Prediction 2697
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=PE (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 106.0 | 31.0 | 38.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 163.0 | 237.0 | 297.0 | 360.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 100.0 | 28.0 | 35.0 | 44.0 | 65.0 | 155.0 | 227.0 | 287.0 | 349.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 95.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 61.0 | 148.0 | 219.0 | 277.0 | 339.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 92.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 145.0 | 216.0 | 273.0 | 336.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 91.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 39.0 | 59.0 | 145.0 | 218.0 | 276.0 | 340.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 94.0 | 25.0 | 31.0 | 40.0 | 60.0 | 150.0 | 226.0 | 285.0 | 354.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 98.0 | 26.0 | 32.0 | 41.0 | 62.0 | 157.0 | 238.0 | 300.0 | 374.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 104.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 44.0 | 66.0 | 167.0 | 253.0 | 319.0 | 398.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 114.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 48.0 | 72.0 | 182.0 | 277.0 | 351.0 | 439.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 131.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 | 55.0 | 82.0 | 208.0 | 317.0 | 404.0 | 505.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 154.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 64.0 | 97.0 | 244.0 | 374.0 | 480.0 | 601.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 183.0 | 48.0 | 59.0 | 76.0 | 116.0 | 291.0 | 445.0 | 574.0 | 722.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 217.0 | 56.0 | 70.0 | 91.0 | 138.0 | 345.0 | 527.0 | 682.0 | 861.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 254.0 | 66.0 | 82.0 | 106.0 | 161.0 | 403.0 | 615.0 | 797.0 | 1009.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 291.0 | 75.0 | 94.0 | 121.0 | 184.0 | 461.0 | 702.0 | 910.0 | 1151.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 328.0 | 86.0 | 106.0 | 136.0 | 207.0 | 521.0 | 791.0 | 1026.0 | 1293.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 365.0 | 96.0 | 118.0 | 151.0 | 230.0 | 580.0 | 880.0 | 1140.0 | 1432.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 401.0 | 107.0 | 130.0 | 166.0 | 252.0 | 637.0 | 966.0 | 1249.0 | 1563.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 435.0 | 116.0 | 141.0 | 180.0 | 273.0 | 690.0 | 1045.0 | 1347.0 | 1684.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 469.0 | 125.0 | 152.0 | 194.0 | 294.0 | 741.0 | 1123.0 | 1444.0 | 1806.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 502.0 | 134.0 | 163.0 | 208.0 | 316.0 | 793.0 | 1202.0 | 1544.0 | 1932.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 531.0 | 142.0 | 173.0 | 221.0 | 334.0 | 840.0 | 1273.0 | 1635.0 | 2047.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 547.0 | 146.0 | 179.0 | 227.0 | 344.0 | 866.0 | 1312.0 | 1689.0 | 2113.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 547.0 | 145.0 | 179.0 | 227.0 | 344.0 | 868.0 | 1313.0 | 1696.0 | 2120.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 534.0 | 141.0 | 173.0 | 221.0 | 335.0 | 848.0 | 1281.0 | 1661.0 | 2075.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 509.0 | 133.0 | 164.0 | 211.0 | 319.0 | 810.0 | 1221.0 | 1591.0 | 1990.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 481.0 | 125.0 | 155.0 | 199.0 | 301.0 | 768.0 | 1155.0 | 1509.0 | 1890.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 456.0 | 117.0 | 146.0 | 188.0 | 285.0 | 729.0 | 1095.0 | 1434.0 | 1797.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 435.0 | 111.0 | 139.0 | 179.0 | 272.0 | 696.0 | 1045.0 | 1367.0 | 1714.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 418.0 | 106.0 | 133.0 | 171.0 | 262.0 | 667.0 | 1005.0 | 1310.0 | 1645.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 405.0 | 102.0 | 129.0 | 165.0 | 254.0 | 644.0 | 974.0 | 1263.0 | 1588.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 397.0 | 99.0 | 126.0 | 162.0 | 250.0 | 630.0 | 956.0 | 1235.0 | 1549.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 394.0 | 98.0 | 125.0 | 160.0 | 247.0 | 623.0 | 949.0 | 1223.0 | 1525.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 393.0 | 98.0 | 124.0 | 159.0 | 246.0 | 622.0 | 948.0 | 1222.0 | 1514.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 396.0 | 99.0 | 124.0 | 160.0 | 247.0 | 625.0 | 953.0 | 1229.0 | 1515.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 403.0 | 100.0 | 126.0 | 163.0 | 252.0 | 637.0 | 970.0 | 1251.0 | 1542.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 415.0 | 102.0 | 129.0 | 168.0 | 258.0 | 656.0 | 998.0 | 1284.0 | 1587.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 429.0 | 105.0 | 133.0 | 173.0 | 267.0 | 680.0 | 1036.0 | 1329.0 | 1649.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 445.0 | 108.0 | 137.0 | 180.0 | 278.0 | 710.0 | 1083.0 | 1388.0 | 1723.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 461.0 | 111.0 | 141.0 | 186.0 | 288.0 | 739.0 | 1131.0 | 1450.0 | 1796.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 470.0 | 112.0 | 142.0 | 189.0 | 294.0 | 758.0 | 1165.0 | 1494.0 | 1844.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 471.0 | 111.0 | 141.0 | 188.0 | 294.0 | 761.0 | 1176.0 | 1511.0 | 1856.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 463.0 | 108.0 | 138.0 | 184.0 | 288.0 | 750.0 | 1163.0 | 1500.0 | 1834.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 449.0 | 105.0 | 133.0 | 178.0 | 278.0 | 729.0 | 1133.0 | 1465.0 | 1785.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 429.0 | 100.0 | 127.0 | 169.0 | 265.0 | 699.0 | 1087.0 | 1408.0 | 1715.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 407.0 | 95.0 | 121.0 | 159.0 | 250.0 | 665.0 | 1033.0 | 1341.0 | 1638.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 383.0 | 90.0 | 114.0 | 149.0 | 234.0 | 628.0 | 975.0 | 1266.0 | 1554.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 361.0 | 85.0 | 108.0 | 140.0 | 220.0 | 591.0 | 917.0 | 1190.0 | 1469.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 341.0 | 81.0 | 102.0 | 132.0 | 208.0 | 559.0 | 867.0 | 1123.0 | 1394.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 328.0 | 78.0 | 98.0 | 127.0 | 199.0 | 537.0 | 833.0 | 1075.0 | 1344.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 323.0 | 77.0 | 97.0 | 125.0 | 196.0 | 528.0 | 819.0 | 1057.0 | 1326.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 322.0 | 77.0 | 96.0 | 125.0 | 195.0 | 527.0 | 816.0 | 1055.0 | 1328.0 |
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