Prediction 2699
| Model | LNCC-AR_p-2025-1 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Validation test 2 for UF=PR (Model1 AR_p)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 193.0 | 26.0 | 35.0 | 51.0 | 95.0 | 397.0 | 752.0 | 1112.0 | 1542.0 |
| 2023-10-15 | 183.0 | 23.0 | 32.0 | 47.0 | 88.0 | 383.0 | 742.0 | 1110.0 | 1565.0 |
| 2023-10-22 | 172.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 42.0 | 81.0 | 366.0 | 724.0 | 1094.0 | 1563.0 |
| 2023-10-29 | 164.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 39.0 | 76.0 | 353.0 | 710.0 | 1081.0 | 1558.0 |
| 2023-11-05 | 162.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 75.0 | 348.0 | 709.0 | 1083.0 | 1571.0 |
| 2023-11-12 | 163.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 75.0 | 352.0 | 728.0 | 1113.0 | 1619.0 |
| 2023-11-19 | 167.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 37.0 | 76.0 | 363.0 | 760.0 | 1167.0 | 1696.0 |
| 2023-11-26 | 172.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 78.0 | 379.0 | 803.0 | 1233.0 | 1795.0 |
| 2023-12-03 | 178.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 38.0 | 80.0 | 397.0 | 844.0 | 1299.0 | 1898.0 |
| 2023-12-10 | 181.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 81.0 | 408.0 | 869.0 | 1341.0 | 1968.0 |
| 2023-12-17 | 182.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | 39.0 | 82.0 | 415.0 | 880.0 | 1364.0 | 2017.0 |
| 2023-12-24 | 184.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 40.0 | 83.0 | 423.0 | 892.0 | 1391.0 | 2070.0 |
| 2023-12-31 | 191.0 | 19.0 | 27.0 | 41.0 | 86.0 | 439.0 | 922.0 | 1452.0 | 2169.0 |
| 2024-01-07 | 208.0 | 20.0 | 29.0 | 45.0 | 93.0 | 477.0 | 1001.0 | 1597.0 | 2375.0 |
| 2024-01-14 | 240.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 | 51.0 | 107.0 | 546.0 | 1153.0 | 1858.0 | 2726.0 |
| 2024-01-21 | 290.0 | 27.0 | 39.0 | 61.0 | 128.0 | 656.0 | 1397.0 | 2261.0 | 3271.0 |
| 2024-01-28 | 361.0 | 33.0 | 48.0 | 76.0 | 158.0 | 814.0 | 1752.0 | 2823.0 | 4055.0 |
| 2024-02-04 | 452.0 | 41.0 | 60.0 | 94.0 | 197.0 | 1021.0 | 2217.0 | 3543.0 | 5101.0 |
| 2024-02-11 | 567.0 | 51.0 | 76.0 | 118.0 | 247.0 | 1286.0 | 2808.0 | 4460.0 | 6455.0 |
| 2024-02-18 | 713.0 | 65.0 | 96.0 | 149.0 | 312.0 | 1625.0 | 3559.0 | 5618.0 | 8207.0 |
| 2024-02-25 | 896.0 | 82.0 | 122.0 | 188.0 | 394.0 | 2050.0 | 4494.0 | 7076.0 | 10436.0 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1121.0 | 104.0 | 153.0 | 236.0 | 496.0 | 2567.0 | 5616.0 | 8860.0 | 13153.0 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1385.0 | 130.0 | 190.0 | 292.0 | 615.0 | 3167.0 | 6910.0 | 10945.0 | 16317.0 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1676.0 | 159.0 | 230.0 | 354.0 | 746.0 | 3822.0 | 8327.0 | 13236.0 | 19765.0 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1974.0 | 188.0 | 271.0 | 417.0 | 879.0 | 4490.0 | 9776.0 | 15591.0 | 23229.0 |
| 2024-03-31 | 2249.0 | 215.0 | 309.0 | 476.0 | 1001.0 | 5108.0 | 11105.0 | 17777.0 | 26371.0 |
| 2024-04-07 | 2465.0 | 236.0 | 339.0 | 523.0 | 1096.0 | 5592.0 | 12140.0 | 19453.0 | 28773.0 |
| 2024-04-14 | 2580.0 | 246.0 | 355.0 | 550.0 | 1145.0 | 5852.0 | 12686.0 | 20322.0 | 30017.0 |
| 2024-04-21 | 2562.0 | 243.0 | 353.0 | 548.0 | 1134.0 | 5816.0 | 12583.0 | 20104.0 | 29707.0 |
| 2024-04-28 | 2407.0 | 226.0 | 333.0 | 518.0 | 1063.0 | 5478.0 | 11812.0 | 18806.0 | 27883.0 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2138.0 | 200.0 | 296.0 | 463.0 | 943.0 | 4883.0 | 10496.0 | 16649.0 | 24810.0 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1795.0 | 167.0 | 250.0 | 391.0 | 791.0 | 4113.0 | 8811.0 | 13917.0 | 20892.0 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1427.0 | 133.0 | 199.0 | 312.0 | 628.0 | 3282.0 | 7006.0 | 11019.0 | 16682.0 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1075.0 | 100.0 | 150.0 | 235.0 | 472.0 | 2479.0 | 5277.0 | 8265.0 | 12603.0 |
| 2024-06-02 | 771.0 | 71.0 | 107.0 | 168.0 | 337.0 | 1783.0 | 3789.0 | 5911.0 | 9073.0 |
| 2024-06-09 | 538.0 | 49.0 | 74.0 | 115.0 | 234.0 | 1247.0 | 2655.0 | 4132.0 | 6348.0 |
| 2024-06-16 | 377.0 | 34.0 | 50.0 | 78.0 | 162.0 | 874.0 | 1873.0 | 2920.0 | 4451.0 |
| 2024-06-23 | 275.0 | 24.0 | 35.0 | 55.0 | 117.0 | 640.0 | 1386.0 | 2175.0 | 3257.0 |
| 2024-06-30 | 216.0 | 18.0 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 91.0 | 502.0 | 1102.0 | 1743.0 | 2564.0 |
| 2024-07-07 | 179.0 | 15.0 | 21.0 | 34.0 | 75.0 | 419.0 | 926.0 | 1473.0 | 2155.0 |
| 2024-07-14 | 152.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 | 29.0 | 63.0 | 359.0 | 796.0 | 1269.0 | 1873.0 |
| 2024-07-21 | 128.0 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 25.0 | 53.0 | 304.0 | 675.0 | 1078.0 | 1624.0 |
| 2024-07-28 | 105.0 | 8.0 | 13.0 | 21.0 | 44.0 | 251.0 | 558.0 | 895.0 | 1376.0 |
| 2024-08-04 | 85.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 35.0 | 205.0 | 459.0 | 741.0 | 1153.0 |
| 2024-08-11 | 70.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | 29.0 | 171.0 | 388.0 | 635.0 | 984.0 |
| 2024-08-18 | 61.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | 25.0 | 152.0 | 349.0 | 577.0 | 884.0 |
| 2024-08-25 | 57.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 145.0 | 336.0 | 562.0 | 844.0 |
| 2024-09-01 | 57.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 146.0 | 342.0 | 571.0 | 848.0 |
| 2024-09-08 | 59.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 23.0 | 154.0 | 360.0 | 601.0 | 893.0 |
| 2024-09-15 | 62.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 163.0 | 384.0 | 640.0 | 960.0 |
| 2024-09-22 | 65.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 171.0 | 404.0 | 670.0 | 1023.0 |
| 2024-09-29 | 67.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 26.0 | 176.0 | 417.0 | 688.0 | 1066.0 |
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