Prediction 2681
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=TO (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 63.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 42.0 | 93.0 | 134.0 | 168.0 | 203.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 62.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 41.0 | 93.0 | 135.0 | 170.0 | 207.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 65.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 43.0 | 99.0 | 144.0 | 182.0 | 221.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 71.0 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 46.0 | 108.0 | 157.0 | 198.0 | 239.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 75.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 115.0 | 166.0 | 210.0 | 254.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 75.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 116.0 | 169.0 | 213.0 | 259.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 74.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 114.0 | 167.0 | 211.0 | 258.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 72.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 112.0 | 164.0 | 208.0 | 255.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 73.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 113.0 | 167.0 | 210.0 | 256.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 75.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 116.0 | 172.0 | 216.0 | 261.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 78.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | 121.0 | 178.0 | 224.0 | 270.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 80.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 124.0 | 184.0 | 231.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 83.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 128.0 | 190.0 | 240.0 | 293.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 87.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 134.0 | 200.0 | 252.0 | 311.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 93.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 144.0 | 215.0 | 271.0 | 335.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 100.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 156.0 | 233.0 | 295.0 | 364.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 107.0 | 29.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 68.0 | 167.0 | 249.0 | 315.0 | 388.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 110.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 70.0 | 173.0 | 257.0 | 326.0 | 401.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 111.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 70.0 | 174.0 | 259.0 | 329.0 | 405.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 109.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 69.0 | 171.0 | 255.0 | 325.0 | 401.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 105.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 44.0 | 67.0 | 165.0 | 247.0 | 315.0 | 391.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 101.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 158.0 | 236.0 | 302.0 | 375.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 97.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 151.0 | 227.0 | 290.0 | 360.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 93.0 | 26.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 145.0 | 217.0 | 277.0 | 343.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 88.0 | 24.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 56.0 | 137.0 | 205.0 | 261.0 | 324.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 82.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 128.0 | 193.0 | 245.0 | 304.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 79.0 | 22.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 123.0 | 185.0 | 235.0 | 291.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 77.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 49.0 | 121.0 | 182.0 | 232.0 | 288.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 78.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 50.0 | 122.0 | 184.0 | 235.0 | 291.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 79.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 124.0 | 187.0 | 240.0 | 298.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 80.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 126.0 | 191.0 | 245.0 | 305.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 80.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 125.0 | 190.0 | 244.0 | 304.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 77.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 120.0 | 182.0 | 234.0 | 294.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 71.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 111.0 | 169.0 | 218.0 | 274.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 65.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 101.0 | 153.0 | 198.0 | 248.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 57.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 90.0 | 136.0 | 176.0 | 219.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 50.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 79.0 | 119.0 | 153.0 | 189.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 44.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 69.0 | 104.0 | 132.0 | 161.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 38.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 60.0 | 90.0 | 114.0 | 139.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 34.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 53.0 | 79.0 | 100.0 | 123.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 30.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 47.0 | 71.0 | 90.0 | 111.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 83.0 | 104.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 79.0 | 99.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 25.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 76.0 | 95.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 74.0 | 91.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 24.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 72.0 | 88.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 37.0 | 55.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 | 82.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 66.0 | 81.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 35.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 | 83.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 23.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 38.0 | 56.0 | 71.0 | 88.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 26.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 41.0 | 61.0 | 78.0 | 96.0 |
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