Prediction 2679
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=SE (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 157.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 56.0 | 91.0 | 275.0 | 439.0 | 581.0 | 740.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 158.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 57.0 | 92.0 | 274.0 | 437.0 | 576.0 | 736.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 134.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 47.0 | 77.0 | 241.0 | 394.0 | 526.0 | 678.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 111.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | 64.0 | 205.0 | 343.0 | 462.0 | 601.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 107.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 62.0 | 191.0 | 312.0 | 416.0 | 543.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 106.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 61.0 | 173.0 | 278.0 | 367.0 | 480.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 78.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 44.0 | 132.0 | 215.0 | 287.0 | 378.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 62.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 100.0 | 165.0 | 223.0 | 295.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 57.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 33.0 | 87.0 | 144.0 | 194.0 | 255.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 51.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 84.0 | 136.0 | 182.0 | 238.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 54.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 31.0 | 87.0 | 139.0 | 183.0 | 237.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 48.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 28.0 | 84.0 | 137.0 | 183.0 | 238.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 39.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 77.0 | 131.0 | 179.0 | 233.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 43.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 24.0 | 80.0 | 135.0 | 183.0 | 238.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 42.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 80.0 | 133.0 | 179.0 | 232.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 37.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 70.0 | 115.0 | 156.0 | 203.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 | 56.0 | 93.0 | 128.0 | 167.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 43.0 | 72.0 | 100.0 | 132.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 38.0 | 61.0 | 82.0 | 109.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 28.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 80.0 | 104.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 49.0 | 74.0 | 96.0 | 124.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 36.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 60.0 | 97.0 | 129.0 | 167.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 42.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 77.0 | 130.0 | 177.0 | 229.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 53.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 98.0 | 167.0 | 230.0 | 297.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 61.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 33.0 | 114.0 | 193.0 | 266.0 | 344.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 64.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 35.0 | 120.0 | 202.0 | 277.0 | 357.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 65.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 36.0 | 120.0 | 200.0 | 275.0 | 354.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 65.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 115.0 | 190.0 | 260.0 | 336.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 63.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 36.0 | 108.0 | 178.0 | 241.0 | 314.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 65.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 110.0 | 177.0 | 238.0 | 311.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 71.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 117.0 | 188.0 | 250.0 | 327.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 72.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 41.0 | 123.0 | 201.0 | 270.0 | 353.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 73.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 42.0 | 132.0 | 221.0 | 300.0 | 390.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 79.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 45.0 | 145.0 | 247.0 | 337.0 | 437.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 85.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 47.0 | 158.0 | 268.0 | 368.0 | 476.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 89.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 49.0 | 163.0 | 275.0 | 378.0 | 487.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 84.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 47.0 | 154.0 | 261.0 | 358.0 | 462.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 77.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 43.0 | 140.0 | 237.0 | 324.0 | 419.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 74.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 42.0 | 131.0 | 219.0 | 297.0 | 386.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 76.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 43.0 | 130.0 | 213.0 | 285.0 | 374.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 76.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 42.0 | 127.0 | 209.0 | 282.0 | 372.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 71.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 40.0 | 124.0 | 211.0 | 288.0 | 383.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 73.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 130.0 | 225.0 | 309.0 | 413.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 75.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 138.0 | 242.0 | 333.0 | 444.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 77.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 41.0 | 145.0 | 254.0 | 350.0 | 466.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 77.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 146.0 | 257.0 | 354.0 | 471.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 70.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 38.0 | 137.0 | 243.0 | 336.0 | 450.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 65.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 35.0 | 126.0 | 223.0 | 309.0 | 413.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 62.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 115.0 | 199.0 | 273.0 | 365.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 54.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 98.0 | 166.0 | 227.0 | 302.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 46.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 132.0 | 180.0 | 240.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 39.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 22.0 | 64.0 | 106.0 | 145.0 | 195.0 |
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