Prediction 2676
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RO (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 51.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 32.0 | 83.0 | 128.0 | 172.0 | 218.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 55.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 90.0 | 139.0 | 184.0 | 232.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 58.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 35.0 | 94.0 | 149.0 | 189.0 | 241.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 61.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 37.0 | 100.0 | 160.0 | 203.0 | 262.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 68.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 112.0 | 178.0 | 231.0 | 297.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 73.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 44.0 | 123.0 | 194.0 | 260.0 | 329.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 77.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 46.0 | 129.0 | 205.0 | 279.0 | 352.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 82.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 48.0 | 136.0 | 217.0 | 293.0 | 375.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 89.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 53.0 | 150.0 | 241.0 | 320.0 | 414.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 105.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 38.0 | 61.0 | 177.0 | 286.0 | 375.0 | 482.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 120.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 70.0 | 205.0 | 332.0 | 443.0 | 561.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 134.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 48.0 | 79.0 | 230.0 | 373.0 | 503.0 | 639.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 149.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 | 53.0 | 88.0 | 253.0 | 411.0 | 550.0 | 713.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 160.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 58.0 | 95.0 | 273.0 | 447.0 | 587.0 | 769.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 180.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 65.0 | 106.0 | 307.0 | 503.0 | 653.0 | 851.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 199.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 72.0 | 117.0 | 344.0 | 561.0 | 740.0 | 951.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 217.0 | 46.0 | 59.0 | 78.0 | 128.0 | 374.0 | 607.0 | 815.0 | 1047.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 224.0 | 48.0 | 61.0 | 81.0 | 132.0 | 386.0 | 624.0 | 841.0 | 1092.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 227.0 | 49.0 | 62.0 | 82.0 | 134.0 | 389.0 | 630.0 | 839.0 | 1096.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 237.0 | 51.0 | 65.0 | 85.0 | 139.0 | 404.0 | 655.0 | 865.0 | 1126.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 251.0 | 54.0 | 69.0 | 91.0 | 147.0 | 431.0 | 698.0 | 931.0 | 1202.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 265.0 | 57.0 | 73.0 | 96.0 | 155.0 | 456.0 | 737.0 | 993.0 | 1277.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 263.0 | 57.0 | 72.0 | 96.0 | 155.0 | 454.0 | 735.0 | 989.0 | 1272.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 255.0 | 55.0 | 70.0 | 93.0 | 150.0 | 438.0 | 711.0 | 942.0 | 1217.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 246.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 | 89.0 | 144.0 | 420.0 | 686.0 | 901.0 | 1172.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 239.0 | 51.0 | 65.0 | 87.0 | 140.0 | 411.0 | 670.0 | 893.0 | 1162.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 232.0 | 49.0 | 63.0 | 84.0 | 136.0 | 400.0 | 649.0 | 883.0 | 1144.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 212.0 | 44.0 | 57.0 | 77.0 | 124.0 | 367.0 | 594.0 | 812.0 | 1046.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 185.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 67.0 | 108.0 | 318.0 | 516.0 | 697.0 | 901.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 160.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 58.0 | 93.0 | 273.0 | 446.0 | 599.0 | 784.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 142.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 51.0 | 83.0 | 244.0 | 397.0 | 545.0 | 719.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 130.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 76.0 | 223.0 | 362.0 | 508.0 | 664.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 113.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 66.0 | 196.0 | 320.0 | 448.0 | 574.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 96.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 55.0 | 166.0 | 274.0 | 371.0 | 475.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 81.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 47.0 | 140.0 | 233.0 | 310.0 | 404.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 71.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 123.0 | 205.0 | 276.0 | 365.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 64.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 111.0 | 184.0 | 253.0 | 331.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 53.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 31.0 | 95.0 | 157.0 | 216.0 | 276.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 44.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 78.0 | 130.0 | 174.0 | 222.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 36.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 64.0 | 107.0 | 143.0 | 188.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 57.0 | 94.0 | 128.0 | 171.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 52.0 | 85.0 | 118.0 | 155.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 25.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 45.0 | 75.0 | 103.0 | 132.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 40.0 | 67.0 | 90.0 | 118.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 36.0 | 61.0 | 82.0 | 110.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 19.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 34.0 | 58.0 | 79.0 | 106.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 18.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 33.0 | 56.0 | 77.0 | 101.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 32.0 | 54.0 | 73.0 | 96.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 53.0 | 72.0 | 96.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 72.0 | 98.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 | 98.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 31.0 | 52.0 | 73.0 | 96.0 |
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