Prediction 2680
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=SP (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 221.0 | 48.0 | 62.0 | 83.0 | 132.0 | 374.0 | 599.0 | 803.0 | 1011.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 224.0 | 47.0 | 61.0 | 81.0 | 130.0 | 387.0 | 632.0 | 852.0 | 1099.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 244.0 | 49.0 | 64.0 | 86.0 | 140.0 | 431.0 | 715.0 | 977.0 | 1274.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 281.0 | 56.0 | 71.0 | 96.0 | 160.0 | 500.0 | 837.0 | 1160.0 | 1499.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 327.0 | 65.0 | 83.0 | 112.0 | 187.0 | 580.0 | 978.0 | 1357.0 | 1748.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 385.0 | 74.0 | 95.0 | 128.0 | 216.0 | 686.0 | 1163.0 | 1612.0 | 2083.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 474.0 | 88.0 | 114.0 | 154.0 | 262.0 | 853.0 | 1445.0 | 2009.0 | 2616.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 568.0 | 101.0 | 131.0 | 179.0 | 310.0 | 1033.0 | 1753.0 | 2449.0 | 3210.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 656.0 | 115.0 | 149.0 | 205.0 | 355.0 | 1195.0 | 2040.0 | 2831.0 | 3771.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 736.0 | 129.0 | 167.0 | 231.0 | 396.0 | 1338.0 | 2292.0 | 3140.0 | 4257.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 836.0 | 144.0 | 187.0 | 262.0 | 450.0 | 1521.0 | 2604.0 | 3555.0 | 4833.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 963.0 | 163.0 | 213.0 | 300.0 | 519.0 | 1768.0 | 3022.0 | 4150.0 | 5593.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1108.0 | 186.0 | 246.0 | 345.0 | 597.0 | 2047.0 | 3505.0 | 4840.0 | 6445.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1261.0 | 213.0 | 284.0 | 396.0 | 678.0 | 2334.0 | 4016.0 | 5547.0 | 7320.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 1477.0 | 250.0 | 336.0 | 465.0 | 792.0 | 2731.0 | 4718.0 | 6539.0 | 8540.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 1798.0 | 302.0 | 409.0 | 562.0 | 964.0 | 3331.0 | 5767.0 | 8077.0 | 10459.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 2249.0 | 376.0 | 510.0 | 698.0 | 1207.0 | 4170.0 | 7244.0 | 10224.0 | 13241.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 2809.0 | 471.0 | 637.0 | 870.0 | 1508.0 | 5204.0 | 9078.0 | 12808.0 | 16723.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 3485.0 | 586.0 | 789.0 | 1078.0 | 1870.0 | 6447.0 | 11261.0 | 15854.0 | 20933.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 4309.0 | 722.0 | 969.0 | 1328.0 | 2314.0 | 7972.0 | 13907.0 | 19545.0 | 26047.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 5272.0 | 880.0 | 1173.0 | 1619.0 | 2835.0 | 9765.0 | 16987.0 | 23836.0 | 31969.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 6256.0 | 1042.0 | 1383.0 | 1919.0 | 3366.0 | 11587.0 | 20113.0 | 28154.0 | 37904.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 7162.0 | 1191.0 | 1574.0 | 2195.0 | 3849.0 | 13249.0 | 22968.0 | 31989.0 | 43151.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 8004.0 | 1326.0 | 1753.0 | 2449.0 | 4294.0 | 14782.0 | 25552.0 | 35481.0 | 47754.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 8792.0 | 1452.0 | 1919.0 | 2686.0 | 4708.0 | 16220.0 | 27915.0 | 38788.0 | 51808.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 9373.0 | 1546.0 | 2042.0 | 2864.0 | 5010.0 | 17287.0 | 29618.0 | 41228.0 | 54710.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 9524.0 | 1569.0 | 2076.0 | 2912.0 | 5080.0 | 17551.0 | 29994.0 | 41798.0 | 55294.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 9350.0 | 1541.0 | 2043.0 | 2862.0 | 4978.0 | 17182.0 | 29326.0 | 40864.0 | 54075.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 8916.0 | 1469.0 | 1950.0 | 2730.0 | 4746.0 | 16334.0 | 27848.0 | 38888.0 | 51468.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 8237.0 | 1357.0 | 1801.0 | 2521.0 | 4397.0 | 15068.0 | 25686.0 | 35964.0 | 47653.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 7339.0 | 1210.0 | 1608.0 | 2245.0 | 3931.0 | 13418.0 | 22914.0 | 32109.0 | 42804.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 6248.0 | 1032.0 | 1374.0 | 1915.0 | 3359.0 | 11414.0 | 19556.0 | 27376.0 | 36789.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 5126.0 | 850.0 | 1133.0 | 1575.0 | 2768.0 | 9361.0 | 16087.0 | 22501.0 | 30485.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 4089.0 | 677.0 | 905.0 | 1257.0 | 2217.0 | 7476.0 | 12873.0 | 18026.0 | 24501.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 3168.0 | 522.0 | 700.0 | 973.0 | 1725.0 | 5808.0 | 10010.0 | 14050.0 | 19123.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 2369.0 | 389.0 | 524.0 | 728.0 | 1292.0 | 4354.0 | 7517.0 | 10541.0 | 14413.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1718.0 | 282.0 | 381.0 | 529.0 | 935.0 | 3163.0 | 5474.0 | 7633.0 | 10496.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 1249.0 | 204.0 | 276.0 | 384.0 | 677.0 | 2310.0 | 3997.0 | 5561.0 | 7624.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 933.0 | 148.0 | 203.0 | 283.0 | 502.0 | 1739.0 | 3000.0 | 4194.0 | 5670.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 710.0 | 111.0 | 152.0 | 213.0 | 379.0 | 1333.0 | 2297.0 | 3220.0 | 4322.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 534.0 | 84.0 | 114.0 | 161.0 | 283.0 | 1004.0 | 1744.0 | 2426.0 | 3291.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 408.0 | 65.0 | 87.0 | 122.0 | 215.0 | 766.0 | 1351.0 | 1861.0 | 2559.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 334.0 | 51.0 | 69.0 | 97.0 | 176.0 | 628.0 | 1119.0 | 1554.0 | 2117.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 290.0 | 44.0 | 58.0 | 83.0 | 154.0 | 549.0 | 984.0 | 1381.0 | 1851.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 243.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 | 70.0 | 130.0 | 465.0 | 841.0 | 1178.0 | 1590.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 192.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 56.0 | 102.0 | 374.0 | 685.0 | 959.0 | 1307.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 162.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 46.0 | 84.0 | 318.0 | 585.0 | 824.0 | 1118.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 150.0 | 21.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 77.0 | 295.0 | 540.0 | 774.0 | 1027.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 143.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 39.0 | 73.0 | 284.0 | 522.0 | 747.0 | 990.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 137.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 37.0 | 69.0 | 273.0 | 509.0 | 718.0 | 980.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 131.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 35.0 | 65.0 | 264.0 | 499.0 | 703.0 | 970.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 136.0 | 18.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 68.0 | 275.0 | 524.0 | 740.0 | 1018.0 |
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