Prediction 2689
Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | EspĂrito Santo |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=ES (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 21951.0 | 3946.0 | 5259.0 | 7167.0 | 12261.0 | 40157.0 | 66392.0 | 89181.0 | 120370.0 |
2023-10-15 | 21945.0 | 3832.0 | 5109.0 | 7014.0 | 12091.0 | 40319.0 | 67728.0 | 91444.0 | 121632.0 |
2023-10-22 | 23787.0 | 3958.0 | 5291.0 | 7315.0 | 12816.0 | 44211.0 | 76763.0 | 106450.0 | 139429.0 |
2023-10-29 | 27707.0 | 4331.0 | 5826.0 | 8155.0 | 14559.0 | 52408.0 | 94186.0 | 134530.0 | 176033.0 |
2023-11-05 | 33396.0 | 4910.0 | 6662.0 | 9479.0 | 17196.0 | 64258.0 | 118196.0 | 171646.0 | 227128.0 |
2023-11-12 | 40849.0 | 5651.0 | 7768.0 | 11249.0 | 20736.0 | 79899.0 | 149045.0 | 218044.0 | 292497.0 |
2023-11-19 | 50405.0 | 6698.0 | 9303.0 | 13622.0 | 25409.0 | 99970.0 | 186378.0 | 272307.0 | 370384.0 |
2023-11-26 | 60977.0 | 7864.0 | 11031.0 | 16211.0 | 30616.0 | 122523.0 | 227666.0 | 332884.0 | 457786.0 |
2023-12-03 | 69257.0 | 8716.0 | 12322.0 | 18105.0 | 34641.0 | 141018.0 | 262393.0 | 386038.0 | 535551.0 |
2023-12-10 | 72998.0 | 9019.0 | 12802.0 | 18818.0 | 36341.0 | 150486.0 | 280939.0 | 415785.0 | 582646.0 |
2023-12-17 | 71119.0 | 8689.0 | 12314.0 | 18138.0 | 35188.0 | 148150.0 | 277219.0 | 410630.0 | 581698.0 |
2023-12-24 | 66238.0 | 8054.0 | 11345.0 | 16735.0 | 32516.0 | 138922.0 | 260098.0 | 382952.0 | 546389.0 |
2023-12-31 | 63851.0 | 7735.0 | 10827.0 | 15912.0 | 31011.0 | 134276.0 | 252047.0 | 368175.0 | 522499.0 |
2024-01-07 | 68073.0 | 8140.0 | 11394.0 | 16610.0 | 32668.0 | 143444.0 | 273171.0 | 400241.0 | 557845.0 |
2024-01-14 | 79500.0 | 9309.0 | 13109.0 | 19024.0 | 37785.0 | 167946.0 | 326693.0 | 483570.0 | 665047.0 |
2024-01-21 | 94865.0 | 10840.0 | 15402.0 | 22450.0 | 44763.0 | 200697.0 | 396235.0 | 588809.0 | 810417.0 |
2024-01-28 | 111513.0 | 12460.0 | 17873.0 | 26323.0 | 52381.0 | 235643.0 | 466185.0 | 688043.0 | 957058.0 |
2024-02-04 | 127989.0 | 14067.0 | 20312.0 | 30260.0 | 60005.0 | 269773.0 | 531035.0 | 775383.0 | 1091586.0 |
2024-02-11 | 142376.0 | 15430.0 | 22413.0 | 33606.0 | 66698.0 | 299803.0 | 589445.0 | 858102.0 | 1216073.0 |
2024-02-18 | 152534.0 | 16367.0 | 23852.0 | 35816.0 | 71457.0 | 321741.0 | 636912.0 | 933704.0 | 1324277.0 |
2024-02-25 | 155117.0 | 16562.0 | 24125.0 | 36193.0 | 72631.0 | 328298.0 | 655600.0 | 970295.0 | 1376017.0 |
2024-03-03 | 148411.0 | 15809.0 | 22965.0 | 34432.0 | 69345.0 | 315269.0 | 631255.0 | 937645.0 | 1332739.0 |
2024-03-10 | 136799.0 | 14552.0 | 21027.0 | 31539.0 | 63645.0 | 291296.0 | 578806.0 | 856434.0 | 1220980.0 |
2024-03-17 | 128100.0 | 13588.0 | 19493.0 | 29220.0 | 59228.0 | 273279.0 | 536873.0 | 793562.0 | 1126410.0 |
2024-03-24 | 128599.0 | 13576.0 | 19335.0 | 28905.0 | 59083.0 | 275294.0 | 538878.0 | 807036.0 | 1129155.0 |
2024-03-31 | 138910.0 | 14585.0 | 20682.0 | 30848.0 | 63500.0 | 298472.0 | 586331.0 | 895050.0 | 1234857.0 |
2024-04-07 | 151426.0 | 15773.0 | 22357.0 | 33404.0 | 68941.0 | 326110.0 | 641923.0 | 990646.0 | 1360593.0 |
2024-04-14 | 161721.0 | 16704.0 | 23698.0 | 35641.0 | 73333.0 | 348438.0 | 682351.0 | 1051348.0 | 1452581.0 |
2024-04-21 | 167593.0 | 17124.0 | 24364.0 | 36949.0 | 75687.0 | 360901.0 | 703173.0 | 1076856.0 | 1502878.0 |
2024-04-28 | 168897.0 | 17045.0 | 24346.0 | 37102.0 | 76030.0 | 363971.0 | 713414.0 | 1092358.0 | 1534586.0 |
2024-05-05 | 166060.0 | 16578.0 | 23764.0 | 36252.0 | 74677.0 | 359012.0 | 715411.0 | 1102888.0 | 1549414.0 |
2024-05-12 | 158147.0 | 15695.0 | 22522.0 | 34318.0 | 71157.0 | 343783.0 | 696181.0 | 1078008.0 | 1511080.0 |
2024-05-19 | 142861.0 | 14117.0 | 20242.0 | 30849.0 | 64296.0 | 312898.0 | 638541.0 | 984342.0 | 1380302.0 |
2024-05-26 | 124277.0 | 12212.0 | 17474.0 | 26712.0 | 55821.0 | 274711.0 | 559629.0 | 851651.0 | 1200830.0 |
2024-06-02 | 108400.0 | 10533.0 | 15074.0 | 23132.0 | 48449.0 | 242364.0 | 492688.0 | 741671.0 | 1052748.0 |
2024-06-09 | 99876.0 | 9584.0 | 13753.0 | 21119.0 | 44386.0 | 225821.0 | 461545.0 | 695339.0 | 987148.0 |
2024-06-16 | 97658.0 | 9278.0 | 13379.0 | 20492.0 | 43184.0 | 222206.0 | 458498.0 | 695893.0 | 982392.0 |
2024-06-23 | 97877.0 | 9223.0 | 13392.0 | 20451.0 | 43073.0 | 222815.0 | 461380.0 | 702542.0 | 988176.0 |
2024-06-30 | 97430.0 | 9102.0 | 13300.0 | 20338.0 | 42615.0 | 221139.0 | 456719.0 | 694713.0 | 979944.0 |
2024-07-07 | 95452.0 | 8787.0 | 12926.0 | 19872.0 | 41417.0 | 215809.0 | 446301.0 | 681262.0 | 967178.0 |
2024-07-14 | 92160.0 | 8302.0 | 12314.0 | 19035.0 | 39673.0 | 207768.0 | 434404.0 | 671912.0 | 957473.0 |
2024-07-21 | 87702.0 | 7741.0 | 11552.0 | 17931.0 | 37590.0 | 197381.0 | 418637.0 | 657702.0 | 937022.0 |
2024-07-28 | 81372.0 | 7091.0 | 10586.0 | 16502.0 | 34880.0 | 182974.0 | 390925.0 | 620313.0 | 884658.0 |
2024-08-04 | 73177.0 | 6331.0 | 9406.0 | 14783.0 | 31451.0 | 164713.0 | 350385.0 | 558229.0 | 803217.0 |
2024-08-11 | 64146.0 | 5502.0 | 8130.0 | 12935.0 | 27666.0 | 145107.0 | 305483.0 | 488926.0 | 716854.0 |
2024-08-18 | 55815.0 | 4702.0 | 6933.0 | 11184.0 | 24127.0 | 127488.0 | 267248.0 | 432004.0 | 648180.0 |
2024-08-25 | 49512.0 | 4099.0 | 6047.0 | 9848.0 | 21467.0 | 114248.0 | 239488.0 | 389930.0 | 596708.0 |
2024-09-01 | 45397.0 | 3719.0 | 5505.0 | 8976.0 | 19762.0 | 105344.0 | 221046.0 | 359196.0 | 554433.0 |
2024-09-08 | 42708.0 | 3494.0 | 5188.0 | 8419.0 | 18654.0 | 99092.0 | 208104.0 | 335200.0 | 516015.0 |
2024-09-15 | 40542.0 | 3313.0 | 4929.0 | 7974.0 | 17704.0 | 93822.0 | 198347.0 | 318072.0 | 484099.0 |
2024-09-22 | 38447.0 | 3104.0 | 4633.0 | 7496.0 | 16687.0 | 88881.0 | 191414.0 | 308362.0 | 461713.0 |
2024-09-29 | 35791.0 | 2819.0 | 4236.0 | 6864.0 | 15376.0 | 82840.0 | 183147.0 | 297262.0 | 436398.0 |