Prediction 2696
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=PB (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 50.0 | 72.0 | 90.0 | 109.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 49.0 | 72.0 | 91.0 | 110.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 32.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 49.0 | 72.0 | 91.0 | 111.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 71.0 | 91.0 | 111.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 71.0 | 90.0 | 111.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 70.0 | 90.0 | 111.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 91.0 | 113.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 33.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 21.0 | 51.0 | 76.0 | 97.0 | 120.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 36.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | 56.0 | 83.0 | 106.0 | 132.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 39.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 62.0 | 92.0 | 118.0 | 146.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 44.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 28.0 | 69.0 | 102.0 | 131.0 | 162.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 49.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 | 21.0 | 31.0 | 76.0 | 113.0 | 145.0 | 179.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 53.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 23.0 | 34.0 | 83.0 | 123.0 | 158.0 | 195.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 57.0 | 16.0 | 19.0 | 24.0 | 37.0 | 89.0 | 133.0 | 170.0 | 209.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 62.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 97.0 | 144.0 | 184.0 | 227.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 69.0 | 19.0 | 23.0 | 29.0 | 44.0 | 108.0 | 161.0 | 204.0 | 252.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 78.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 123.0 | 183.0 | 233.0 | 287.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 91.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 58.0 | 142.0 | 212.0 | 269.0 | 333.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 105.0 | 29.0 | 35.0 | 45.0 | 67.0 | 164.0 | 245.0 | 312.0 | 386.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 120.0 | 32.0 | 40.0 | 51.0 | 77.0 | 188.0 | 281.0 | 358.0 | 443.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 136.0 | 36.0 | 45.0 | 57.0 | 87.0 | 212.0 | 318.0 | 407.0 | 503.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 152.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 96.0 | 236.0 | 354.0 | 453.0 | 561.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 166.0 | 44.0 | 55.0 | 70.0 | 106.0 | 259.0 | 390.0 | 498.0 | 617.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 183.0 | 48.0 | 60.0 | 77.0 | 116.0 | 286.0 | 430.0 | 547.0 | 678.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 204.0 | 53.0 | 67.0 | 86.0 | 129.0 | 320.0 | 481.0 | 609.0 | 754.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 231.0 | 60.0 | 76.0 | 97.0 | 146.0 | 364.0 | 546.0 | 689.0 | 856.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 264.0 | 69.0 | 87.0 | 111.0 | 167.0 | 418.0 | 624.0 | 787.0 | 980.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 299.0 | 79.0 | 98.0 | 126.0 | 189.0 | 475.0 | 707.0 | 892.0 | 1114.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 333.0 | 88.0 | 109.0 | 140.0 | 210.0 | 529.0 | 786.0 | 994.0 | 1245.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 362.0 | 95.0 | 118.0 | 152.0 | 227.0 | 574.0 | 852.0 | 1081.0 | 1356.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 378.0 | 99.0 | 124.0 | 159.0 | 238.0 | 601.0 | 892.0 | 1135.0 | 1425.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 381.0 | 100.0 | 124.0 | 159.0 | 239.0 | 604.0 | 898.0 | 1148.0 | 1441.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 374.0 | 97.0 | 122.0 | 156.0 | 235.0 | 592.0 | 883.0 | 1132.0 | 1420.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 360.0 | 93.0 | 117.0 | 150.0 | 227.0 | 570.0 | 853.0 | 1099.0 | 1376.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 343.0 | 89.0 | 111.0 | 143.0 | 216.0 | 543.0 | 816.0 | 1055.0 | 1319.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 326.0 | 84.0 | 105.0 | 136.0 | 206.0 | 517.0 | 780.0 | 1009.0 | 1259.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 313.0 | 81.0 | 101.0 | 130.0 | 197.0 | 496.0 | 750.0 | 972.0 | 1211.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 304.0 | 79.0 | 97.0 | 126.0 | 191.0 | 481.0 | 729.0 | 944.0 | 1175.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 297.0 | 77.0 | 95.0 | 123.0 | 186.0 | 471.0 | 713.0 | 922.0 | 1146.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 287.0 | 74.0 | 92.0 | 118.0 | 179.0 | 455.0 | 689.0 | 888.0 | 1102.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 272.0 | 70.0 | 87.0 | 112.0 | 169.0 | 432.0 | 652.0 | 839.0 | 1038.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 253.0 | 65.0 | 81.0 | 104.0 | 157.0 | 403.0 | 609.0 | 780.0 | 962.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 231.0 | 60.0 | 74.0 | 95.0 | 144.0 | 369.0 | 557.0 | 713.0 | 876.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 207.0 | 54.0 | 67.0 | 86.0 | 129.0 | 331.0 | 500.0 | 639.0 | 783.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 183.0 | 48.0 | 59.0 | 76.0 | 114.0 | 293.0 | 443.0 | 565.0 | 694.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 162.0 | 43.0 | 53.0 | 68.0 | 102.0 | 260.0 | 394.0 | 503.0 | 620.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 145.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 | 61.0 | 92.0 | 233.0 | 354.0 | 453.0 | 563.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 133.0 | 35.0 | 44.0 | 56.0 | 84.0 | 213.0 | 324.0 | 415.0 | 520.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 124.0 | 33.0 | 41.0 | 52.0 | 79.0 | 199.0 | 302.0 | 388.0 | 488.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 118.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | 189.0 | 288.0 | 369.0 | 466.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 115.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 73.0 | 183.0 | 280.0 | 359.0 | 452.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 112.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 | 47.0 | 71.0 | 179.0 | 274.0 | 353.0 | 441.0 |
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