Prediction 2693
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=MS (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 41.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 23.0 | 73.0 | 122.0 | 169.0 | 229.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 42.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 23.0 | 77.0 | 131.0 | 183.0 | 247.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 45.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 83.0 | 143.0 | 200.0 | 268.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 48.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 89.0 | 154.0 | 215.0 | 287.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 49.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 92.0 | 161.0 | 225.0 | 299.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 49.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | 92.0 | 162.0 | 226.0 | 301.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 46.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 25.0 | 88.0 | 157.0 | 220.0 | 293.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 45.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 85.0 | 151.0 | 213.0 | 285.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 45.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 24.0 | 86.0 | 153.0 | 217.0 | 295.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 51.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 96.0 | 171.0 | 241.0 | 334.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 61.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 32.0 | 116.0 | 206.0 | 292.0 | 406.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 75.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 40.0 | 144.0 | 259.0 | 366.0 | 501.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 91.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 48.0 | 177.0 | 320.0 | 451.0 | 604.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 107.0 | 17.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 56.0 | 208.0 | 381.0 | 536.0 | 708.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 124.0 | 19.0 | 26.0 | 36.0 | 65.0 | 242.0 | 442.0 | 623.0 | 821.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 141.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 41.0 | 74.0 | 275.0 | 501.0 | 708.0 | 941.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 155.0 | 24.0 | 33.0 | 46.0 | 81.0 | 302.0 | 549.0 | 777.0 | 1044.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 165.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 | 49.0 | 86.0 | 321.0 | 583.0 | 830.0 | 1121.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 173.0 | 27.0 | 37.0 | 52.0 | 91.0 | 337.0 | 614.0 | 876.0 | 1184.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 184.0 | 29.0 | 39.0 | 55.0 | 97.0 | 360.0 | 656.0 | 937.0 | 1268.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 203.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 61.0 | 107.0 | 395.0 | 719.0 | 1030.0 | 1400.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 228.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 68.0 | 120.0 | 443.0 | 804.0 | 1153.0 | 1577.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 258.0 | 40.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 135.0 | 500.0 | 905.0 | 1296.0 | 1781.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 289.0 | 45.0 | 60.0 | 84.0 | 151.0 | 559.0 | 1011.0 | 1445.0 | 1981.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 316.0 | 48.0 | 65.0 | 92.0 | 164.0 | 609.0 | 1106.0 | 1573.0 | 2141.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 336.0 | 51.0 | 68.0 | 97.0 | 175.0 | 648.0 | 1179.0 | 1670.0 | 2255.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 350.0 | 53.0 | 71.0 | 101.0 | 182.0 | 674.0 | 1230.0 | 1734.0 | 2337.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 358.0 | 54.0 | 72.0 | 103.0 | 186.0 | 686.0 | 1250.0 | 1757.0 | 2381.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 354.0 | 53.0 | 71.0 | 101.0 | 185.0 | 678.0 | 1228.0 | 1726.0 | 2363.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 337.0 | 50.0 | 68.0 | 96.0 | 176.0 | 644.0 | 1158.0 | 1630.0 | 2253.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 305.0 | 46.0 | 62.0 | 87.0 | 159.0 | 582.0 | 1042.0 | 1472.0 | 2043.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 264.0 | 40.0 | 54.0 | 76.0 | 139.0 | 506.0 | 901.0 | 1280.0 | 1777.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 223.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 64.0 | 117.0 | 429.0 | 761.0 | 1089.0 | 1508.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 187.0 | 29.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 99.0 | 361.0 | 639.0 | 921.0 | 1274.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 158.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 45.0 | 82.0 | 304.0 | 537.0 | 781.0 | 1082.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 133.0 | 20.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 69.0 | 257.0 | 457.0 | 668.0 | 922.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 114.0 | 17.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 59.0 | 220.0 | 393.0 | 576.0 | 784.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 97.0 | 15.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 50.0 | 187.0 | 340.0 | 496.0 | 662.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 82.0 | 12.0 | 16.0 | 24.0 | 43.0 | 160.0 | 293.0 | 425.0 | 559.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 71.0 | 10.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 139.0 | 255.0 | 368.0 | 484.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 64.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 33.0 | 124.0 | 226.0 | 325.0 | 437.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 59.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | 113.0 | 203.0 | 292.0 | 404.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 53.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 27.0 | 101.0 | 181.0 | 261.0 | 366.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 46.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 24.0 | 89.0 | 160.0 | 229.0 | 320.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 40.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 21.0 | 78.0 | 142.0 | 203.0 | 278.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 35.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | 69.0 | 129.0 | 184.0 | 246.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 32.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 64.0 | 119.0 | 170.0 | 227.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 30.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 16.0 | 60.0 | 110.0 | 159.0 | 215.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 29.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 15.0 | 56.0 | 102.0 | 148.0 | 204.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 27.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 52.0 | 94.0 | 137.0 | 191.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 48.0 | 88.0 | 128.0 | 178.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 24.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 12.0 | 47.0 | 85.0 | 125.0 | 171.0 |
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