Prediction 2687
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=CE (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 85.0 | 27.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 58.0 | 128.0 | 181.0 | 225.0 | 273.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 80.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 54.0 | 121.0 | 174.0 | 217.0 | 264.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 79.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 120.0 | 173.0 | 217.0 | 265.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 80.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 52.0 | 122.0 | 176.0 | 223.0 | 272.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 81.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 124.0 | 181.0 | 229.0 | 280.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 82.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 126.0 | 183.0 | 232.0 | 283.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 81.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 125.0 | 184.0 | 233.0 | 284.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 81.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 124.0 | 183.0 | 232.0 | 283.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 80.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 123.0 | 183.0 | 232.0 | 283.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 81.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 35.0 | 52.0 | 124.0 | 186.0 | 236.0 | 287.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 85.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 130.0 | 197.0 | 250.0 | 303.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 93.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 142.0 | 216.0 | 275.0 | 334.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 103.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 43.0 | 65.0 | 159.0 | 242.0 | 309.0 | 376.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 115.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 179.0 | 272.0 | 348.0 | 425.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 130.0 | 35.0 | 42.0 | 54.0 | 81.0 | 204.0 | 307.0 | 396.0 | 484.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 147.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 | 61.0 | 93.0 | 232.0 | 350.0 | 451.0 | 555.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 167.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 70.0 | 105.0 | 265.0 | 398.0 | 513.0 | 634.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 190.0 | 51.0 | 62.0 | 80.0 | 120.0 | 301.0 | 454.0 | 584.0 | 722.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 217.0 | 58.0 | 71.0 | 91.0 | 137.0 | 344.0 | 517.0 | 666.0 | 823.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 247.0 | 66.0 | 81.0 | 103.0 | 156.0 | 390.0 | 587.0 | 757.0 | 938.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 279.0 | 74.0 | 92.0 | 117.0 | 177.0 | 441.0 | 665.0 | 857.0 | 1066.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 310.0 | 82.0 | 102.0 | 130.0 | 197.0 | 489.0 | 738.0 | 951.0 | 1187.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 340.0 | 90.0 | 112.0 | 143.0 | 216.0 | 536.0 | 810.0 | 1042.0 | 1300.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 369.0 | 97.0 | 122.0 | 156.0 | 234.0 | 583.0 | 881.0 | 1131.0 | 1411.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 400.0 | 106.0 | 133.0 | 169.0 | 254.0 | 631.0 | 957.0 | 1224.0 | 1528.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 432.0 | 116.0 | 144.0 | 184.0 | 275.0 | 684.0 | 1039.0 | 1324.0 | 1655.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 468.0 | 126.0 | 157.0 | 199.0 | 298.0 | 742.0 | 1131.0 | 1436.0 | 1792.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 509.0 | 138.0 | 171.0 | 217.0 | 324.0 | 808.0 | 1231.0 | 1559.0 | 1941.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 554.0 | 152.0 | 186.0 | 236.0 | 352.0 | 881.0 | 1342.0 | 1694.0 | 2107.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 604.0 | 167.0 | 203.0 | 258.0 | 384.0 | 960.0 | 1459.0 | 1837.0 | 2282.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 646.0 | 178.0 | 218.0 | 275.0 | 410.0 | 1025.0 | 1555.0 | 1957.0 | 2422.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 678.0 | 187.0 | 228.0 | 288.0 | 429.0 | 1074.0 | 1627.0 | 2051.0 | 2527.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 701.0 | 193.0 | 236.0 | 296.0 | 443.0 | 1109.0 | 1677.0 | 2118.0 | 2610.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 713.0 | 196.0 | 239.0 | 300.0 | 450.0 | 1126.0 | 1700.0 | 2156.0 | 2661.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 710.0 | 195.0 | 238.0 | 298.0 | 449.0 | 1121.0 | 1693.0 | 2156.0 | 2670.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 689.0 | 187.0 | 229.0 | 289.0 | 434.0 | 1088.0 | 1642.0 | 2101.0 | 2608.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 651.0 | 176.0 | 215.0 | 272.0 | 410.0 | 1032.0 | 1559.0 | 2001.0 | 2492.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 607.0 | 163.0 | 199.0 | 253.0 | 382.0 | 965.0 | 1461.0 | 1883.0 | 2352.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 558.0 | 149.0 | 181.0 | 232.0 | 351.0 | 891.0 | 1357.0 | 1751.0 | 2194.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 513.0 | 135.0 | 165.0 | 212.0 | 322.0 | 821.0 | 1256.0 | 1622.0 | 2034.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 473.0 | 123.0 | 151.0 | 195.0 | 296.0 | 761.0 | 1169.0 | 1511.0 | 1891.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 441.0 | 113.0 | 140.0 | 181.0 | 275.0 | 709.0 | 1095.0 | 1416.0 | 1769.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 412.0 | 105.0 | 130.0 | 168.0 | 256.0 | 663.0 | 1026.0 | 1329.0 | 1662.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 383.0 | 97.0 | 121.0 | 156.0 | 238.0 | 616.0 | 955.0 | 1240.0 | 1549.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 353.0 | 88.0 | 111.0 | 143.0 | 219.0 | 567.0 | 880.0 | 1147.0 | 1431.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 322.0 | 80.0 | 101.0 | 129.0 | 199.0 | 519.0 | 806.0 | 1054.0 | 1315.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 292.0 | 73.0 | 91.0 | 117.0 | 181.0 | 472.0 | 732.0 | 960.0 | 1203.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 263.0 | 65.0 | 82.0 | 105.0 | 163.0 | 426.0 | 662.0 | 869.0 | 1093.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 235.0 | 58.0 | 73.0 | 94.0 | 145.0 | 382.0 | 595.0 | 780.0 | 984.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 208.0 | 51.0 | 64.0 | 82.0 | 128.0 | 340.0 | 530.0 | 696.0 | 878.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 186.0 | 45.0 | 56.0 | 73.0 | 114.0 | 306.0 | 477.0 | 626.0 | 793.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 171.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 66.0 | 103.0 | 280.0 | 438.0 | 574.0 | 731.0 |
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