Prediction 2686
Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=BA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 207.0 | 77.0 | 91.0 | 109.0 | 148.0 | 291.0 | 392.0 | 468.0 | 547.0 |
2023-10-15 | 201.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 | 105.0 | 143.0 | 285.0 | 385.0 | 460.0 | 539.0 |
2023-10-22 | 190.0 | 68.0 | 81.0 | 98.0 | 135.0 | 271.0 | 368.0 | 441.0 | 518.0 |
2023-10-29 | 177.0 | 63.0 | 75.0 | 91.0 | 125.0 | 254.0 | 344.0 | 414.0 | 488.0 |
2023-11-05 | 167.0 | 59.0 | 70.0 | 85.0 | 118.0 | 238.0 | 323.0 | 389.0 | 459.0 |
2023-11-12 | 160.0 | 56.0 | 67.0 | 81.0 | 112.0 | 227.0 | 310.0 | 373.0 | 441.0 |
2023-11-19 | 159.0 | 55.0 | 65.0 | 79.0 | 111.0 | 225.0 | 309.0 | 373.0 | 440.0 |
2023-11-26 | 166.0 | 57.0 | 68.0 | 82.0 | 116.0 | 237.0 | 327.0 | 397.0 | 466.0 |
2023-12-03 | 184.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 91.0 | 128.0 | 264.0 | 365.0 | 446.0 | 524.0 |
2023-12-10 | 214.0 | 73.0 | 87.0 | 106.0 | 148.0 | 307.0 | 426.0 | 523.0 | 618.0 |
2023-12-17 | 260.0 | 89.0 | 106.0 | 129.0 | 181.0 | 375.0 | 518.0 | 637.0 | 757.0 |
2023-12-24 | 326.0 | 113.0 | 134.0 | 163.0 | 228.0 | 471.0 | 648.0 | 796.0 | 948.0 |
2023-12-31 | 409.0 | 143.0 | 168.0 | 206.0 | 286.0 | 591.0 | 812.0 | 992.0 | 1185.0 |
2024-01-07 | 507.0 | 176.0 | 208.0 | 256.0 | 354.0 | 731.0 | 1004.0 | 1220.0 | 1459.0 |
2024-01-14 | 619.0 | 214.0 | 253.0 | 312.0 | 431.0 | 891.0 | 1225.0 | 1482.0 | 1776.0 |
2024-01-21 | 743.0 | 255.0 | 302.0 | 372.0 | 515.0 | 1067.0 | 1468.0 | 1773.0 | 2126.0 |
2024-01-28 | 869.0 | 296.0 | 351.0 | 434.0 | 601.0 | 1247.0 | 1717.0 | 2075.0 | 2487.0 |
2024-02-04 | 988.0 | 335.0 | 398.0 | 491.0 | 681.0 | 1416.0 | 1951.0 | 2364.0 | 2828.0 |
2024-02-11 | 1091.0 | 367.0 | 437.0 | 540.0 | 751.0 | 1563.0 | 2156.0 | 2620.0 | 3125.0 |
2024-02-18 | 1175.0 | 394.0 | 470.0 | 580.0 | 809.0 | 1681.0 | 2323.0 | 2830.0 | 3367.0 |
2024-02-25 | 1234.0 | 413.0 | 493.0 | 608.0 | 850.0 | 1763.0 | 2439.0 | 2978.0 | 3533.0 |
2024-03-03 | 1265.0 | 423.0 | 506.0 | 623.0 | 874.0 | 1807.0 | 2501.0 | 3059.0 | 3621.0 |
2024-03-10 | 1276.0 | 428.0 | 511.0 | 628.0 | 885.0 | 1823.0 | 2527.0 | 3091.0 | 3653.0 |
2024-03-17 | 1288.0 | 433.0 | 516.0 | 635.0 | 895.0 | 1842.0 | 2553.0 | 3120.0 | 3682.0 |
2024-03-24 | 1315.0 | 443.0 | 528.0 | 648.0 | 915.0 | 1883.0 | 2611.0 | 3183.0 | 3753.0 |
2024-03-31 | 1362.0 | 459.0 | 547.0 | 672.0 | 947.0 | 1952.0 | 2709.0 | 3295.0 | 3879.0 |
2024-04-07 | 1418.0 | 478.0 | 571.0 | 700.0 | 984.0 | 2037.0 | 2829.0 | 3437.0 | 4049.0 |
2024-04-14 | 1469.0 | 495.0 | 591.0 | 725.0 | 1015.0 | 2114.0 | 2938.0 | 3571.0 | 4216.0 |
2024-04-21 | 1505.0 | 508.0 | 606.0 | 742.0 | 1036.0 | 2169.0 | 3014.0 | 3672.0 | 4344.0 |
2024-04-28 | 1521.0 | 514.0 | 613.0 | 750.0 | 1043.0 | 2194.0 | 3046.0 | 3718.0 | 4404.0 |
2024-05-05 | 1510.0 | 512.0 | 611.0 | 745.0 | 1034.0 | 2179.0 | 3022.0 | 3689.0 | 4369.0 |
2024-05-12 | 1466.0 | 499.0 | 595.0 | 725.0 | 1004.0 | 2116.0 | 2932.0 | 3572.0 | 4225.0 |
2024-05-19 | 1398.0 | 477.0 | 568.0 | 692.0 | 957.0 | 2018.0 | 2794.0 | 3392.0 | 4005.0 |
2024-05-26 | 1317.0 | 449.0 | 535.0 | 652.0 | 901.0 | 1900.0 | 2631.0 | 3183.0 | 3755.0 |
2024-06-02 | 1228.0 | 418.0 | 498.0 | 606.0 | 840.0 | 1774.0 | 2459.0 | 2972.0 | 3508.0 |
2024-06-09 | 1148.0 | 388.0 | 461.0 | 562.0 | 784.0 | 1661.0 | 2306.0 | 2794.0 | 3304.0 |
2024-06-16 | 1080.0 | 361.0 | 429.0 | 525.0 | 737.0 | 1569.0 | 2187.0 | 2661.0 | 3158.0 |
2024-06-23 | 1026.0 | 337.0 | 402.0 | 494.0 | 698.0 | 1496.0 | 2096.0 | 2564.0 | 3055.0 |
2024-06-30 | 972.0 | 315.0 | 376.0 | 464.0 | 659.0 | 1422.0 | 2005.0 | 2465.0 | 2947.0 |
2024-07-07 | 898.0 | 287.0 | 344.0 | 426.0 | 607.0 | 1318.0 | 1867.0 | 2309.0 | 2772.0 |
2024-07-14 | 801.0 | 254.0 | 304.0 | 379.0 | 540.0 | 1180.0 | 1677.0 | 2085.0 | 2516.0 |
2024-07-21 | 688.0 | 217.0 | 260.0 | 324.0 | 462.0 | 1016.0 | 1447.0 | 1806.0 | 2189.0 |
2024-07-28 | 568.0 | 178.0 | 214.0 | 267.0 | 381.0 | 841.0 | 1200.0 | 1500.0 | 1821.0 |
2024-08-04 | 453.0 | 142.0 | 171.0 | 213.0 | 304.0 | 672.0 | 962.0 | 1200.0 | 1457.0 |
2024-08-11 | 352.0 | 111.0 | 134.0 | 166.0 | 236.0 | 525.0 | 752.0 | 935.0 | 1133.0 |
2024-08-18 | 273.0 | 86.0 | 104.0 | 129.0 | 183.0 | 408.0 | 586.0 | 726.0 | 880.0 |
2024-08-25 | 214.0 | 68.0 | 81.0 | 101.0 | 144.0 | 322.0 | 463.0 | 573.0 | 696.0 |
2024-09-01 | 176.0 | 56.0 | 67.0 | 83.0 | 119.0 | 268.0 | 385.0 | 479.0 | 584.0 |
2024-09-08 | 159.0 | 50.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 | 106.0 | 242.0 | 348.0 | 436.0 | 532.0 |
2024-09-15 | 154.0 | 47.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 103.0 | 236.0 | 340.0 | 426.0 | 520.0 |
2024-09-22 | 157.0 | 48.0 | 57.0 | 71.0 | 104.0 | 239.0 | 345.0 | 430.0 | 523.0 |
2024-09-29 | 160.0 | 48.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 | 106.0 | 244.0 | 351.0 | 435.0 | 529.0 |