Prediction 2698
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=PI (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 13.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 29.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 32.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 16.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 22.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | 16.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 25.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 22.0 | 30.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 24.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 36.0 | 49.0 | 61.0 | 73.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 35.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 51.0 | 71.0 | 88.0 | 105.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 46.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 22.0 | 31.0 | 67.0 | 95.0 | 115.0 | 139.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 56.0 | 19.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 38.0 | 83.0 | 118.0 | 143.0 | 171.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 68.0 | 23.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 46.0 | 100.0 | 141.0 | 171.0 | 205.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 79.0 | 26.0 | 31.0 | 38.0 | 54.0 | 116.0 | 163.0 | 198.0 | 236.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 89.0 | 29.0 | 35.0 | 43.0 | 60.0 | 130.0 | 182.0 | 222.0 | 265.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 101.0 | 33.0 | 39.0 | 48.0 | 69.0 | 147.0 | 207.0 | 252.0 | 301.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 118.0 | 39.0 | 46.0 | 57.0 | 81.0 | 173.0 | 243.0 | 296.0 | 354.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 144.0 | 48.0 | 57.0 | 70.0 | 99.0 | 212.0 | 298.0 | 365.0 | 436.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 182.0 | 60.0 | 72.0 | 88.0 | 125.0 | 267.0 | 375.0 | 461.0 | 552.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 232.0 | 76.0 | 92.0 | 112.0 | 159.0 | 339.0 | 477.0 | 589.0 | 702.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 289.0 | 93.0 | 114.0 | 140.0 | 197.0 | 423.0 | 595.0 | 735.0 | 874.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 346.0 | 112.0 | 135.0 | 166.0 | 235.0 | 506.0 | 715.0 | 881.0 | 1046.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 397.0 | 129.0 | 155.0 | 191.0 | 269.0 | 583.0 | 826.0 | 1016.0 | 1205.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 448.0 | 145.0 | 175.0 | 214.0 | 302.0 | 657.0 | 934.0 | 1146.0 | 1361.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 493.0 | 160.0 | 192.0 | 235.0 | 333.0 | 724.0 | 1031.0 | 1264.0 | 1502.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 528.0 | 171.0 | 205.0 | 251.0 | 356.0 | 776.0 | 1105.0 | 1355.0 | 1610.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 541.0 | 175.0 | 209.0 | 257.0 | 365.0 | 795.0 | 1132.0 | 1389.0 | 1652.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 533.0 | 173.0 | 206.0 | 253.0 | 359.0 | 784.0 | 1118.0 | 1372.0 | 1635.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 504.0 | 164.0 | 196.0 | 240.0 | 340.0 | 742.0 | 1060.0 | 1300.0 | 1556.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 460.0 | 150.0 | 179.0 | 219.0 | 312.0 | 679.0 | 969.0 | 1189.0 | 1428.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 409.0 | 133.0 | 159.0 | 195.0 | 277.0 | 603.0 | 860.0 | 1057.0 | 1272.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 357.0 | 115.0 | 139.0 | 171.0 | 242.0 | 526.0 | 748.0 | 921.0 | 1110.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 307.0 | 99.0 | 119.0 | 147.0 | 208.0 | 453.0 | 641.0 | 791.0 | 953.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 258.0 | 82.0 | 100.0 | 123.0 | 175.0 | 380.0 | 537.0 | 664.0 | 801.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 214.0 | 68.0 | 83.0 | 102.0 | 145.0 | 317.0 | 448.0 | 554.0 | 669.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 180.0 | 57.0 | 69.0 | 86.0 | 122.0 | 266.0 | 377.0 | 467.0 | 564.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 154.0 | 49.0 | 59.0 | 73.0 | 104.0 | 228.0 | 325.0 | 402.0 | 485.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 135.0 | 43.0 | 52.0 | 64.0 | 91.0 | 200.0 | 285.0 | 353.0 | 426.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 119.0 | 38.0 | 45.0 | 56.0 | 80.0 | 175.0 | 251.0 | 312.0 | 375.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 103.0 | 33.0 | 39.0 | 49.0 | 69.0 | 152.0 | 218.0 | 272.0 | 327.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 87.0 | 28.0 | 34.0 | 41.0 | 59.0 | 129.0 | 185.0 | 231.0 | 278.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 71.0 | 22.0 | 27.0 | 33.0 | 47.0 | 104.0 | 150.0 | 187.0 | 225.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 54.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 26.0 | 37.0 | 80.0 | 116.0 | 144.0 | 173.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 40.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 59.0 | 85.0 | 106.0 | 128.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 29.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 42.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | 90.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 19.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 29.0 | 40.0 | 51.0 | 61.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 21.0 | 29.0 | 37.0 | 45.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 17.0 | 24.0 | 30.0 | 37.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 34.0 | 42.0 |
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