Prediction 2686

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model LNCC-AR_p-2025-1
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Bahia

Description:

Validation test 2 for UF=BA (Model1 AR_p)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 207.0 77.0 91.0 109.0 148.0 291.0 392.0 468.0 547.0
2023-10-15 201.0 73.0 87.0 105.0 143.0 285.0 385.0 460.0 539.0
2023-10-22 190.0 68.0 81.0 98.0 135.0 271.0 368.0 441.0 518.0
2023-10-29 177.0 63.0 75.0 91.0 125.0 254.0 344.0 414.0 488.0
2023-11-05 167.0 59.0 70.0 85.0 118.0 238.0 323.0 389.0 459.0
2023-11-12 160.0 56.0 67.0 81.0 112.0 227.0 310.0 373.0 441.0
2023-11-19 159.0 55.0 65.0 79.0 111.0 225.0 309.0 373.0 440.0
2023-11-26 166.0 57.0 68.0 82.0 116.0 237.0 327.0 397.0 466.0
2023-12-03 184.0 62.0 75.0 91.0 128.0 264.0 365.0 446.0 524.0
2023-12-10 214.0 73.0 87.0 106.0 148.0 307.0 426.0 523.0 618.0
2023-12-17 260.0 89.0 106.0 129.0 181.0 375.0 518.0 637.0 757.0
2023-12-24 326.0 113.0 134.0 163.0 228.0 471.0 648.0 796.0 948.0
2023-12-31 409.0 143.0 168.0 206.0 286.0 591.0 812.0 992.0 1185.0
2024-01-07 507.0 176.0 208.0 256.0 354.0 731.0 1004.0 1220.0 1459.0
2024-01-14 619.0 214.0 253.0 312.0 431.0 891.0 1225.0 1482.0 1776.0
2024-01-21 743.0 255.0 302.0 372.0 515.0 1067.0 1468.0 1773.0 2126.0
2024-01-28 869.0 296.0 351.0 434.0 601.0 1247.0 1717.0 2075.0 2487.0
2024-02-04 988.0 335.0 398.0 491.0 681.0 1416.0 1951.0 2364.0 2828.0
2024-02-11 1091.0 367.0 437.0 540.0 751.0 1563.0 2156.0 2620.0 3125.0
2024-02-18 1175.0 394.0 470.0 580.0 809.0 1681.0 2323.0 2830.0 3367.0
2024-02-25 1234.0 413.0 493.0 608.0 850.0 1763.0 2439.0 2978.0 3533.0
2024-03-03 1265.0 423.0 506.0 623.0 874.0 1807.0 2501.0 3059.0 3621.0
2024-03-10 1276.0 428.0 511.0 628.0 885.0 1823.0 2527.0 3091.0 3653.0
2024-03-17 1288.0 433.0 516.0 635.0 895.0 1842.0 2553.0 3120.0 3682.0
2024-03-24 1315.0 443.0 528.0 648.0 915.0 1883.0 2611.0 3183.0 3753.0
2024-03-31 1362.0 459.0 547.0 672.0 947.0 1952.0 2709.0 3295.0 3879.0
2024-04-07 1418.0 478.0 571.0 700.0 984.0 2037.0 2829.0 3437.0 4049.0
2024-04-14 1469.0 495.0 591.0 725.0 1015.0 2114.0 2938.0 3571.0 4216.0
2024-04-21 1505.0 508.0 606.0 742.0 1036.0 2169.0 3014.0 3672.0 4344.0
2024-04-28 1521.0 514.0 613.0 750.0 1043.0 2194.0 3046.0 3718.0 4404.0
2024-05-05 1510.0 512.0 611.0 745.0 1034.0 2179.0 3022.0 3689.0 4369.0
2024-05-12 1466.0 499.0 595.0 725.0 1004.0 2116.0 2932.0 3572.0 4225.0
2024-05-19 1398.0 477.0 568.0 692.0 957.0 2018.0 2794.0 3392.0 4005.0
2024-05-26 1317.0 449.0 535.0 652.0 901.0 1900.0 2631.0 3183.0 3755.0
2024-06-02 1228.0 418.0 498.0 606.0 840.0 1774.0 2459.0 2972.0 3508.0
2024-06-09 1148.0 388.0 461.0 562.0 784.0 1661.0 2306.0 2794.0 3304.0
2024-06-16 1080.0 361.0 429.0 525.0 737.0 1569.0 2187.0 2661.0 3158.0
2024-06-23 1026.0 337.0 402.0 494.0 698.0 1496.0 2096.0 2564.0 3055.0
2024-06-30 972.0 315.0 376.0 464.0 659.0 1422.0 2005.0 2465.0 2947.0
2024-07-07 898.0 287.0 344.0 426.0 607.0 1318.0 1867.0 2309.0 2772.0
2024-07-14 801.0 254.0 304.0 379.0 540.0 1180.0 1677.0 2085.0 2516.0
2024-07-21 688.0 217.0 260.0 324.0 462.0 1016.0 1447.0 1806.0 2189.0
2024-07-28 568.0 178.0 214.0 267.0 381.0 841.0 1200.0 1500.0 1821.0
2024-08-04 453.0 142.0 171.0 213.0 304.0 672.0 962.0 1200.0 1457.0
2024-08-11 352.0 111.0 134.0 166.0 236.0 525.0 752.0 935.0 1133.0
2024-08-18 273.0 86.0 104.0 129.0 183.0 408.0 586.0 726.0 880.0
2024-08-25 214.0 68.0 81.0 101.0 144.0 322.0 463.0 573.0 696.0
2024-09-01 176.0 56.0 67.0 83.0 119.0 268.0 385.0 479.0 584.0
2024-09-08 159.0 50.0 59.0 73.0 106.0 242.0 348.0 436.0 532.0
2024-09-15 154.0 47.0 57.0 70.0 103.0 236.0 340.0 426.0 520.0
2024-09-22 157.0 48.0 57.0 71.0 104.0 239.0 345.0 430.0 523.0
2024-09-29 160.0 48.0 59.0 73.0 106.0 244.0 351.0 435.0 529.0
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