Prediction 2695
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=PA (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 41.0 | 16.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 29.0 | 56.0 | 75.0 | 90.0 | 104.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 45.0 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 32.0 | 63.0 | 85.0 | 102.0 | 117.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 51.0 | 20.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 37.0 | 72.0 | 98.0 | 117.0 | 134.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 58.0 | 23.0 | 26.0 | 31.0 | 42.0 | 82.0 | 112.0 | 133.0 | 154.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 64.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 90.0 | 124.0 | 148.0 | 172.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 68.0 | 26.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 96.0 | 131.0 | 157.0 | 184.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 68.0 | 26.0 | 30.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 96.0 | 130.0 | 157.0 | 184.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 65.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 | 34.0 | 46.0 | 91.0 | 123.0 | 148.0 | 174.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 61.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | 32.0 | 43.0 | 86.0 | 116.0 | 140.0 | 164.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 62.0 | 24.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 44.0 | 87.0 | 119.0 | 142.0 | 166.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 71.0 | 27.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 136.0 | 163.0 | 189.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 87.0 | 32.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 62.0 | 123.0 | 168.0 | 201.0 | 233.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 106.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 | 55.0 | 75.0 | 150.0 | 206.0 | 247.0 | 286.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 122.0 | 45.0 | 53.0 | 63.0 | 87.0 | 173.0 | 238.0 | 286.0 | 333.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 133.0 | 48.0 | 57.0 | 69.0 | 94.0 | 189.0 | 260.0 | 312.0 | 364.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 137.0 | 49.0 | 58.0 | 71.0 | 97.0 | 195.0 | 269.0 | 322.0 | 376.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 138.0 | 50.0 | 59.0 | 71.0 | 98.0 | 198.0 | 273.0 | 327.0 | 381.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 143.0 | 51.0 | 61.0 | 74.0 | 101.0 | 205.0 | 282.0 | 338.0 | 394.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 157.0 | 56.0 | 66.0 | 80.0 | 109.0 | 223.0 | 306.0 | 368.0 | 430.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 181.0 | 64.0 | 76.0 | 92.0 | 125.0 | 257.0 | 350.0 | 422.0 | 496.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 211.0 | 75.0 | 89.0 | 107.0 | 146.0 | 298.0 | 406.0 | 491.0 | 579.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 238.0 | 85.0 | 101.0 | 120.0 | 165.0 | 337.0 | 459.0 | 555.0 | 656.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 256.0 | 92.0 | 109.0 | 130.0 | 178.0 | 363.0 | 495.0 | 598.0 | 708.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 263.0 | 95.0 | 112.0 | 134.0 | 184.0 | 373.0 | 511.0 | 616.0 | 729.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 261.0 | 94.0 | 111.0 | 134.0 | 184.0 | 372.0 | 510.0 | 614.0 | 725.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 256.0 | 92.0 | 109.0 | 131.0 | 181.0 | 364.0 | 501.0 | 603.0 | 711.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 247.0 | 89.0 | 105.0 | 127.0 | 174.0 | 351.0 | 482.0 | 581.0 | 685.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 234.0 | 84.0 | 99.0 | 120.0 | 164.0 | 332.0 | 455.0 | 550.0 | 648.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 216.0 | 77.0 | 91.0 | 110.0 | 151.0 | 307.0 | 419.0 | 508.0 | 599.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 194.0 | 69.0 | 82.0 | 99.0 | 135.0 | 275.0 | 375.0 | 455.0 | 537.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 167.0 | 60.0 | 70.0 | 85.0 | 117.0 | 238.0 | 325.0 | 394.0 | 464.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 141.0 | 50.0 | 59.0 | 72.0 | 99.0 | 201.0 | 276.0 | 335.0 | 393.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 119.0 | 43.0 | 50.0 | 61.0 | 84.0 | 170.0 | 234.0 | 283.0 | 333.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 103.0 | 37.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 72.0 | 147.0 | 203.0 | 245.0 | 288.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 93.0 | 33.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 | 65.0 | 134.0 | 184.0 | 222.0 | 262.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 89.0 | 32.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 62.0 | 128.0 | 177.0 | 213.0 | 252.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 89.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 61.0 | 127.0 | 176.0 | 212.0 | 252.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 89.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 62.0 | 128.0 | 178.0 | 215.0 | 255.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 90.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 44.0 | 62.0 | 129.0 | 179.0 | 217.0 | 258.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 91.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 63.0 | 131.0 | 183.0 | 222.0 | 264.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 93.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 64.0 | 134.0 | 187.0 | 228.0 | 271.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 94.0 | 32.0 | 37.0 | 46.0 | 64.0 | 136.0 | 190.0 | 232.0 | 277.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 93.0 | 31.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 | 63.0 | 135.0 | 188.0 | 230.0 | 275.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 88.0 | 29.0 | 35.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 128.0 | 180.0 | 220.0 | 262.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 80.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 117.0 | 164.0 | 201.0 | 239.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 71.0 | 23.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 48.0 | 104.0 | 146.0 | 179.0 | 213.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 61.0 | 20.0 | 24.0 | 29.0 | 41.0 | 90.0 | 127.0 | 156.0 | 186.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 53.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 36.0 | 78.0 | 111.0 | 136.0 | 162.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 47.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 32.0 | 70.0 | 99.0 | 122.0 | 146.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 44.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 66.0 | 93.0 | 115.0 | 138.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 43.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 65.0 | 92.0 | 113.0 | 136.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 43.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 66.0 | 93.0 | 115.0 | 138.0 |
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Interval Bounds
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