Prediction 2684
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=AM (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 92.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 59.0 | 147.0 | 222.0 | 286.0 | 357.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 87.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 139.0 | 213.0 | 276.0 | 344.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 84.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 135.0 | 209.0 | 270.0 | 337.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 84.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 52.0 | 135.0 | 211.0 | 273.0 | 341.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 86.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 53.0 | 140.0 | 218.0 | 282.0 | 354.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 91.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 56.0 | 148.0 | 231.0 | 298.0 | 375.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 96.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 59.0 | 157.0 | 245.0 | 317.0 | 398.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 101.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 61.0 | 165.0 | 258.0 | 335.0 | 421.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 105.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 64.0 | 173.0 | 271.0 | 352.0 | 442.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 109.0 | 26.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 66.0 | 180.0 | 282.0 | 368.0 | 461.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 112.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 68.0 | 186.0 | 291.0 | 380.0 | 476.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 114.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 189.0 | 296.0 | 388.0 | 486.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 115.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 71.0 | 190.0 | 299.0 | 392.0 | 490.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 116.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 71.0 | 190.0 | 299.0 | 391.0 | 491.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 115.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 189.0 | 296.0 | 387.0 | 488.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 115.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 188.0 | 293.0 | 383.0 | 484.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 115.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 70.0 | 188.0 | 292.0 | 382.0 | 482.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 116.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 70.0 | 190.0 | 294.0 | 385.0 | 483.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 117.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 46.0 | 72.0 | 192.0 | 299.0 | 391.0 | 489.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 120.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 47.0 | 73.0 | 197.0 | 306.0 | 400.0 | 498.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 122.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 75.0 | 200.0 | 312.0 | 408.0 | 507.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 124.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 | 76.0 | 205.0 | 319.0 | 418.0 | 518.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 126.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 50.0 | 77.0 | 208.0 | 325.0 | 424.0 | 528.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 126.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 50.0 | 78.0 | 207.0 | 325.0 | 424.0 | 530.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 124.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 49.0 | 76.0 | 204.0 | 320.0 | 418.0 | 524.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 120.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 48.0 | 74.0 | 196.0 | 309.0 | 404.0 | 508.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 113.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 45.0 | 69.0 | 184.0 | 290.0 | 380.0 | 479.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 103.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 41.0 | 63.0 | 168.0 | 265.0 | 348.0 | 439.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 92.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 57.0 | 150.0 | 237.0 | 311.0 | 392.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 82.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 133.0 | 210.0 | 277.0 | 349.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 73.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 119.0 | 189.0 | 249.0 | 313.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 67.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 110.0 | 175.0 | 230.0 | 289.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 65.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 106.0 | 168.0 | 221.0 | 278.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 66.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 107.0 | 170.0 | 222.0 | 281.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 69.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 42.0 | 113.0 | 178.0 | 232.0 | 294.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 73.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 120.0 | 188.0 | 244.0 | 310.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 77.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 47.0 | 126.0 | 197.0 | 255.0 | 325.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 80.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 49.0 | 131.0 | 205.0 | 266.0 | 337.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 82.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 135.0 | 210.0 | 272.0 | 344.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 83.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 136.0 | 212.0 | 275.0 | 345.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 83.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 137.0 | 213.0 | 276.0 | 344.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 83.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 138.0 | 214.0 | 278.0 | 346.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 84.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 139.0 | 216.0 | 281.0 | 349.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 84.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 139.0 | 217.0 | 283.0 | 353.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 84.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 139.0 | 217.0 | 284.0 | 356.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 83.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 138.0 | 217.0 | 285.0 | 359.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 83.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 137.0 | 217.0 | 285.0 | 361.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 83.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 50.0 | 137.0 | 217.0 | 285.0 | 362.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 83.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 137.0 | 217.0 | 285.0 | 362.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 83.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 138.0 | 218.0 | 286.0 | 362.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 84.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 51.0 | 140.0 | 222.0 | 291.0 | 367.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 87.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 52.0 | 145.0 | 230.0 | 300.0 | 376.0 |
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