Prediction 27
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2611606 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2611606 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 40.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 88.84 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 29.10 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 90.54 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 41.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 169.59 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 78.58 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 260.69 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 45.30 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 313.23 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 37.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 233.30 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 15.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 180.69 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 42.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 201.76 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 62.07 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 137.71 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 66.31 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 163.65 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 54.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 168.92 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 46.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 109.52 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 57.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 122.75 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 62.87 | - | 3.61 | - | - | - | - | 122.13 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 51.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 128.01 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 72.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 148.46 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 88.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 186.63 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 105.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 299.80 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 106.07 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 315.18 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 102.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 291.36 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 110.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 331.55 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 115.32 | - | 27.83 | - | - | - | - | 202.81 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 144.24 | - | 67.42 | - | - | - | - | 221.06 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 153.04 | - | 46.34 | - | - | - | - | 259.74 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 135.45 | - | 22.27 | - | - | - | - | 248.63 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 144.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 310.32 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 138.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 519.90 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 233.31 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 689.89 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 139.56 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 601.14 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 169.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 617.72 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 153.81 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 477.86 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 142.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 373.24 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 150.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 347.75 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 137.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 324.10 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 133.76 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 330.11 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 196.79 | - | 33.89 | - | - | - | - | 359.69 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 176.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 385.18 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 194.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 406.55 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 139.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 368.78 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 99.47 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 276.17 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 62.10 | - | 16.22 | - | - | - | - | 107.98 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 49.03 | - | 37.83 | - | - | - | - | 60.23 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 51.23 | - | 40.03 | - | - | - | - | 62.43 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 39.71 | - | 2.20 | - | - | - | - | 77.22 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 37.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 85.71 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 41.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 105.92 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 40.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 142.20 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 37.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 114.34 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 39.14 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.62 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 40.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 163.33 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 37.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 143.83 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 38.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 144.22 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 35.79 | - | 24.59 | - | - | - | - | 46.99 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 31.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 154.03 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 31.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 136.63 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 37.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 177.99 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 53.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 215.53 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 94.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 227.57 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 82.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 246.36 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 95.78 | - | 65.17 | - | - | - | - | 126.39 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 79.13 | - | 12.76 | - | - | - | - | 145.50 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 76.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 162.38 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 69.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 157.20 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 64.32 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 145.70 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 129.31 | - | 32.25 | - | - | - | - | 226.37 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 181.71 | - | 70.40 | - | - | - | - | 293.02 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 521.36 | - | 420.50 | - | - | - | - | 622.22 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 634.34 | - | 511.15 | - | - | - | - | 757.53 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 526.06 | - | 359.95 | - | - | - | - | 692.17 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 244.03 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 498.50 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 202.97 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 469.16 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 160.90 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 434.75 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 125.23 | - | 36.24 | - | - | - | - | 214.22 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 120.87 | - | 3.77 | - | - | - | - | 237.97 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 85.71 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 239.60 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 80.99 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 222.11 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 79.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 205.55 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 65.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 141.98 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 66.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 163.84 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
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ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
