.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 172.0 | 51.0 | 61.0 | 75.0 | 111.0 | 267.0 | 395.0 | 498.0 | 609.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 165.0 | 46.0 | 56.0 | 71.0 | 105.0 | 256.0 | 384.0 | 482.0 | 592.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 160.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 69.0 | 103.0 | 248.0 | 373.0 | 467.0 | 574.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 148.0 | 43.0 | 52.0 | 65.0 | 95.0 | 228.0 | 341.0 | 431.0 | 529.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 142.0 | 41.0 | 50.0 | 62.0 | 91.0 | 221.0 | 330.0 | 419.0 | 517.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 154.0 | 44.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 | 98.0 | 238.0 | 359.0 | 453.0 | 564.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 169.0 | 48.0 | 59.0 | 74.0 | 109.0 | 261.0 | 394.0 | 496.0 | 620.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 180.0 | 51.0 | 63.0 | 79.0 | 116.0 | 277.0 | 416.0 | 529.0 | 657.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 200.0 | 56.0 | 69.0 | 86.0 | 128.0 | 311.0 | 461.0 | 591.0 | 729.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 235.0 | 63.0 | 79.0 | 99.0 | 150.0 | 367.0 | 544.0 | 693.0 | 856.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 265.0 | 71.0 | 89.0 | 112.0 | 170.0 | 415.0 | 620.0 | 781.0 | 968.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 286.0 | 79.0 | 97.0 | 123.0 | 184.0 | 447.0 | 667.0 | 843.0 | 1043.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 322.0 | 90.0 | 110.0 | 139.0 | 207.0 | 503.0 | 745.0 | 953.0 | 1174.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 386.0 | 105.0 | 130.0 | 165.0 | 248.0 | 607.0 | 896.0 | 1147.0 | 1414.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 448.0 | 118.0 | 147.0 | 190.0 | 287.0 | 704.0 | 1046.0 | 1329.0 | 1645.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 484.0 | 130.0 | 160.0 | 208.0 | 311.0 | 758.0 | 1134.0 | 1436.0 | 1782.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 529.0 | 147.0 | 179.0 | 230.0 | 341.0 | 827.0 | 1237.0 | 1576.0 | 1954.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 624.0 | 169.0 | 209.0 | 269.0 | 400.0 | 976.0 | 1457.0 | 1871.0 | 2316.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 749.0 | 192.0 | 242.0 | 314.0 | 475.0 | 1176.0 | 1762.0 | 2260.0 | 2798.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 845.0 | 213.0 | 269.0 | 351.0 | 533.0 | 1328.0 | 2000.0 | 2555.0 | 3163.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 909.0 | 237.0 | 294.0 | 380.0 | 575.0 | 1427.0 | 2154.0 | 2753.0 | 3406.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 997.0 | 261.0 | 325.0 | 416.0 | 630.0 | 1566.0 | 2361.0 | 3035.0 | 3750.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1135.0 | 288.0 | 364.0 | 466.0 | 712.0 | 1788.0 | 2691.0 | 3472.0 | 4293.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1250.0 | 310.0 | 395.0 | 509.0 | 782.0 | 1972.0 | 2970.0 | 3827.0 | 4740.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1266.0 | 318.0 | 402.0 | 517.0 | 793.0 | 1997.0 | 3013.0 | 3872.0 | 4806.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1221.0 | 312.0 | 392.0 | 502.0 | 767.0 | 1925.0 | 2903.0 | 3732.0 | 4642.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1209.0 | 309.0 | 390.0 | 499.0 | 760.0 | 1909.0 | 2868.0 | 3697.0 | 4611.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1234.0 | 309.0 | 394.0 | 507.0 | 775.0 | 1952.0 | 2925.0 | 3775.0 | 4718.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1201.0 | 296.0 | 381.0 | 493.0 | 755.0 | 1899.0 | 2849.0 | 3670.0 | 4592.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1088.0 | 277.0 | 350.0 | 453.0 | 687.0 | 1715.0 | 2576.0 | 3312.0 | 4141.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 970.0 | 256.0 | 318.0 | 409.0 | 616.0 | 1527.0 | 2292.0 | 2948.0 | 3678.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 922.0 | 240.0 | 301.0 | 387.0 | 583.0 | 1455.0 | 2184.0 | 2814.0 | 3509.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 906.0 | 228.0 | 289.0 | 375.0 | 569.0 | 1434.0 | 2160.0 | 2785.0 | 3469.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 841.0 | 211.0 | 268.0 | 348.0 | 527.0 | 1332.0 | 2015.0 | 2601.0 | 3225.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 736.0 | 194.0 | 240.0 | 309.0 | 463.0 | 1164.0 | 1768.0 | 2287.0 | 2817.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 656.0 | 174.0 | 215.0 | 275.0 | 412.0 | 1040.0 | 1584.0 | 2054.0 | 2523.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 628.0 | 159.0 | 200.0 | 258.0 | 391.0 | 1002.0 | 1530.0 | 1985.0 | 2444.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 596.0 | 146.0 | 187.0 | 243.0 | 370.0 | 956.0 | 1461.0 | 1894.0 | 2337.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 513.0 | 128.0 | 162.0 | 210.0 | 319.0 | 824.0 | 1263.0 | 1637.0 | 2020.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 408.0 | 107.0 | 132.0 | 170.0 | 256.0 | 657.0 | 1009.0 | 1308.0 | 1613.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 341.0 | 90.0 | 110.0 | 142.0 | 214.0 | 550.0 | 847.0 | 1094.0 | 1356.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 309.0 | 76.0 | 95.0 | 125.0 | 193.0 | 503.0 | 773.0 | 996.0 | 1245.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 265.0 | 62.0 | 80.0 | 107.0 | 165.0 | 433.0 | 665.0 | 857.0 | 1075.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 198.0 | 51.0 | 63.0 | 82.0 | 125.0 | 321.0 | 492.0 | 636.0 | 798.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 142.0 | 40.0 | 47.0 | 61.0 | 91.0 | 229.0 | 355.0 | 461.0 | 577.0 |
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