Prediction 2691
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=MA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 44.0 | 63.0 | 79.0 | 97.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 26.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 41.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 | 88.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 54.0 | 67.0 | 79.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 22.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 65.0 | 76.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 23.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 36.0 | 55.0 | 70.0 | 83.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 42.0 | 62.0 | 79.0 | 96.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 44.0 | 64.0 | 82.0 | 105.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 29.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 43.0 | 62.0 | 80.0 | 106.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 82.0 | 103.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 45.0 | 69.0 | 87.0 | 101.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 28.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 47.0 | 72.0 | 91.0 | 109.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 35.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 55.0 | 84.0 | 107.0 | 134.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 48.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 30.0 | 76.0 | 115.0 | 148.0 | 182.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 63.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 40.0 | 101.0 | 153.0 | 196.0 | 240.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 76.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 32.0 | 48.0 | 119.0 | 176.0 | 227.0 | 288.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 85.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 36.0 | 53.0 | 131.0 | 195.0 | 252.0 | 324.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 93.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 149.0 | 225.0 | 291.0 | 357.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 102.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 42.0 | 64.0 | 168.0 | 258.0 | 331.0 | 391.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 111.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 70.0 | 180.0 | 276.0 | 355.0 | 426.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 123.0 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 194.0 | 295.0 | 382.0 | 471.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 138.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 | 87.0 | 218.0 | 331.0 | 429.0 | 528.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 148.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 | 62.0 | 93.0 | 237.0 | 359.0 | 465.0 | 569.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 148.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 | 61.0 | 93.0 | 233.0 | 352.0 | 457.0 | 572.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 140.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 58.0 | 88.0 | 220.0 | 332.0 | 430.0 | 544.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 132.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 54.0 | 83.0 | 212.0 | 324.0 | 417.0 | 512.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 125.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 | 79.0 | 205.0 | 317.0 | 405.0 | 487.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 119.0 | 32.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | 75.0 | 190.0 | 291.0 | 375.0 | 461.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 115.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 178.0 | 269.0 | 347.0 | 444.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 111.0 | 29.0 | 36.0 | 46.0 | 69.0 | 174.0 | 262.0 | 336.0 | 428.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 102.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 43.0 | 64.0 | 163.0 | 247.0 | 316.0 | 395.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 89.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 56.0 | 140.0 | 210.0 | 270.0 | 341.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 75.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 47.0 | 117.0 | 177.0 | 226.0 | 286.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 65.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 106.0 | 162.0 | 204.0 | 248.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 60.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 99.0 | 152.0 | 192.0 | 228.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 57.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 91.0 | 139.0 | 178.0 | 218.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 57.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 24.0 | 36.0 | 88.0 | 132.0 | 170.0 | 218.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 57.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 36.0 | 90.0 | 135.0 | 173.0 | 220.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 54.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 34.0 | 87.0 | 132.0 | 171.0 | 213.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 49.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 31.0 | 79.0 | 121.0 | 159.0 | 199.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 45.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 28.0 | 73.0 | 113.0 | 148.0 | 187.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 44.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 72.0 | 112.0 | 145.0 | 182.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 43.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 27.0 | 71.0 | 111.0 | 145.0 | 181.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 43.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 69.0 | 108.0 | 142.0 | 181.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 42.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 26.0 | 67.0 | 104.0 | 137.0 | 178.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 40.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 64.0 | 100.0 | 131.0 | 168.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 36.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 22.0 | 59.0 | 92.0 | 120.0 | 153.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 32.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 52.0 | 83.0 | 109.0 | 136.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 29.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 48.0 | 76.0 | 100.0 | 123.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 45.0 | 72.0 | 95.0 | 117.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 44.0 | 70.0 | 92.0 | 116.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 44.0 | 70.0 | 92.0 | 117.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 16.0 | 45.0 | 71.0 | 93.0 | 119.0 |
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