Prediction 2682
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=AC (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 37.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 64.0 | 103.0 | 137.0 | 177.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 41.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 73.0 | 118.0 | 158.0 | 204.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 45.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 79.0 | 131.0 | 175.0 | 227.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 47.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 84.0 | 139.0 | 188.0 | 242.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 48.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 86.0 | 144.0 | 195.0 | 251.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 48.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 26.0 | 86.0 | 147.0 | 199.0 | 257.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 48.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 88.0 | 151.0 | 204.0 | 265.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 49.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 27.0 | 90.0 | 156.0 | 212.0 | 278.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 53.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 29.0 | 97.0 | 168.0 | 229.0 | 301.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 59.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 32.0 | 108.0 | 186.0 | 255.0 | 338.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 68.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 37.0 | 126.0 | 215.0 | 296.0 | 394.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 81.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 44.0 | 149.0 | 254.0 | 350.0 | 468.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 95.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 52.0 | 174.0 | 297.0 | 410.0 | 549.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 108.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 34.0 | 59.0 | 198.0 | 339.0 | 468.0 | 626.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 119.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 65.0 | 216.0 | 372.0 | 515.0 | 683.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 127.0 | 21.0 | 28.0 | 39.0 | 69.0 | 230.0 | 396.0 | 549.0 | 722.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 133.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 72.0 | 240.0 | 415.0 | 577.0 | 753.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 137.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 42.0 | 75.0 | 249.0 | 432.0 | 599.0 | 780.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 142.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 44.0 | 77.0 | 258.0 | 446.0 | 619.0 | 805.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 146.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 45.0 | 80.0 | 266.0 | 460.0 | 637.0 | 828.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 150.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 46.0 | 82.0 | 273.0 | 470.0 | 651.0 | 846.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 153.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 83.0 | 279.0 | 478.0 | 661.0 | 861.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 155.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 | 84.0 | 285.0 | 487.0 | 673.0 | 878.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 157.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 49.0 | 85.0 | 289.0 | 493.0 | 681.0 | 891.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 159.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 87.0 | 294.0 | 503.0 | 694.0 | 909.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 160.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 88.0 | 296.0 | 509.0 | 701.0 | 918.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 159.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 50.0 | 87.0 | 293.0 | 505.0 | 697.0 | 910.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 155.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 49.0 | 85.0 | 286.0 | 492.0 | 680.0 | 886.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 149.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 47.0 | 81.0 | 273.0 | 469.0 | 651.0 | 845.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 140.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 44.0 | 77.0 | 256.0 | 442.0 | 613.0 | 795.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 129.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 70.0 | 235.0 | 406.0 | 563.0 | 730.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 114.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 63.0 | 208.0 | 362.0 | 501.0 | 650.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 99.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 55.0 | 181.0 | 315.0 | 436.0 | 566.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 85.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 47.0 | 156.0 | 273.0 | 378.0 | 493.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 75.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 42.0 | 138.0 | 241.0 | 335.0 | 438.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 69.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 39.0 | 127.0 | 222.0 | 307.0 | 407.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 67.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 123.0 | 215.0 | 295.0 | 396.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 67.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 123.0 | 213.0 | 292.0 | 395.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 67.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 37.0 | 123.0 | 211.0 | 289.0 | 393.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 65.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 36.0 | 120.0 | 204.0 | 281.0 | 382.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 62.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 34.0 | 113.0 | 192.0 | 265.0 | 359.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 56.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 102.0 | 174.0 | 241.0 | 326.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 48.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 89.0 | 152.0 | 212.0 | 286.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 41.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 76.0 | 131.0 | 182.0 | 244.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 35.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 64.0 | 112.0 | 157.0 | 209.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 55.0 | 97.0 | 136.0 | 181.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 50.0 | 88.0 | 124.0 | 166.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 49.0 | 86.0 | 120.0 | 162.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 28.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | 51.0 | 89.0 | 124.0 | 168.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | 55.0 | 95.0 | 132.0 | 181.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 32.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 59.0 | 101.0 | 141.0 | 194.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 34.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 19.0 | 63.0 | 107.0 | 151.0 | 208.0 |
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