Prediction 2690
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=GO (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 263.0 | 107.0 | 125.0 | 146.0 | 193.0 | 361.0 | 481.0 | 569.0 | 658.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 259.0 | 103.0 | 120.0 | 142.0 | 189.0 | 357.0 | 479.0 | 568.0 | 661.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 254.0 | 98.0 | 116.0 | 138.0 | 184.0 | 351.0 | 473.0 | 565.0 | 662.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 257.0 | 98.0 | 115.0 | 139.0 | 186.0 | 358.0 | 482.0 | 579.0 | 683.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 271.0 | 103.0 | 121.0 | 146.0 | 196.0 | 380.0 | 511.0 | 614.0 | 727.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 293.0 | 111.0 | 131.0 | 157.0 | 210.0 | 413.0 | 555.0 | 667.0 | 784.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 318.0 | 120.0 | 142.0 | 168.0 | 226.0 | 449.0 | 604.0 | 727.0 | 843.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 347.0 | 132.0 | 155.0 | 183.0 | 246.0 | 487.0 | 660.0 | 792.0 | 911.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 382.0 | 145.0 | 170.0 | 201.0 | 271.0 | 535.0 | 725.0 | 867.0 | 1001.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 427.0 | 162.0 | 188.0 | 225.0 | 304.0 | 599.0 | 810.0 | 964.0 | 1127.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 496.0 | 186.0 | 217.0 | 260.0 | 354.0 | 696.0 | 936.0 | 1112.0 | 1315.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 600.0 | 223.0 | 261.0 | 314.0 | 428.0 | 843.0 | 1128.0 | 1345.0 | 1592.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 737.0 | 274.0 | 321.0 | 384.0 | 523.0 | 1033.0 | 1382.0 | 1658.0 | 1941.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 889.0 | 329.0 | 387.0 | 461.0 | 627.0 | 1243.0 | 1668.0 | 2008.0 | 2323.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1048.0 | 386.0 | 457.0 | 542.0 | 735.0 | 1462.0 | 1968.0 | 2373.0 | 2731.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1206.0 | 446.0 | 527.0 | 626.0 | 849.0 | 1682.0 | 2269.0 | 2737.0 | 3162.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 1351.0 | 501.0 | 590.0 | 706.0 | 957.0 | 1887.0 | 2544.0 | 3070.0 | 3579.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 1458.0 | 543.0 | 636.0 | 765.0 | 1038.0 | 2039.0 | 2748.0 | 3321.0 | 3900.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 1535.0 | 573.0 | 670.0 | 807.0 | 1094.0 | 2152.0 | 2903.0 | 3516.0 | 4130.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1613.0 | 603.0 | 706.0 | 847.0 | 1147.0 | 2265.0 | 3066.0 | 3719.0 | 4343.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1714.0 | 644.0 | 753.0 | 900.0 | 1218.0 | 2409.0 | 3274.0 | 3971.0 | 4608.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1820.0 | 686.0 | 801.0 | 956.0 | 1295.0 | 2559.0 | 3490.0 | 4221.0 | 4888.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1904.0 | 719.0 | 839.0 | 1002.0 | 1359.0 | 2684.0 | 3664.0 | 4414.0 | 5123.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1940.0 | 733.0 | 854.0 | 1022.0 | 1389.0 | 2741.0 | 3741.0 | 4496.0 | 5234.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1921.0 | 724.0 | 843.0 | 1010.0 | 1378.0 | 2718.0 | 3704.0 | 4450.0 | 5187.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1884.0 | 709.0 | 825.0 | 989.0 | 1353.0 | 2667.0 | 3631.0 | 4365.0 | 5085.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1861.0 | 698.0 | 812.0 | 974.0 | 1334.0 | 2632.0 | 3583.0 | 4306.0 | 5006.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1850.0 | 691.0 | 806.0 | 967.0 | 1323.0 | 2615.0 | 3560.0 | 4268.0 | 4953.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1839.0 | 686.0 | 802.0 | 961.0 | 1315.0 | 2600.0 | 3539.0 | 4231.0 | 4913.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1793.0 | 670.0 | 784.0 | 938.0 | 1285.0 | 2535.0 | 3448.0 | 4121.0 | 4789.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1689.0 | 633.0 | 740.0 | 885.0 | 1213.0 | 2388.0 | 3244.0 | 3884.0 | 4513.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1538.0 | 576.0 | 673.0 | 806.0 | 1104.0 | 2171.0 | 2948.0 | 3540.0 | 4107.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1378.0 | 515.0 | 602.0 | 722.0 | 988.0 | 1942.0 | 2635.0 | 3175.0 | 3682.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1256.0 | 467.0 | 547.0 | 658.0 | 900.0 | 1766.0 | 2393.0 | 2888.0 | 3361.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1172.0 | 435.0 | 509.0 | 613.0 | 839.0 | 1645.0 | 2227.0 | 2681.0 | 3139.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1095.0 | 406.0 | 476.0 | 572.0 | 783.0 | 1539.0 | 2083.0 | 2499.0 | 2932.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1002.0 | 371.0 | 436.0 | 521.0 | 713.0 | 1411.0 | 1912.0 | 2289.0 | 2676.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 889.0 | 329.0 | 386.0 | 460.0 | 629.0 | 1254.0 | 1703.0 | 2040.0 | 2370.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 772.0 | 284.0 | 334.0 | 398.0 | 544.0 | 1090.0 | 1483.0 | 1780.0 | 2062.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 670.0 | 244.0 | 287.0 | 344.0 | 472.0 | 949.0 | 1291.0 | 1550.0 | 1806.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 597.0 | 215.0 | 253.0 | 306.0 | 420.0 | 849.0 | 1154.0 | 1381.0 | 1628.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 559.0 | 200.0 | 234.0 | 285.0 | 393.0 | 798.0 | 1085.0 | 1292.0 | 1535.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 538.0 | 192.0 | 225.0 | 273.0 | 377.0 | 772.0 | 1054.0 | 1254.0 | 1485.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 519.0 | 184.0 | 217.0 | 261.0 | 361.0 | 746.0 | 1024.0 | 1222.0 | 1433.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 491.0 | 173.0 | 204.0 | 245.0 | 339.0 | 707.0 | 978.0 | 1173.0 | 1360.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 458.0 | 159.0 | 188.0 | 226.0 | 314.0 | 660.0 | 918.0 | 1109.0 | 1280.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 430.0 | 147.0 | 175.0 | 212.0 | 295.0 | 619.0 | 862.0 | 1047.0 | 1217.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 411.0 | 140.0 | 165.0 | 202.0 | 284.0 | 592.0 | 822.0 | 999.0 | 1180.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 402.0 | 138.0 | 162.0 | 199.0 | 280.0 | 581.0 | 805.0 | 977.0 | 1166.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 404.0 | 139.0 | 163.0 | 200.0 | 281.0 | 584.0 | 809.0 | 981.0 | 1171.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 411.0 | 141.0 | 167.0 | 203.0 | 284.0 | 593.0 | 826.0 | 1003.0 | 1189.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 417.0 | 143.0 | 170.0 | 205.0 | 286.0 | 602.0 | 842.0 | 1024.0 | 1206.0 |
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