Prediction 2694
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=MT (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 89.0 | 29.0 | 34.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 134.0 | 193.0 | 241.0 | 284.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 95.0 | 30.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 63.0 | 144.0 | 209.0 | 262.0 | 313.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 103.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 68.0 | 156.0 | 230.0 | 288.0 | 348.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 112.0 | 33.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | 73.0 | 170.0 | 253.0 | 316.0 | 386.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 121.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 53.0 | 78.0 | 183.0 | 273.0 | 341.0 | 419.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 125.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 54.0 | 81.0 | 192.0 | 287.0 | 358.0 | 441.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 127.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 55.0 | 82.0 | 196.0 | 293.0 | 366.0 | 451.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 128.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 55.0 | 82.0 | 198.0 | 296.0 | 370.0 | 454.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 130.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 56.0 | 83.0 | 202.0 | 303.0 | 380.0 | 464.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 139.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 | 60.0 | 89.0 | 219.0 | 327.0 | 411.0 | 502.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 161.0 | 45.0 | 55.0 | 69.0 | 103.0 | 253.0 | 379.0 | 479.0 | 585.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 197.0 | 54.0 | 67.0 | 85.0 | 126.0 | 310.0 | 467.0 | 592.0 | 723.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 247.0 | 68.0 | 83.0 | 106.0 | 158.0 | 390.0 | 589.0 | 749.0 | 915.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 306.0 | 83.0 | 102.0 | 130.0 | 195.0 | 480.0 | 729.0 | 925.0 | 1134.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 366.0 | 98.0 | 121.0 | 155.0 | 232.0 | 573.0 | 875.0 | 1107.0 | 1359.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 426.0 | 113.0 | 140.0 | 180.0 | 270.0 | 666.0 | 1020.0 | 1287.0 | 1582.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 485.0 | 129.0 | 159.0 | 204.0 | 307.0 | 759.0 | 1159.0 | 1464.0 | 1793.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 539.0 | 143.0 | 176.0 | 225.0 | 341.0 | 846.0 | 1285.0 | 1629.0 | 1983.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 582.0 | 155.0 | 190.0 | 242.0 | 369.0 | 917.0 | 1389.0 | 1766.0 | 2135.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 617.0 | 165.0 | 202.0 | 257.0 | 391.0 | 975.0 | 1472.0 | 1877.0 | 2259.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 650.0 | 174.0 | 213.0 | 271.0 | 411.0 | 1030.0 | 1551.0 | 1982.0 | 2383.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 678.0 | 183.0 | 223.0 | 284.0 | 429.0 | 1077.0 | 1621.0 | 2073.0 | 2499.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 702.0 | 190.0 | 231.0 | 295.0 | 444.0 | 1117.0 | 1682.0 | 2152.0 | 2606.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 726.0 | 197.0 | 239.0 | 306.0 | 459.0 | 1155.0 | 1739.0 | 2227.0 | 2709.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 742.0 | 201.0 | 245.0 | 314.0 | 470.0 | 1181.0 | 1777.0 | 2276.0 | 2783.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 749.0 | 202.0 | 247.0 | 317.0 | 473.0 | 1189.0 | 1790.0 | 2291.0 | 2817.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 741.0 | 199.0 | 246.0 | 314.0 | 468.0 | 1175.0 | 1769.0 | 2262.0 | 2794.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 721.0 | 193.0 | 240.0 | 306.0 | 454.0 | 1141.0 | 1719.0 | 2196.0 | 2722.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 694.0 | 186.0 | 231.0 | 294.0 | 437.0 | 1098.0 | 1651.0 | 2109.0 | 2621.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 660.0 | 177.0 | 220.0 | 279.0 | 415.0 | 1045.0 | 1565.0 | 2005.0 | 2490.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 614.0 | 164.0 | 204.0 | 259.0 | 387.0 | 972.0 | 1450.0 | 1864.0 | 2312.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 561.0 | 150.0 | 186.0 | 236.0 | 354.0 | 888.0 | 1320.0 | 1703.0 | 2115.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 502.0 | 133.0 | 165.0 | 210.0 | 317.0 | 794.0 | 1177.0 | 1522.0 | 1897.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 444.0 | 117.0 | 145.0 | 185.0 | 280.0 | 700.0 | 1036.0 | 1342.0 | 1680.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 391.0 | 103.0 | 127.0 | 163.0 | 247.0 | 615.0 | 908.0 | 1179.0 | 1482.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 343.0 | 90.0 | 111.0 | 143.0 | 217.0 | 541.0 | 798.0 | 1038.0 | 1306.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 302.0 | 79.0 | 98.0 | 126.0 | 192.0 | 476.0 | 703.0 | 914.0 | 1151.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 265.0 | 70.0 | 86.0 | 111.0 | 169.0 | 418.0 | 621.0 | 805.0 | 1013.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 232.0 | 61.0 | 75.0 | 97.0 | 147.0 | 366.0 | 548.0 | 708.0 | 889.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 204.0 | 54.0 | 67.0 | 86.0 | 129.0 | 321.0 | 486.0 | 626.0 | 783.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 181.0 | 48.0 | 60.0 | 76.0 | 114.0 | 287.0 | 436.0 | 561.0 | 698.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 163.0 | 43.0 | 54.0 | 69.0 | 103.0 | 260.0 | 396.0 | 509.0 | 630.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 148.0 | 40.0 | 49.0 | 63.0 | 93.0 | 237.0 | 360.0 | 464.0 | 569.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 133.0 | 36.0 | 44.0 | 56.0 | 84.0 | 213.0 | 324.0 | 417.0 | 510.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 118.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 74.0 | 189.0 | 288.0 | 369.0 | 453.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 104.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 65.0 | 165.0 | 254.0 | 324.0 | 399.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 91.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 57.0 | 145.0 | 223.0 | 285.0 | 352.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 82.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 51.0 | 129.0 | 199.0 | 255.0 | 315.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 74.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 31.0 | 46.0 | 117.0 | 180.0 | 231.0 | 285.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 68.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 28.0 | 43.0 | 108.0 | 165.0 | 213.0 | 262.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 63.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 101.0 | 155.0 | 201.0 | 248.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 61.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 26.0 | 38.0 | 98.0 | 151.0 | 195.0 | 242.0 |
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