Prediction 2692
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=MG (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 261.0 | 70.0 | 86.0 | 109.0 | 164.0 | 418.0 | 632.0 | 806.0 | 1005.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 260.0 | 68.0 | 83.0 | 107.0 | 162.0 | 422.0 | 648.0 | 832.0 | 1047.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 261.0 | 65.0 | 81.0 | 105.0 | 160.0 | 426.0 | 660.0 | 851.0 | 1078.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 262.0 | 64.0 | 80.0 | 105.0 | 160.0 | 428.0 | 666.0 | 863.0 | 1095.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 265.0 | 65.0 | 81.0 | 107.0 | 163.0 | 431.0 | 673.0 | 872.0 | 1106.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 268.0 | 66.0 | 82.0 | 108.0 | 165.0 | 436.0 | 685.0 | 885.0 | 1121.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 279.0 | 69.0 | 85.0 | 111.0 | 171.0 | 454.0 | 716.0 | 925.0 | 1167.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 304.0 | 74.0 | 92.0 | 120.0 | 186.0 | 495.0 | 782.0 | 1011.0 | 1274.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 347.0 | 83.0 | 104.0 | 135.0 | 211.0 | 565.0 | 894.0 | 1161.0 | 1470.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 409.0 | 95.0 | 120.0 | 158.0 | 247.0 | 668.0 | 1056.0 | 1381.0 | 1764.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 495.0 | 113.0 | 143.0 | 189.0 | 298.0 | 810.0 | 1278.0 | 1687.0 | 2170.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 608.0 | 139.0 | 175.0 | 232.0 | 366.0 | 996.0 | 1573.0 | 2092.0 | 2699.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 749.0 | 173.0 | 217.0 | 287.0 | 451.0 | 1227.0 | 1940.0 | 2594.0 | 3340.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 924.0 | 217.0 | 270.0 | 355.0 | 557.0 | 1515.0 | 2401.0 | 3219.0 | 4123.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 1166.0 | 277.0 | 343.0 | 449.0 | 703.0 | 1914.0 | 3040.0 | 4075.0 | 5184.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1510.0 | 359.0 | 446.0 | 581.0 | 909.0 | 2483.0 | 3947.0 | 5277.0 | 6686.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 1981.0 | 470.0 | 584.0 | 760.0 | 1189.0 | 3268.0 | 5187.0 | 6918.0 | 8752.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2576.0 | 606.0 | 756.0 | 985.0 | 1541.0 | 4263.0 | 6753.0 | 8989.0 | 11397.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 3252.0 | 756.0 | 947.0 | 1239.0 | 1941.0 | 5397.0 | 8530.0 | 11342.0 | 14442.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 3951.0 | 909.0 | 1143.0 | 1502.0 | 2357.0 | 6568.0 | 10366.0 | 13785.0 | 17620.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 4587.0 | 1046.0 | 1321.0 | 1742.0 | 2739.0 | 7633.0 | 12027.0 | 16018.0 | 20513.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 5051.0 | 1143.0 | 1450.0 | 1916.0 | 3020.0 | 8405.0 | 13237.0 | 17642.0 | 22609.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 5298.0 | 1193.0 | 1518.0 | 2009.0 | 3178.0 | 8810.0 | 13894.0 | 18516.0 | 23719.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 5317.0 | 1196.0 | 1524.0 | 2018.0 | 3201.0 | 8832.0 | 13971.0 | 18588.0 | 23742.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 5134.0 | 1157.0 | 1473.0 | 1951.0 | 3100.0 | 8515.0 | 13536.0 | 17953.0 | 22820.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 4809.0 | 1089.0 | 1382.0 | 1828.0 | 2910.0 | 7966.0 | 12735.0 | 16834.0 | 21260.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 4401.0 | 1002.0 | 1266.0 | 1673.0 | 2665.0 | 7286.0 | 11713.0 | 15433.0 | 19378.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 3972.0 | 909.0 | 1143.0 | 1510.0 | 2404.0 | 6583.0 | 10633.0 | 13959.0 | 17469.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 3575.0 | 821.0 | 1029.0 | 1358.0 | 2158.0 | 5938.0 | 9605.0 | 12577.0 | 15722.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 3201.0 | 737.0 | 921.0 | 1216.0 | 1925.0 | 5336.0 | 8615.0 | 11275.0 | 14112.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2828.0 | 650.0 | 813.0 | 1072.0 | 1693.0 | 4733.0 | 7611.0 | 9973.0 | 12513.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2452.0 | 561.0 | 705.0 | 929.0 | 1463.0 | 4119.0 | 6591.0 | 8655.0 | 10891.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 2076.0 | 475.0 | 598.0 | 788.0 | 1236.0 | 3499.0 | 5575.0 | 7339.0 | 9255.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1716.0 | 392.0 | 495.0 | 653.0 | 1022.0 | 2896.0 | 4598.0 | 6063.0 | 7655.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1385.0 | 317.0 | 402.0 | 529.0 | 827.0 | 2338.0 | 3705.0 | 4888.0 | 6173.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1089.0 | 250.0 | 318.0 | 418.0 | 653.0 | 1837.0 | 2909.0 | 3839.0 | 4848.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 832.0 | 191.0 | 243.0 | 319.0 | 500.0 | 1402.0 | 2221.0 | 2930.0 | 3705.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 624.0 | 143.0 | 182.0 | 239.0 | 375.0 | 1051.0 | 1666.0 | 2198.0 | 2787.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 465.0 | 106.0 | 134.0 | 176.0 | 279.0 | 782.0 | 1240.0 | 1639.0 | 2086.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 346.0 | 78.0 | 98.0 | 130.0 | 207.0 | 584.0 | 924.0 | 1227.0 | 1570.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 263.0 | 58.0 | 74.0 | 98.0 | 156.0 | 444.0 | 702.0 | 937.0 | 1206.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 207.0 | 45.0 | 58.0 | 77.0 | 123.0 | 350.0 | 556.0 | 745.0 | 961.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 170.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 63.0 | 101.0 | 289.0 | 462.0 | 619.0 | 796.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 147.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 54.0 | 87.0 | 249.0 | 403.0 | 539.0 | 689.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 132.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 49.0 | 78.0 | 225.0 | 368.0 | 489.0 | 623.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 122.0 | 26.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 72.0 | 208.0 | 343.0 | 454.0 | 578.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 115.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 67.0 | 198.0 | 325.0 | 428.0 | 545.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 110.0 | 23.0 | 30.0 | 40.0 | 64.0 | 189.0 | 307.0 | 404.0 | 514.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 102.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 60.0 | 176.0 | 284.0 | 375.0 | 474.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 93.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 33.0 | 54.0 | 162.0 | 258.0 | 343.0 | 432.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 86.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 31.0 | 50.0 | 151.0 | 239.0 | 319.0 | 402.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 83.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 48.0 | 145.0 | 230.0 | 308.0 | 390.0 |
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